Semi-supervised semantic segmentation has long turned on one question, which pseudo-labels to trust, and a generation of selection rules, dynamic thresholds, per-class curricula, soft confidence weights, answered it for the noisy, under-confident ResNet teachers of their day. Self-supervised foundation encoders change the regime: with a DINOv2 teacher, confidence saturates, so the filtering that helped a weak teacher can hurt a strong one. We propose CW-BASS v2, a saturation-aware pseudo-label selection method that reads the teacher's confidence regime rather than committing to one rule. It pairs held-out calibration, an unbiased per-class noise estimate, with a self-adaptive confidence floor that provably bounds retention away from 1, and combines them in a one-pass gate: measure the reliability of the teacher's confident set, pi_kept = Pr[correct | c >= tau], on a held-out slice, and filter strictly when it meets the confidence demanded (pi_kept >= tau), falling back to the adaptive floor otherwise. The boundary is the pre-existing operating threshold, not a value tuned to mIoU, and across six DINOv2 teachers it makes the correct strict-vs-floor call blind. CW-BASS v2 thus recovers the UniMatch V2 operating point on the saturated benchmarks by selecting strict (Pascal VOC 1/8 87.4 against its reported 87.9; Cityscapes within 0.5), and improves on it where the confident set is unreliable (pi_kept ~ 89%, ADE20K), where the floor edges ahead (+1.5 mIoU, single seed). The gate is principled because the failure it avoids is measured, not assumed: on a reliable, saturated teacher the confidence distribution's dynamic range collapses (98% of Pascal pixels >= 0.95), so an adaptive cutoff floods the retention mask and self-training decays into confirmation bias.
Foundation models such as CLIP have enabled open-vocabulary object detectors that generalise to novel categories via vision-language similarity. However, the confidence scores these detectors produce are not reliable localization probability estimates: they conflate visual scale and semantic query specificity with the true detection signal. Through controlled experiments on COCO across three foundation-model-based detectors (GroundingDINO, OWL-ViT, YOLO-World), with the scale-bias finding further replicated on LVIS (1,203 categories) using GroundingDINO, we show that s=cos(v,t) is a biased mixture of two effects. Scale bias (alpha = +0.064, r = 0.579, p = 1.29 x 10^-58) systematically inflates scores for large objects. Semantic bias (beta = -0.705, p = 5.23 x 10^-41) suppresses scores for generic queries. Both biases are structurally inevitable from CLIP's image-level pretraining. Threshold adjustment cannot remove them: oracle per-scale thresholding yields Delta F1 = +0.001 for small objects versus +0.102 for large. A parameter-free temperature scaling correction improves small-object Recall@10 by 19.6% (p < 0.01) without retraining. This comes at a modest, measurable cost to pooled-ranking precision, so the bias is partially, not freely, reversible at inference time. These findings reveal a fundamental limitation of adapting image-level foundation models to region-level detection tasks.
Omprakash Chakraborty, Leo Fillioux, Ismail Ben Ayed +1cs.CV
Deep neural networks often produce poorly calibrated confidence estimates, overstating their certainty even when predictions are incorrect. Temperature Scaling remains the most widely used posthoc calibration method due to its simplicity and effectiveness, yet its global, uniform rescaling of logits fails to correct the highly heterogeneous structure of miscalibration observed across the confidence spectrum. In particular, the largest correctness confidence discrepancies arise in different quantile regions depending on the setting, low confidence predictions, where uncertainty matters most, tend to exhibit the largest correctness confidence discrepancies, which standard TS leaves largely unaddressed. We introduce Quantile Adaptive Temperature Scaling (QaTS), a simple and efficient post hoc calibration method that adapts the temperature as a function of a predictions empirical confidence quantile. By mapping confidences into the quantile space, QaTS normalizes the calibration problem, makes the structure of miscalibration explicit and enables a monotone temperature function that adapts across quantiles while leaving well calibrated high confidence predictions largely unchanged. preserving high confidence behavior. This quantile aware formulation aligns naturally with a reparameterized Expected Calibration Error (ECE) objective and yields a sample wise temperature that is robust across a variety of challenging scenarios, such as class imbalance and distributional shifts. Across a broad range of datasets, architectures, evaluation scenarios and diverse tasks, QaTS consistently, and substantially, outperforms state of the art post hoc calibration methods, delivering more reliable and trustworthy confidence estimates without modifying model predictions.