Qingchuan Lyu, Yingxin Li, Albert Yangcs.LG cs.CY stat.AP
Learning analytics often treats unsupervised clusters of intelligent tutoring system (ITS) logs as learner types that should predict learning. We test that assumption on EdNet-KT3. Clustering study-strategy features (resource use, revision, video, problem practice) for 5{,}000 active learners yields a silhouette-selected parent cut ($k=5$) with 4 contrast poles (reading-focused, video-heavy, revision-heavy, and problem-first) plus a large near-mean residual ($\sim$64.9\%). Reclustering that residual adds four finer styles, giving a bootstrap-stable hierarchy of 8 named strategies. We split each learner's timeline by respond count so clusters use only the early half and outcomes only the late half. Early clusters predict later engagement (continuing to practice and finishing late sessions, especially persistence, $η^{2}\approx 0.106$; completion $η^{2}\approx 0.021$) but not later unassisted accuracy (correctness on late first-attempts without help; $p_{\mathrm{adj}}\approx 0.093$). Volume rises with some styles, yet volume-only clustering barely matches strategy labels (ARI$=0.064$). A knowledge-tracing model (SAKT) on the seven TOEIC exam sections predicts next correctness only modestly better than a baseline that knows only how hard each section usually is (AUC lift $+0.051$; CI $[+0.045,+0.058]$), and that mastery signal is nearly independent of behavior styles (ARI$=0.007$). Behavioral clustering here describes study styles and engagement, not knowledge gains.
IT service management (ITSM) systems accumulate large volumes of heterogeneous ticket data that are difficult for sales and executive stakeholders to convert into actionable intelligence. This paper presents a sociotechnical AI pipeline, designed and evaluated following design science research principles, that transforms raw ITSM exports into a multilevel decision-support artifact. The pipeline combines LLM-based schema normalization, HDBSCAN sub-topic clustering, and hierarchical agglomerative clustering to generate executive-facing Main-topics and granular Sub-topics. A stakeholder evaluation across six artifacts and five raters from Sales Engineering and customer success roles shows that all four decision-support metrics, interpretability, actionability, trust, and likelihood of use, on average exceed 4.0 out of 5.0, with trust as the most consistent signal. The findings position ITSM analytics as an Information Systems (IS) problem of transformation, abstraction, and human-centered design.
Anderson L. de Paula, Pedro C. dos Santos, Renato A. Krohlingstat.AP cs.LG
The increasing availability of large-scale educational datasets has expanded the use of quantitative methods for investigating school performance. However, institutional heterogeneity among schools and the structural complexity of educational data pose substantial challenges to traditional statistical modeling approaches. This study investigates the existence of school typologies based on structural, pedagogical, and demographic characteristics, and examines how these typologies relate to performance in the Brazilian Basic Education Assessment System (Saeb). Using data from the Brazilian School Census and Saeb, data preprocessing and normalization procedures are applied followed by hierarchical clustering to identify groups of schools with similar structural profiles. After the identification of these typologies, causal analysis techniques are employed to investigate potential causal relationships between school characteristics and educational outcomes. The results reveal the presence of distinct school profiles and statistically significant differences in average performance among them. The causal analysis provides insights into the structural and contextual factors that may influence educational performance, contributing to a better understanding of the mechanisms associated with school effectiveness.
Benjamin Mawdsley, Tom Quilter, Richard Turner +2cs.CY cs.AI cs.LG
Personalised learning systems often assume that mathematical ability is combined of discrete abilities, acquired sequentially and dependent upon first acquiring foundational abilities, and students often report different strengths. In this work, we explore the validity of these assumptions by applying clustering methods to a large dataset of 119,034 students, spanning 13 national-level exams sat in the United Kingdom and collected by the platform. Classifying question results as pass or fail, we use a Bernoulli Mixture Model to search for latent populations which would be indicative of discrete skill-sets. We find that few distinct clusters are present in the data and that the dominant factor is overall student ability, which is further supported by the high degree of linear correlation between the probability distributions of the resulting clusters. Our best performing model achieves an accuracy of 78 percent, competitive with more complicated models in the literature whilst being more explainable. Comparing this models performance with logistic regression baselines and with k-nearest neighbours, we find a small improvement when using performance on each individual question as features. This suggests that whilst overall ability level is the dominant factor for predicting performance, small further personalisation improvements can be made by tailoring to a students exact strengths, but that students do not appear to develop strongly differing ability across topics. Our work offers a national scale test of machine learning in education and offers a new benchmark for the field, demonstrating how explainable models can reach competitive performance