Md Mahmuddun Nabi Murad, Bora San Turgut, Yasin Yilmazcs.CV
Vessel trajectory prediction is critical for maritime safety and accident prevention. While most existing trajectory prediction models rely on Automatic Identification System (AIS) data due to its precision and availability, small vessels mostly operate without AIS, resulting in a significant monitoring gap. To address this, we propose Mix&Fix-Net, a dual-stage mixer-based trajectory prediction model designed to handle vessel trajectory time-series data derived from both AIS and (non-AIS) vision data. Our architecture integrates a Primary Trajectory Predictor with a Residual Trajectory Adjuster, enabling more refined trajectory prediction. Additionally, we introduce a new video-based dataset derived from webcam streams, from which vessel trajectories are extracted to represent non-AIS data. Extensive evaluations on both AIS and non-AIS datasets across six metrics (mean squared error, mean absolute error, symmetric mean absolute percentage error, final displacement error, Frechet distance, and average Euclidean distance) demonstrate that Mix&Fix-Net consistently outperforms existing baselines across most metrics and datasets.
Modeling object dynamics from limited visual observations is a fundamental problem for enabling accurate motion trajectory prediction in embodied interaction scenarios. Existing dynamics modeling methods first compress reconstructed particle representations into sparse Key Points and model their evolution using locally constrained interactions, thereby discarding fine-grained local details and obscuring discriminative interaction modeling across spatial and temporal scales, leading to drifting trajectories and inaccurate appearance prediction. To tackle these issues, we propose DyG$^2$T, a dynamics modeling framework that infers object motion trajectories by spatially completing and temporally discriminating Key Point representations and modeling multi-scale interaction over particle graphs. Spatially, DyG$^2$T enriches each Key Point by aggregating neighboring raw particle positions to recover fine-grained local details, while explicitly encoding relative offsets among Key Points to enhance geometric structure perception. Temporally, we introduce a Temporal Disentangling Network (TDN) to identify dominant cross-frame variations in latent space and amplify inter-frame differences, yielding temporally discriminative representations that are subsequently aggregated via Temporal Attention to capture frame-wise temporal evolution cues. For comprehensive interaction modeling, a Particle Graph Transformer leverages global attention to preserve discriminative long-range dependencies among Key Points, mitigating representation homogenization induced by locality-constrained modeling and providing a robust basis for accurate trajectory prediction. Experiments on both synthetic and real-world datasets demonstrate that DyG$^2$T achieves accurate dynamics modeling and reasoning, and exhibits strong cross-object and real-world generalization.
Although recent trajectory prediction and end-to-end autonomous driving methods improve robustness in urban environments, they still lack meaningful controllability. Existing benchmarks either provide no persona-conditioned annotations or support only a single urgency spectrum (i.e., emergency, normal, relaxed), which cannot distinguish personas that share the same urgency level but require different driving dynamics. To address this, we propose (i) the Persona-Conditioned Trajectory (PCT) dataset, which decomposes driving personas along two axes, Temporal Urgency and Ride Comfort, and combines three levels of each to form a grid of nine personas, each paired with natural-language descriptions and trajectories, and (ii) PersonaDrive, a framework that can learn driving personas from language and can generate persona-specific trajectories. PersonaDrive incorporates Persona-Conditioned Anchor Transform (PCAT), which hierarchically reshapes anchors along both axes, and Persona-Conditioned Multi-Modal Fusion (PCMF) for BEV-level persona fusion. Training is supervised by a Hierarchical Guide Loss enforcing axis-aligned physical orderings and an Axis-Decomposed Diversity Loss preventing diagonal mode collapse. Experimental results show that PersonaDrive consistently improves over the compared baselines across multi-dimensional scenarios. The code and PCT dataset are available at https://github.com/VisualAIKHU/PersonaDrive
Trajectory prediction has shifted toward structured formulations with explicit social modeling. However, existing methods inadequately distinguish the functional roles of social influence in trajectory planning. Observing that agents typically form motion plans by anticipating others' future behaviors before making local reactive adjustments, we identify social interactions as playing staged roles, namely planning precedes reaction. We propose INTraJ, a unified framework that decomposes social influence into two stages: a planning stage constructs reference trajectories using future social information, and a reaction stage recovers local adjustments from the residual between full-context prediction and the reference. INTraJ supports both multi-target and single-target paradigms. Extensive experiments on four standard benchmarks, including Argoverse 2, Argoverse 2-ped, ETH/UCY, and SDD, demonstrate consistent improvements, particularly in FDE and long-horizon consistency, with state-of-the-art performance achieved in several settings. INTraJ reframes trajectory prediction as a planning-driven two-stage process, validating that staged social modeling is critical for stable predictions. The code is publicly available at https://github.com/11isnotavailable/INTraJ.
Md Mustafizur Rahman, Guangchao Yang, A F M Abdun Noor +3cs.CV
Accurate pedestrian trajectory prediction in crowded environments remains challenging due to the multimodal uncertainty of human motion and the variable complexity of motion dynamics across different scene contexts. Existing goal-conditioned models rely on static displacement structures that assign equal weight to all historical time steps, standard graph attention mechanisms, and fixed-capacity motion decoders that cannot adapt to local prediction complexity. To address these limitations, we propose TSCA-Net, a trajectory prediction framework built upon three complementary modules. The Temporal-Spatial Clique Attention (TSCA) module introduces learnable temporal gating into clique-based goal-history interaction, enabling time-aware modulation of historical observations relative to each candidate goal. The Cross-Pedestrian Clique Potential (CPCP) module models asymmetric pairwise agent relationships through a dynamic clique potential framework with a time-varying social graph. The Adaptive KAN Grid Refinement (AKGR) mechanism dynamically adjusts the B-spline grid resolution of a Kolmogorov-Arnold Network-augmented LSTM decoder based on per-agent goal distribution entropy, balancing model expressiveness against overfitting across varying motion complexities. Extensive experiments on the ETH/UCY and Stanford Drone Dataset benchmarks demonstrate that TSCA-Net achieves state-of-the-art performance, with average ADE/FDE of 0.13/0.20 m on ETH/UCY and 6.95/10.43 pixels on SDD. Comprehensive ablation studies confirm the complementary contributions of all three proposed modules.
Theodor Westny, David Axelsson, Björn Olofsson +1cs.CV
The growing availability of trajectory datasets has fueled major advances in data-driven motion prediction. Yet, models trained on one dataset often fail to generalize beyond their training domain as a result of differences in scene layouts, agent behaviors, and sensing conditions. A framework that learns latent representations of datasets and quantifies their similarity using distributional metrics is presented. This large-scale study covers 24 major datasets, including the most widely used motion-prediction benchmarks, and shows that the resulting transferability scores strongly correlate with cross-dataset model performance. The results provide practical guidance for dataset selection, pretraining, and large-scale foundation models for motion prediction, paving the way toward more generalizable and robust predictive systems.
Pedestrian trajectory prediction requires modeling temporal dynamics, multimodal cues, and social interactions in crowded environments. Existing methods often address these factors separately or entangle them in costly attention blocks, limiting scalability, flexibility, and interpretability. We propose a three-step hierarchical Transformer that explicitly separates temporal encoding, multimodal fusion, and scene-level interaction reasoning. Lightweight GRU summaries enable efficient cross-modal attention, while social attention over time--agent tokens captures inter-pedestrian influences at manageable cost. Experiments on JTA, JRDB, and the Pedestrians and Cyclists in Road Traffic dataset show state-of-the-art performance on real-world datasets (JRDB, Urban) and competitive results on JTA. Ablation and qualitative analyses confirm the contribution of each stage and the model's ability to anticipate complex behaviors such as early turning.
Deepgenerative models havebecomeapromisingapproach for human motion prediction due to their ability to capture multimodal distributions and represent diverse human be haviors. However, generating predictions that are both di verse and jointly consistent among interacting agents re mains challenging. In addition, most existing approaches are primarily evaluated using single-agent (marginal) met rics, which fail to fully reflect the joint dynamics of multi agent interactions. We propose a diffusion-based frame work that improves multi-agent motion prediction by lever aging rich contextual information from historical trajecto ries. This information is incorporated through a guidance mechanism to enhance the diversity and expressiveness of predicted motions. To further enforce interaction consis tency, we introduce an energy-based formulation that re fines the joint trajectory distribution while preserving the plausibility of individual trajectories. Extensive experi ments on four benchmark datasets demonstrate that our approach consistently outperforms existing methods. No tably, our approach substantially improves both marginal (ADE/FDE) and joint (JADE/JFDE) metrics on ETH/UCY over strong marginal baselines. Compared with prior joint prediction methods, it delivers significant gains in marginal metrics while maintaining competitive joint performance.