Joint-embedding predictive architectures are selected almost universally by linear probing and effective rank. We report a case where both read healthily while the representation carries zero usable instance information. We repair it, and a second failure appears: the repaired metric saturates on a target carrying no structural information. Our corpus is a scientific-reasoning graph over 57,903 articles, each a subgraph. A Graph-JEPA predicts one masked aspect from a subgraph's remaining aspects, attaining linear-probe accuracy 0.871 and effective rank 18-47, yet retrieval recovers 0.00 of 14.4 bits (MRR 1.9e-4 vs chance 1.99e-4, p=0.98). Three upper bounds on the same pool and code recover nearly everything (+14.28, +14.34, +14.22 bits), ruling out corpus, masking, pool, and metric as causes. We trace this to variance allocation - frozen inputs place 86.05% of variance on subgraph identity and 0.40% on aspect identity, while trained latents place 0.39% and 99.61%. This is a property of the objective's optimum: the degenerate solution is a global minimum of the coupled predictor/EMA-target objective, present already at init. A repaired configuration reaches 14.377 of 14.379 bits, above the 13.865-bit oracle; reverting the loss to regression drops it to 0.307 bits, confirming it. Yet the repair licenses nothing about reasoning: the target is reducible, since intra-subgraph edges are a deterministic function of node census. The oracle reaches 96.4% of the ceiling, and our largest effect is the learning-rate schedule, not architecture. Bits and a reasoning probe show no relation across ten cells. A data-derived target fails a quality gate - 25.96% of nodes are duplicate placeholders, and the rest is more generic than supporting evidence. Rank, probes, and metrics can all saturate on an unsupportive evaluation. We release a harness with a reducibility audit and target gate.
Evaluating Knowledge Graph Completion (KGC) models remains challenging because standard assessment relies on isolated rank-based metrics such as MRR, Hits$@$k, and Mean Rank, which often produce conflicting model orderings across datasets. A model that leads on MRR may trail on Hits@1, and strong performance on one dataset may not generalize to another. This fragmentation hinders comparison, enables selective reporting, and obscures real progress. We reframe KGC evaluation as a Multi-Criteria Decision-Making (MCDM) problem and present a meta-analysis of seven aggregators across five tests: consistency, cross-dataset stability, metric independence, robustness under noise, and generalizability. Each test is averaged over leave-one-model-out (LOMO) and leave-one-group-out (LOGO) removals so that reliability reflects aggregator behavior across diverse model subsets. Across tail $(h,r,?)$ and relation $(h,?,t)$ prediction, Pareto-optimal analysis identifies Z-score as the most balanced aggregator, which ranks DualE highest for tail prediction and FMS (Flow-Modulated Scoring) highest for relation prediction. A test-sensitivity analysis using the same removals shows that consistency and stability are largely removal-invariant, while generalizability and independence are the most sensitive. The framework resolves evaluation inconsistencies and offers evidence-based guidance for aggregator selection and model benchmarking in KGC.
Knowledge graph completion (KGC) aims to predict missing facts from an observed knowledge graph (KG), playing a crucial role in a wide range of real-world applications such as drug discovery, recommender systems, and retrieval-augmented generation (RAG). Although numerous KGC models have been proposed, the evaluation of KGC remains underexplored, despite its critical role in reliably assessing model performance and selecting appropriate models for real-world applications. In this paper, we introduce two important perspectives for KGC evaluation that are overlooked by existing evaluation metrics, (P1) predictive sharpness and (P2) popularity-bias robustness. To address both perspectives, we propose a generalized evaluation framework, PROBE, which consists of a rank transformer (RT) that estimates the score of each prediction based on a desired level of predictive sharpness and a rank aggregator (RA) that determines the final evaluation score by aggregating all prediction scores according to a desired level of popularity-bias robustness. We theoretically analyze PROBE by defining six key properties for reliable KGC evaluation and prove that PROBE satisfies all the properties, while existing metrics fail to satisfy some. In particular, due to the open-world nature of KGs, an evaluation metric should preserve the relative performance of KGC models even when only incomplete facts are observed. We show that PROBE better maintains such consistency, providing a more reliable estimate of intrinsic model performance than existing metrics. Extensive experiments with six KGC models on six real-world KGs reveal that existing metrics may over- or under-estimate model performance depending on different evaluation perspectives, whereas PROBE enables a more comprehensive, flexible, and consistent evaluation of KGC models.