CAViAR: A Causal Video Dataset for Fine-Grained Accident Reasoning in Real-World Scenarios

While modern autonomous driving systems excel at perception tasks such as object detection and trajectory prediction, they lack the high-level causal reasoning required to interpret traffic accidents. In particular, determining responsibility, such as identifying who is at fault and which traffic rule was violated, remains largely unexplored in current benchmarks. To this end, we introduce CAViAR (Causal Accident Video and Incident Analysis Repository), a human-annotated dashcam benchmark comprising 2,249 real-world accident videos collected from CarCrashDataset (CCD) and Nexar. Each video is annotated with structured labels spanning environmental conditions, accident type, causal explanation, apparent At-Fault Agent, affected agent, and apparent rule-violation category. We benchmark state-of-the-art vision-language models (VLMs), including Cosmos-Reason2, Qwen3-VL, and InternVL3. Once class imbalance is accounted for with majority/random baselines and balanced metrics, perceptual competence is uneven--lighting is nearly solved, whereas weather and road-condition accuracy fall at or below the majority-class baseline---and all models degrade sharply on accident type and responsibility reasoning. Overall, CAViAR exposes a practical Perception--Reasoning Gap: current VLMs may recognize salient context, but do not reliably map visible agent actions to annotated rule-relevant responsibility categories in safety-critical driving scenarios. Code, annotation schema, prompts, and evaluation scripts are available at: https://github.com/nec-labs-ma/CAViAR

FLaRA: Predicting Future Latent Representations for Accident Anticipation

Anticipating traffic accidents from dashcam videos is a critical challenge in intelligent transportation systems. Existing methods typically map visual context directly to a collision probability without explicitly modeling the future evolution of the driving scene. In this paper we propose FLaRA (Predicting Future Latent Representations for Accident Anticipation), a novel predictive architecture that shifts this paradigm by forecasting future latent representations for accident anticipation. Building upon the Video Joint-Embedding Predictive Architecture (V-JEPA2), our model conditions a predictor network on observed context frames to predict the forthcoming latent features of the scene. A classifier then operates on these predicted future representations rather than only on past observations. To ensure these forecasts remain grounded in realistic future dynamics, we introduce a joint training objective that simultaneously optimizes an auxiliary feature-level reconstruction loss and a cross-entropy classification loss. Extensive evaluations on the Nexar dataset, alongside cross-domain validations on the DAD, DADA-2000, and DoTA benchmarks, demonstrate that our approach achieves state-of-the-art performance while maintaining realistic early warning capabilities.

A VideoMAE-v2 Approach to Zero-Shot Traffic Accident Anticipation

Traffic accident anticipation -- predicting the likelihood of an imminent collision at every frame of a dashcam video -- is safety-critical yet difficult to scale, because collecting in-domain annotated accident footage for every deployment scenario is prohibitively expensive. We study this task under a zero-shot setting where no target-domain training data is available: the model must learn exclusively from a publicly available binary-labelled driving-accident dataset and generalise to unseen dashcam footage. We propose a framework that bridges the gap between the frame-level temporal risk estimation task and coarsely labelled binary accident datasets by coupling a VideoMAE-v2 backbone with a per-frame prediction head under a sliding-window protocol. Our method achieves 2nd place in the 2026 CVPR@AUTOPILOT Zero-Shot Accident Anticipation competition. Code is available at https://github.com/TimeSouth/zero-shot-taa-solution.