Generative-AI evaluations can become historical before publication, yet calendar age does not affect every conclusion equally. This paper has two linked purposes. First, it audits a maximum-variation purposive corpus of 40 empirical records appearing between 18 July 2025 and 17 July 2026. The audit coded publication route, execution timing, model identity, age of the newest named generation or immutable snapshot, same-family supersession and refresh behaviour. At appearance, the newest named model was a median 281 days old (middle 50%: 75-478; range: 11-939). Median age was 395 days for 25 journal articles, 56 days for 14 preprints and 49 days for one laboratory report. Thirty-five records included a superseded family, seven supplied a precise dated identifier, three clearly refreshed model evidence, and one added a late sensitivity test. All 40 included an OpenAI system, a feature of this corpus rather than a prevalence estimate. The paper distinguishes model age from claim currency and proposes six reporting practices. Second, it treats its own two-day production process as a reflexive case of frontier-model-assisted research creation. GPT-5.6 Sol Pro in ChatGPT supported candidate discovery, source reconciliation, calculations, drafting and critique; the author checked sources, made all substantive decisions and accepts responsibility. This is a proof-of-practice, not a controlled estimate of productivity or quality. By applying its own Model Facts and model-currency statement, the paper shows how rapid AI-assisted research can be made inspectable without treating model output as independent validation. The title uses half-lives metaphorically; no universal decay rate is estimated.
AI-assisted research has entered a stage in which the central question is not only whether systems can generate hypotheses, run experiments, or produce manuscripts, but whether their scientific claims are calibrated to the evidence that supports them. This Perspective-style paper develops a conceptual and methodological framework for evidence-licensed claims in AI-assisted research. Motivated by representative routes including specialized scientific foundation models, LLM research assistants, multi-agent co-scientists, AI Scientist pipelines, mathematical discovery agents, and self-driving laboratories, it represents AI-assisted research as five operators: hypothesis generation, model-mediated consequence derivation, external validation, belief update, and claim calibration. The central claim is that calibration is not merely cautious wording but a mechanism for managing scientific assertion rights: evidence licenses some forms of speech and withholds others. The paper distinguishes linguistic, consequence-based, interventional, and evidence-licensed semantics; defines the claim-evidence gap and epistemic debt; and treats minimal structural reconstruction across heterogeneous outputs as an upward form of claim calibration. AISim-Cal is included as an illustrative synthetic dynamics exercise, not as an empirical forecast or benchmark. The resulting principles are: no claim without license, validation does not determine claim level, and automation amplifies the need for calibration. Reliable AI-assisted research is therefore evaluated as a loop that generates hypotheses, derives testable consequences, accepts independent adjudication, updates beliefs, and outputs only evidence-licensed claims.
We can do more than defend science from a flood of AI-assisted papers. Used well, AI offers a historic opportunity to correct distortions in the publication system, help us publish fewer and better papers, and give scientists back the time to do their best work.