A Checklist to assess the energy and carbon impacts of ML/AI applications in Earth System Modeling

As machine learning and artificial intelligence find their way into nearly every aspect of climate, weather, and Earth system modeling, it is worth pausing to consider what our design decisions imply for the science and for the computational resources we consume. A growing body of literature addresses the ethical and sustainable development of ML/AI, yet translating these principles into day-to-day research practice remains a challenge as most of best practices are dispersed across multiple studies and commentaries. Here, we distill these discussions into a practical checklist that ML/AI and Earth system science practitioners can use to assess and reduce the environmental footprint of their own applications, organised around the successive stages of the model development pipeline. We complement the checklist with a selection of metrics drawn from the literature for estimating the energy consumption and carbon footprint of a project. For each question, we point to concrete examples and actionable suggestions from recent literature, aiming to bridge the gap between aspirational principles and the decisions researchers face at every stage of the development cycle.

Wasted large language models: A life cycle thinking approach

Large Language Models (LLMs) are machine learning (ML) models that have an increasingly large carbon footprint through their development and use. Efforts to increase the energy efficiency of these models have not translated into reduced consumption due to rebound effects such as Jevons Paradox - that increased efficiency drives increased use. There is therefore a need for additional measures to solve this problem. We suggest that one possible way forward is to use life cycle thinking, and view LLMs as products that can become waste. With this perspective, we investigate the potential of the waste hierarchy from the EU's Waste Framework Directive, which suggests five different measures for how to manage waste: prevention, reuse, recycling, recovery, and disposal. We examine how these measures can inform and motivate new types of thinking and approaches to reducing LLM waste and their environmental impact in general. Applying the waste hierarchy to LLMs highlights that preventing waste is essential for reducing the models' environmental impact, mainly because it reduces the need for training new models. Prevention can be achieved through many existing methods for reusing, "recycling", and "recovering" LLMs. Additionally, disposal can be important both for saving energy and for keeping a considerate attitude to the resources being spent on training LLMs. We also call to attention that prevention of unnecessary use of LLMs carry huge potential for lowering the climate impact of the models.

Quantifying the Relationship Between Clinical Safety and Environmental Impact in Therapeutic LLMs

The deployment of large language models (LLMs) in mental health contexts raises questions about the relationship between clinical safety and environmental cost. In this paper, we examine this relationship by combining K-Bench clinical safety scores with EcoLogits life-cycle assessment estimates across 47 supported model configurations. We evaluate model performance and environmental impact across four dimensions: energy use, carbon emissions, water consumption, and abiotic depletion. The results indicate a non-linear trade-off at the upper end of the safety distribution: a 2.61 percentage-point increase in clinical safety score corresponded to an approximately 60-fold increase in estimated energy use per million output tokens. Row-level analyses further suggest that additional test-time compute did not consistently improve clinical safety and, in some configurations, was associated with lower clinical safety scores. These findings suggest that relying solely on larger models or additional inference-time computation may be an inefficient strategy for improving safety in therapeutic AI systems. We discuss the implications for sustainable deployment and highlight dynamic model selection, including model cascading, as a potential approach for reducing environmental impact while preserving clinical performance in higher-risk cases.

Scoping Review of AI, Metrology, and ESG in the Semiconductor Sector: Implications for Safe and Sustainable by Design (SSbD)

The semiconductor sector faces a dual transition: scaling manufacturing execution through Artificial Intelligence (AI) while satisfying stringent sustainability mandates, such as the EU Carbon Border Adjustment Mechanism (CBAM). This paper presents a scoping review of 1,465 documents indexed in Web of Science and Scopus, spanning AI-integrated metrology, supply chain ESG, and federated industrial data spaces. Network analysis reveals a highly fragmented "core-periphery" knowledge structure, emphasizing a critical structural hole between AI-driven process optimization and downstream sustainability governance. To close these gaps, this study proposes a 6-layer Safe and Sustainable by Design (SSbD) architecture grounded in a System of Systems (SoS) paradigm. By establishing distinct "grid-to-core" and "standards-through-supply-chain" integration pathways, the proposed framework demonstrates how virtual metrology (VM), localized federated learning, and defensive RegTech mechanisms can build provenance-aware data fabrics. Ultimately, this architecture positions regulatory compliance as a driver for innovation, enabling secure, climate-neutral, and circular value chains in semiconductor manufacturing.

Lights, Camera, Carbon: Architectural Scaling Laws for Video Generation Energy Consumption

We present a bidirectional framework for estimating the energy consumption of text-to-video (T2V) and text-to-video-audio (T2VA) models from architectural first principles and observable generation parameters such as resolution and duration, requiring no access to weights, model size, or implementation details. Forward, it predicts energy from generation parameters and architectural principles; backward, it recovers architectural scaling behavior from observed inference times, with accuracy serving as a criterion for architectural validity. Building on the established compute-bound nature of video diffusion models, we demonstrate that each model's energy profile obeys theoretically derived scaling laws, decomposing into quadratic and linear terms whose coefficients directly reflect the underlying architectural complexity. Validated across six open-source models spanning 8.3B-27B parameters and three GPU configurations, this decomposition achieves below 3% MAPE across all architectures. This approach offers a standardized, empirically and theoretically grounded framework for sustainability benchmarking across T2V models and architectures.

From Caveman to Expert Analyst: Energy Consumption of Variable LLM Tasks

The energy demand growth and environmental impacts of artificial intelligence (AI) have generated substantial interest in supplying sufficient low-cost electricity for AI-driven data center development. Research on the ability of demand-side management to address these challenges has been more limited. Shifting the amount or timing of demand from retail, corporate, and other organizational behaviors is a plausible option but only if changes in demand-related behavior have important effects on the envi- ronmental and electricity effects of AI. This article tests four retail (i.e., consumer) user behaviors with high behavioral plasticity to assess their technical abatement potential. The research concludes that non- reasoning models provide sufficient quality while consuming close to one-twentieth of energy compared to reasoning models, saving an amount equal to the annual electricity requirement of at least 141,000 US households under daily usage assumptions. Simple prompt modifications can yield additional reduc- tions in energy consumption by up to 65% using non-reasoning models. Specifically, the practice that maintains the highest degree of similarity with the baseline reduces electricity demand in the range of 4 to 35%, an amount equal to the annual electricity requirement of up to 7,200 US households. Although AI advancements make precise estimates of environmental and electricity impacts difficult to assess, the results confirm that certain minimally intrusive best practices aimed at the majority of users can reduce the energy and environmental burdens imposed by AI.

Environmental Slow AI: Design Principles for Generative Systems

Generative AI (genAI) systems produce cultural artefacts at scale, but they also reflect embedded cultural values through their design. Once identified, these values become open to deliberate reshaping. This position paper examines the maximalist values of current generative AI through an environmental humanities tradition and proposes design principles in which environmental sustainability serves as the core value instead. The principles are developed under the umbrella of Slow AI, a term that already circulates across several distinct research and practice programs. Five design principles are articulated (restraint, sufficiency, selectivity over retention, material visibility, and friction as affordance), each of them illustrated against the current design of widely deployed systems. Each principle operates at two levels: a design implementation, and an interpretive layer at which users and developers are prompted toward reflective engagement with the system. Together these principles extend human agency by restoring decisions that frictionless defaults have silently removed and do so by building interpretive reflection into design.

SpheriCity: Designing Trustworthy Conversational AI for Sustainability Decision Support

We present SpheriCity, an expert-grounded conversational prototype designed to support trustworthy knowledge sensemaking from sustainability reports. City-level circularity assessment reports contain rich information about materials, infrastructure, and policy interventions, yet their length and heterogeneous structure make cross-document synthesis and comparison difficult for practitioners and researchers working on circular economy initiatives. While large language models (LLM) promise faster knowledge access and synthesis, their opaque reasoning, hallucinations, and lack of source transparency introduce risks for trust and interpretability, and require verification in high-stakes sustainability contexts. SpheriCity addresses these challenges through a provenance-first conversational agent that foregrounds evidence traceability, structured synthesis, and interaction scaffolds to support exploratory querying and cross-document synthesis across sustainability reports. We conducted a formative expert review with six sustainability experts using representative queries spanning cross-city comparison, policy summarization, and recommendation-oriented tasks. Experts evaluated responses across dimensions and provided qualitative reflections on the system's usefulness for sustainability knowledge work. Our results reveal that transparent sourcing, contextual explanation, interpretability, and alignment with expert workflow strongly shape expert trust and judgments of system usefulness. This work contributes (1) a conversational prototype for sustainability knowledge sensemaking, (2) an expert-grounded evaluation framework for assessing AI responses in high-stakes knowledge domains, and (3) design insights into how provenance, uncertainty communication, and integration in workflow influence expert users' trust in AI assistance for sustainability decision support.

Position: AI Must Become Planet-Centered, Not Just Human-Centered

This position paper argues that contemporary AI paradigms are insufficient for supporting complex global goals and introduces Planet-Centered AI (PCAI) as a design philosophy and research agenda that reorients AI toward planetary-scale socio-ecological systems and their long-term trajectories. A planet-centered approach is grounded in systems thinking, treating Earth as an interconnected whole of which humans are part. We diagnose recurring limitations across AI frameworks, many of which remain human-centered, and show why these become especially consequential under current planetary conditions characterized by systemic risk, non-stationarity, and deep uncertainty. We then articulate how PCAI reshapes the AI lifecycle, from problem formulation and model design to evaluation and deployment, by emphasizing alignment with global agendas, developing system-aware AI foundations, trajectory-oriented evaluation, and monitorability. Finally, we advance a falsifiable claim: AI systems optimized without explicit consideration of systemic consequences are more likely to exacerbate systemic instability than to mitigate it.

From Perception to Action: Can UI Interventions Foster Sustainable LLM Chatbot

LLM-powered chatbots are increasingly embedded in everyday workflows, raising sustainability concerns due to their energy use. Most mitigation strategies emphasize model or infrastructure efficiency, while the user-interface (UI) layer remains underexplored despite its potential to shape interaction behavior. We investigate whether sustainability-oriented UI interventions can increase users' energy awareness and encourage more energy-responsible chatbot use without reducing usability. We first conducted a baseline survey with 77 participants to assess awareness and receptiveness to intervention concepts. Guided by prior work on persuasive technology and choice architecture, we implemented a web-based chatbot prototype with a three-mode switch (Energy-efficient, Balanced, Performance), per-response energy feedback, pre-send energy estimates, a usage metrics dashboard, and energy analogies. We then evaluated the prototype in a five-day field study with 11 participants. In the baseline survey, 94.8% of respondents reported at least some awareness of AI energy use, yet 88.3% misestimated actual consumption. Although concern about environmental impact was high, only 39.0% indicated willingness to accept a performance trade-off for lower energy use. In the field study, Energy-efficient mode accounted for 55.8% of logged prompts, while 90.9% self-reported actively choosing Eco-mode when high accuracy was not required. Participants did not reduce prompt length, suggesting mode switching as the primary behavioral mechanism. Sustainability-oriented UI interventions can improve awareness and support more energy-responsible interaction patterns in LLM chatbots. These effects are best interpreted as behavioral and model-based estimates that complement backend efficiency work, and the provided prototype and replication package support further research on energy-aware conversational AI design.

Accounting for AI Inference in Corporate GHG Inventories: A Four-Tier Methodology for Scope 3 Category 1 Reporting

AI inference services -- API subscriptions, enterprise chat tools, and SaaS products with embedded AI features -- fall unambiguously within Scope 3 Category 1 under the Corporate Sustainability Reporting Directive (CSRD), which requires disclosure for fiscal years starting January 2024. Yet no standardised methodology exists for including them in corporate GHG inventories. Current practice either omits the category entirely or applies a generic economic input-output (EEIO) factor calibrated to the ICT sector as a whole, overestimating AI inference emissions by 10-40x relative to physically derived alternatives. We propose a four-tier framework that matches estimation precision to the data organisations can realistically obtain, progressing from direct token-based physical estimation -- using GPU energy benchmarks and regional grid carbon intensities -- down to a spend-based EEIO fallback for services where no usage data exists. Emission factors are derived from peer-reviewed GPU energy benchmarks (ML.ENERGY Leaderboard v3), confirmed grid carbon intensities (EPA eGRID 2023; Ember 2023), and published water use effectiveness data (Li et al., 2025). Applied to a 200-person European firm, the framework yields a total below 1 tCO2e, illustrating that the compliance challenge is methodological rather than magnitude-driven. We further document a water-carbon trade-off that current ESG tools do not surface: Sweden's hydro-dominated grid delivers the lowest carbon intensity in our dataset but the highest water footprint, with direct implications for data centre location strategy.

Trustworthy Smart Fabs via Professional Proxies: Scaling Safe and Sustainable by Design (SSbD) through Industrial Data Spaces

The convergence of the 2026 European Union Safe and Sustainable by Design (SSbD) framework, Corporate Sustainability Due Diligence Directive (CSDDD), and Carbon Border Adjustment Mechanism (CBAM) introduce a severe governance bottleneck for advanced semiconductor manufacturing facilities ("Smart Fabs"). Regulatory compliance demands have surpassed the capacity of manual corporate reporting, creating a direct conflict between multi-stakeholder transparency and corporate data privacy. This paper addresses this challenge by introducing a zero-trust socio-technical orchestration framework that operationalizes a six-layer SSbD reference architecture within trustworthy industrial data spaces. We propose a shift from reactive automation to autonomous governance through "Professional Proxies"-role-based agentic workflows executing within hardware-isolated trust zones. Structured as an interoperable network protocol stack, the framework coordinates an automated, five-step "relay race" between Facility, Process Engineering, and Finance proxy teams to align factory-floor yield models with macro-level sustainability mandates. By executing Virtual Metrology (VM) predictions and Federated Machine Learning (FML) inside hardware-rooted Trusted Execution Environments (TEEs), this architecture resolves the Data Sovereignty Paradox, demonstrating how fabs can export cryptographically signed compliance tokens via International Data Spaces (IDS) connectors without exposing proprietary process recipes. Ultimately, this framework provides technology managers with a verifiable, evidence-based pathway toward resilient, net-zero Industry 5.0 ecosystems.

Sustainability and Artificial Intelligence: Necessary, Challenging, and Promising Intersections

Both digital economy and digital technology researchers increasingly recognize the need to better address the role that artificial intelligence (AI) plays in shaping the evolution of the environmental, social and governance aspects of development. It appears that sustainability and AI research converge on the features of wicked problems that are complex, interconnected and dynamic. Building off such convergence, this article aims to map out the necessary, challenging, and promising intersections by providing an overview of the state of art research. Based on 541 bibliographic data collected from the Web of Science (WoS) database, the findings reveal the increasingly central body of work on green and sustainable science and technology in bridging various disciplines, main journals and key topics and concepts. The findings reveal how such interactions can be necessary, challenging, and promising. The article concludes with few general arguments regarding how to diversify and expand the community of practice regarding AI for sustainable development, especially in the areas of expected AI application areas and institutions.

The Rising Unsustainability of AI Graphics Cards Production

The rapid advancement of Artificial Intelligence (AI) has been accompanied by significant increases in computational and environmental costs, driven by large-scale investments in AI infrastructure, hardware, and software. In particular, graphics cards have become central to AI training, with frequent hardware updates required to meet escalating computational demands. However, the environmental damages of graphics cards production remain understudied. This study addresses this gap by estimating the environmental damages associated with graphics cards production over the past decade (2013-2025). We analyze trends in energy consumption, carbon emissions and resource depletion. We compile and provide a dataset documenting the environmental damages of NVIDIA workstation graphics cards production since 2013. Our analysis of this dataset reveals a steady increase in production-related impacts over the period. Our finding highlights the need for greater transparency in life-cycle data, a persistent challenge in AI environmental assessments. While operational efficiency improvements (e.g., energy-efficient training, carbon-aware computing) are often prioritized, our results underscore that production-related impacts are also escalating and cannot be overlooked. The AI community must move beyond incremental optimizations and confront the necessity of sufficiency. This shift may demand structural changes such as policy interventions, hardware design for longevity, and cultural shifts away from perpetual growth and increased performance.

The Hidden Water Geography of U.S. Hyperscale Data Centers in the AI Era

Water use by data centers is routinely reported as a single footprint, but water is consumed through two physically distinct pathways: at the site for cooling and in the power system that generates electricity. We mapped both pathways for 472 U.S. hyperscale facilities by linking facility locations to electricity regions, hydrologic basins, and water-stress data. Under baseline assumptions, operational water consumption totals approximately 300 GL yr^-1 (range 205-451 across scenarios), with electricity-related water contributing three-quarters of the total. The two pathways produce different hotspot geographies: direct cooling burdens concentrate in stressed western and south-central basins, whereas electricity-related burdens concentrate in a few eastern grid regions with fossil-heavy supply. Just 3 of 24 hosting balancing authorities account for 59% of electricity-related water. Separating pathways identifies which decisions matter where: cooling design and water sourcing locally, electricity planning and procurement regionally

Greener Than Humans? Environmental Attitudes in Large Language Models

Large language models (LLMs) are increasingly used in sustainability-related decision support, reporting, and public communication, yet little systematic evidence exists on the environmental attitudes embedded in their outputs. This paper develops a benchmark for evaluating environmental cognition, affect, and behavioural recommendations in LLMs and applies it to 31 widely used proprietary and open-weight models. Drawing on questions from established environmental awareness surveys and additional sustainability-related behavioural measures, we compare LLM responses 1) among models and 2) between models and human survey benchmarks from Germany. We assess their robustness across prompting conditions. We find that many LLMs align more closely with environmentally progressive attitudes than the average survey respondent, exhibiting higher levels of environmental affect and cognition and recommending behaviours associated with substantial potential CO2 reductions. At the same time, we observe no systematic relationship between sustainability-oriented responses and model origin, size, or release context. However, models exhibit contextual sensitivity, controlled by persona-based prompting and show sycophantic shifts mirroring user-specified ideological positions, which raises concerns about steerability and normative reliability in real-world deployments. Our findings provide a reusable evaluation framework for assessing sustainability-related value alignment in LLMs and highlight the importance of governance, transparency, and critical oversight as AI systems become increasingly embedded in sustainability transformations and public decision-making.