Disentangling Latent Risk Pathways via Bayesian Hypergraph Inference

Electronic health records (EHR) pose large-scale multi-disease modeling problems in which many outcomes are rare and strongly influenced by shared risk factors. While modern approaches achieve strong predictive performance, they often treat diseases independently or rely on black-box architectures, offering limited insight into how risk factors organize disease risk and little principled uncertainty quantification. We introduce a Bayesian hypergraph inference framework that reframes multi-disease modeling around latent, risk-factor-modulated disease pathways. Risk factors act on hyperedges, latent disease subsets with shared risk patterns, allowing diseases to participate in multiple distinct pathways and enabling interpretable, higher-order structure beyond pairwise associations. A repulsion prior encourages parsimonious and identifiable structure, while posterior inference provides calibrated uncertainty over both disease groupings and risk-factor influence. To enable scalable inference on large EHR datasets, we develop a structured variational inference algorithm that preserves logical dependencies among hyperedge existence, disease membership, and pathway-level effects. Experiments on simulated data and UK Biobank demonstrate stable and interpretable disease pathway structure, well-calibrated uncertainty, improved estimation for rare diseases, and competitive predictive performance.

RePCM: Region-Specific and Phenotype-Adaptive Bi-Ventricular Cardiac Motion Synthesis

Cardiac motion over a cardiac cycle is crucial for quantifying regional function and is strongly affected by cardiovascular diseases. Since temporally dense mesh sequences are difficult to obtain in practice, we focus on leveraging the more accessible end-diastolic frame to infer a full-cycle sequence. Due to strong regional and disease-specific differences, traditional methods often oversmooth the data by relying on generative models that are optimized for global patterns. To address this problem, we propose Region-Aware and Phenotype-Adaptive Bi-Ventricular Cardiac Motion Synthesis (RePCM) for single frame Bi-ventricular mesh motion completion. In Stage I, a reconstruction network learns vertex wise motion descriptors and clustering yields a data driven functional partition, providing an explicit motion derived region structure. In Stage II, a Region-Specific Injection Module enforces masked, synchronized region exchange within a conditional VAE, preserving localized specific dynamics and restricting cross-region mixing. A Phenotype-Adaptive Mixture-of-Experts prior conditioned on ED shape uses anatomy-guided cues to model latent motion trends and capture inter-disease variability. Experiments on three datasets covering different cardiovascular diseases show consistent gains in geometric and functional metrics and improved preservation of region specific dynamics.