Nipa Anjum, Md Irfan Pavel, Robert Gonzalez +4cs.HC cs.AI cs.LG
Ensuring a safe virtual reality (VR) experience requires systems that can predict and respond when users lose their balance. Although prior work has examined fall prediction and motion sickness, many approaches are regression-based and postural state classification remains less explored. This study compares machine learning (ML) and deep learning (DL) models for classifying postural states in VR under visual perturbations. We used a multimodal dataset containing kinematic, electromyographic (EMG), and electrodermal activity (EDA) signals. The data were prepared for a binary task to distinguish balanced from imbalanced postural states, and participant-wise downsampling addressed class imbalance. All models were evaluated with Leave-One-Participant-Out (LOPO) cross-validation to test generalization to unseen participants. Among the models, the Mamba-inspired CNN (MI-CNN) achieved the highest accuracy of 96.76%. SHapley Additive exPlanations (SHAP) analysis improved interpretability and identified the most influential classification factors. The SHAP results showed that kinematic features were dominant, indicating that body-motion patterns are informative for detecting imbalance in VR. We also evaluated MI-CNN using only the top two-thirds of features ranked by SHAP importance. Despite a 33% reduction in input dimensionality, the model maintained performance, achieving 0.957 accuracy and 0.957 F1-score, with about a 1% decrease compared with the full-feature model. These findings suggest that multimodal sensing, temporal deep learning, and explainable AI can support reliable classification of balance-related instability in VR. Accurate recognition of imbalanced postural states may raise awareness of fall risk and guide safer, adaptive VR systems that respond to instability while improving user safety and experience. Code is available at: https://github.com/NipaAnjum/MI-CNN.
Shubham Innani, Suhang You, Adam Shephard +13cs.AI cs.CV
Computational pathology (CompPath) is transforming medicine by leveraging artificial intelligence (AI) algorithms to support diagnosis, prognosis, and treatment prediction from gigapixel whole-slide images. Clinical adoption is progressing, but is constrained by concerns about safety, accountability, and regulatory oversight in high-stakes clinical environments. Explainable AI (XAI) systems hold promise for building trust and enabling verification, yet the literature remains fragmented due to inconsistent terminology, overlapping methodological families, ad hoc validation, and current reviews. This review aims to formalize XAI methods in CompPath through the: i) introduction of a pathology-centric vocabulary comprising seven core terms; ii) development of a taxonomy across methodological families and three orthogonal axes (stage, type, scope); and iii) establishment of a task-driven framework that maps five clinical questions to recommended methods, method evaluation, and deployment context. Five key gaps between current XAI capabilities and clinical deployment are identified, and actionable steps are proposed to advance XAI for CompPath.
Li Rong Wang, Jamie Duell, Xinran Xu +6cs.LG cs.AI
Artificial intelligence has strong potential to support clinical decision-making, yet its adoption in healthcare remains limited due to a lack of trust. Uncertainty estimation can signal unreliable predictions, and explainable AI (XAI) can clarify how predictions are made but existing methods treat them separately, providing no feature-level insight into why a prediction is uncertain or which tests to prioritize to reduce it. To address this gap, we propose explainable uncertainty estimation, which unifies uncertainty estimation and XAI to both quantify uncertainty and explain feature-level contributions. We introduce the Expected Gradients Reconstruction Uncertainty Estimate (egRUE), which incorporates prediction explanations into its uncertainty computation and decomposes uncertainty into feature-wise contributions. We prove theoretical properties of egRUE and show through experiments that it improves reliability and interpretability compared to existing methods. A user study with medical experts further demonstrates that egRUE's explanations improve calibrated trust over uncertainty scores alone, increasing confidence in correct predictions and reducing confidence in incorrect ones. By combining prediction uncertainty with feature-level explanations, egRUE strengthens decision-making support in safety-critical healthcare settings, clarifying both when predictions may be unreliable and which features drive that uncertainty.
Md. Rokon Islam Emon, Syed Shariar Alam Shuvo, Shahriar Siddique Ayon +2cs.LG
Postpartum depression (PPD) poses a major burden on maternal and child health, especially in low- and middle-income countries where prevalence exceeds 19%. Despite advancements in machine learning for PPD prediction, current approaches are limited by opaque global explanations that lack clinical usefulness at the patient level, unstable feature selection, and poor generalization under class imbalance. We propose SAGE, a Stability-Aware Graph-Based Ensemble feature selection system that incorporates both local explainable AI and a genetically optimized artificial neural network (GA-ANN). Using a primary cohort of 766 postpartum women, SAGE combines information-theoretic relevance, PCA-based structure, and graph-based interactions with bootstrap stability weighting to identify robust and non-redundant predictors. The GA-ANN architecture, optimized using a genetic algorithm and enhanced with GAN based oversampling, achieved strong performance with 87.96% accuracy, 86.32% F1 score, and 0.88 AUC using only 16 features, outperforming baseline and other feature selection methods. Psychological and socioeconomic factors such as EPDS score, PHQ-9 score, feelings about motherhood, and abuse history are the main predictors, while demographic factors have less influence. The LIME-based explanations allow instance-based insight into selected features from the graph, enabling personalized risk assessment. The findings make SAGE a scalable, interpretable, and clinical tool for early identification of PPD in health-care limited resources.
Mohammad Javad Ahmadi, Hamid D. Taghiradcs.CV cs.AI
Persistent shortages in the surgical workforce and inherent limitations of traditional training methods highlight the necessity of automated, data-driven approaches in surgical education. This study addresses these challenges by introducing a novel, explainable AI-powered framework for automated skill assessment, specifically focusing on cataract surgery. We present the world's largest dataset of cataract surgery videos, comprising 2,000 recordings. Additionally, we propose an AI-powered analytical framework that employs advanced computer vision and signal-processing techniques to automatically evaluate surgical videos to derive objective, quantitative performance indicators that complement or potentially replace subjective scoring methods. A significant advantage of our framework over previous methods lies precisely in its explainability of outputs, elevating it beyond merely an opaque skill classification tool. Through experimental analysis of 83 cataract surgery videos, we demonstrate that the automatically computed metrics exhibit strong correlations with expert-based subjective evaluations, achieving up to 87% accuracy in surgical skill assessment. Each metric was individually examined, and expert surgeons provided subjective ratings using the newly introduced Capsulorhexis Skill Assessment System (CSAS). These subjective assessments were compared with ten objective motion-based metrics extracted through our framework. The results indicated a robust correlation between subjective ratings and automated indicators, underscoring the framework's capacity to accurately model surgical expertise.
Worldwide, millions of senior citizens are suffering from Alzheimer disease abbreviated as AD, a well- versed form of dementia. AD is featured by amnesia, intellectual disability, and difficulty with consciousness. DL and ML models are undoubtedly explored to identify AD related patterns on large dimensional neuroimaging data but they need global optimization and are suffering from overfitting issue that might yield dissatisfactory result in testing data set. DL overcomes the issue by convolution of input image with kernel but any sudden change in the MRI image or human manipulation, limited pre- processing of the images can mislead CNN in achieving highly accurate detection. Transfer Learning (TL) has proved itself in AD diagnosis by utilizing pre-trained models on large data sets to guide novice model in a new neuroimaging dataset. This review provides an inclusive glimpse of TL implication in classification, identification including the conversion of AD. Keeping in view, we have assessed the strengths and limitations of TL in improvising diagnostic accuracy even with limited data. The uniqueness of the present review is the incorporation of explainable AI in TL based AD diagnosis system. Finally, it can be claimed that the review will guide the new re-searchers in the area of TL induced neurodegenerative disease detection.
Skin cancer diagnosis from dermoscopic images remains challenging due to high intra-class variability, inter-class similarity, class imbalance, and the limited interpretability of deep learning models. This paper proposes an uncertainty-aware and explainable deep learning framework for multi-class skin lesion classification. The framework combines a vision transformer model (MaxViT-Tiny) with CNN-based models (ConvNeXt-Tiny and EfficientNetV2-B0) through deep ensemble learning. Monte Carlo (MC) Dropout estimates predictive uncertainty and identifies unreliable predictions, while Grad-CAM++, an explainable AI (XAI) technique, provides visual explanations by highlighting lesion regions that influence model decisions. Evaluated on the HAM10000 dataset, the framework achieves 96% accuracy and 99% ROC-AUC under uncertainty-aware filtering (entropy < 1.0, confidence >= 0.7), with macro-average precision, recall, and F1-score of 94%, 95%, and 95%, respectively, and 96% weighted-average scores across all three metrics. The results demonstrate accurate, interpretable, and uncertainty-aware skin lesion classification for trustworthy computer-aided diagnosis.
Rehan Ahmad, Gousia Habib, Muhammad Shaban +1cs.CV
Chronic kidney disease (CKD) is a silent disease. Its progression may not significantly hamper a person's daily routine. Human kidney function can be classified as normal or as one of the five stages of CKD. Early detection of the CKD stage can help patients understand the functional status of their kidneys and follow medical advice to slow CKD progression. In this paper, we propose XEns-CKD, a novel ensemble vision transformer-based scheme for CKD stage classification using ultrasound images. Three ViTs were trained on a private ultrasound image dataset using different training parameters. The performance of each ViT was evaluated using macro sensitivity, macro specificity, macro precision, macro F1-score, macro Youden index, the Matthews correlation coefficient (MCC), and macro balanced accuracy. The ensemble model achieved an overall classification accuracy of 86.36%. This work also emphasizes identifying and interpreting kidney regions affected by CKD progression. Explainable artificial intelligence techniques, including LIME, LRP, Attention-Min, and Attention-Max, were used to improve model transparency and clinical trust. An attention map combining the Attention-Min and Attention-Max results effectively identified and interpreted kidney regions affected during CKD progression from one stage to another. The attention map also highlighted the effects of CKD progression in these regions. Compared with existing methods, the proposed method classified the five CKD stages and normal kidney status with a 4% improvement in accuracy.
Eliciting explainable AI (XAI) requirements from stroke survivors presents a methodological challenge with direct implications for the design of trustworthy brain-computer interfaces for rehabilitation. How can patients and caregivers articulate preferences about algorithmic transparency when they lack conceptual frameworks for explainability, and when standard elicitation approaches are structurally inadequate for users with acquired communication disorders? We present a video-based scaffolding protocol for XAI requirements elicitation, developed and piloted in a rehabilitation context. In a formative study with three stroke survivors (two with moderate-to-severe aphasia) and three caregivers, facilitators employed four scaffolding approaches alongside the videos: 1) analogical bridging mapping AI states to familiar systems, 2) projective personas depersonalising sensitive topics, 3) binary forcing reducing cognitive load, and 4) extended response time. These approaches successfully surfaced heterogeneous, sometimes conflicting XAI needs across participants. Reflexive analysis additionally revealed three systematic facilitation biases, namely, normative bias, hypothesis confirmation bias, and presence effect, where scaffolding inadvertently shaped responses. We present these as protocol risk guidelines for practitioners. Together, the protocol and guidelines constitute a reusable methodological contribution for eliciting patient-facing XAI requirements in rehabilitation, arguing that such elicitation is a necessary prerequisite for trustworthy human-machine systems design, not an optional preliminary.
Md Zahid Hasan Ontor, Md Al Amin, Anik Dev Nath +1cs.LG cs.AI
Chronic Kidney Disease (CKD), characterized by the gradual loss of kidney function, remains a significant public health challenge. Early detection is crucial for preventing severe complications and enhancing patient outcomes. In this study, Federated Learning (FL) with a VotingClassifier was used to predict CKD using a clinical dataset, where Random Forest, AdaBoost, and XGBoost were utilized to compare and identify the best-fitting model for the global server. Additionally, GridSearchCV was applied to optimize the models' performance on the client's side. To enhance model transparency and trustworthiness, explainable AI (XAI) techniques were incorporated to interpret the prediction mechanisms. The global model's average accuracy was 99%, highlighting the potential of interpretable FL models in supporting early CKD diagnosis and advancing data-driven healthcare solutions.
Annotation quality is a major bottleneck in building reliable and explainable artificial intelligence (XAI) systems for mental health research. In depression-related datasets, labels are often assigned without structured evidence, symptom-level justification, or traceable alignment with the criteria of the Diagnostic and Statistical Manual of Mental Disorders, Fifth Edition, Text Revision (DSM-5-TR), limiting both transparency and downstream model interpretability. We propose a self-evolving, expert-in-the-loop annotation framework for Major Depressive Disorder (MDD) that combines large language model (LLM)-assisted labeling with expert verification. The framework is intended to support the construction of explainable, DSM-5-TR-aligned datasets rather than to perform clinical diagnosis. It operates in three stages: candidate evidence selection from textual records, criterion-level DSM-5-TR analysis, and case-level synthesis that produces label-level diagnostic and severity annotations. A dual-memory architecture, composed of Example Memory and Reflection Memory, is designed to internalize expert feedback and iteratively improve future annotations without retraining. We describe this mechanism and leave its evaluation across multiple feedback cycles to future work. In addition to final labels, the framework exports clinical evidence, reasoning traces, and edit histories, enabling comprehensive auditability. In a pilot study using expert-reviewed samples, the proposed approach improves annotation consistency and explainability while reducing manual revision effort.
Concept-based explainable artificial intelligence (AI) can make model reasoning more human-understandable, but concept-level outputs are not automatically trustworthy. We introduce ConceptSMILE, a model-agnostic perturbation-based auditing framework for evaluating the reliability of concept-based explanations. Rather than replacing SMILE, ConceptSMILE extends its perturbation-based logic from feature- or region-level attribution to the auditing of human-understandable concept explanations. The framework perturbs input regions, measures concept-response shifts, applies locality weighting, and fits an XGBoost surrogate to approximate local concept behaviour. Reliability is assessed through attribution accuracy, surrogate fidelity, faithfulness, stability, and consistency. We evaluate ConceptSMILE on retinal fundus images by comparing MedSAM-derived visual concepts with VLM-based semantic concepts. Results show that reliability varies across concepts and pathways: MedSAM achieves stronger spatial attribution and the highest surrogate fidelity ($R^2 = 0.8503$, $R_w^2 = 0.8465$), while the VLM pathway shows stronger vessel faithfulness and stronger stability under selected artefact conditions. ConceptSMILE provides an independent audit layer for evaluating the trustworthiness of concept-based XAI.
Glaucoma is a leading cause of irreversible blindness worldwide, yet most automated diagnosis systems rely on opaque deep-learning models that offer little clinical interpretability. We present GlaKG, a biomarker-centric fundus knowledge graph that integrates structural biomarkers, clinically grounded rules, and image features to produce traceable reasoning for glaucoma diagnosis and risk stratification. GlaKG encodes six entity types (Fundus Image, Optic Disc, Neural Rim, Pathology, Diagnosis, Risk Level), eight relation types, and 11 clinically validated rules into a unified graph, so that every prediction is accompanied by an explicit reasoning chain linking biomarker evidence to activated clinical rules. To keep knowledge-based reasoning strictly separate from label information, we adopt a post-processing fusion framework that combines ResNet50 image embeddings with a normalized KG reasoning-chain score via a tunable weight alpha, with all fitting confined to the training split. On a publicly available, AI-annotated fundus dataset, GlaKG reaches F1 = 0.9953 for binary glaucoma classification and 0.930 accuracy with 0.922 weighted F1 for four-class risk stratification; we report openly that the dataset's biomarker annotations are highly label-correlated, and therefore frame these figures as an upper bound attainable with clean structured biomarkers rather than as leakage-free image-only performance. Feature-importance analysis shows KG-derived and biomarker features contributing near-equally (51.1% vs. 48.9%), and the reasoning chain flags borderline cases by exposing low chain scores rather than failing silently. GlaKG's central contribution is therefore a clinically auditable reasoning framework that complements raw predictive performance by explicitly exposing the biomarker evidence and rule activations behind each decision.
Color fundus photography (CFP) is the most common ophthalmic imaging modality for large-scale screening. However, it is highly susceptible to degradations, making robust fundus image quality assessment (FIQA) crucial. The criteria for what constitutes high-quality at the image level vary across clinical tasks, making FIQA dependent on expert knowledge. This motivated the development of automated methods and datasets. While existing datasets aim to standardize image-level quality, their criteria often differ. Furthermore, image-level labels preclude the quantitative evaluation of localized degradations, which is essential for trustworthy FIQA. We argue that pixel-level FIQA based on anatomical visibility represents a more task-agnostic, explainable approach. In this work, we introduce FunPiQ, the first FIQA benchmark to provide pixel-level quality annotations. In addition, we propose EFIQA-CP, an explainable-by-design (EBD) method that uses quality pseudo-labels based on anatomical visibility to train a CNN via Non-Negative Positive-Unlabeled learning. Extensive evaluations of classification methods with post-hoc explanations, anomaly detection methods, and EBD methods demonstrate the superior performance of the last and, particularly, of EFIQA-CP.
Explainability techniques are used to assess the output of various deep learning models. This is especially true in healthcare, where models need to be trusted and decisions justified. Explainability (XAI) tools use heuristics which often add signal noise to the explanation "core". It is not always obvious what is signal from the model and what is noise from the XAI. We propose the use of spectral entropy as a measure of noise in XAI output. We demonstrate its usefulness in the context of classifying arrhythmias in an ECG dataset with different post hoc explainability techniques.
One of the significant mental health issues affecting female sex workers (FSWs) is mental disorders, especially depression. Exposure to violence, stigma, and economic hardship further increases their psychological risk. Current machine learning (ML) models are typically ineffective at capturing the high-dimensional and complex risk patterns that exist in this marginalized group. This paper suggests a hybrid predictive model that merges an ensemble feature selection strategy using ANOVA and mutual information and Harris Hawks optimization-tuned logistic regression and represents a new application of swarm intelligence to predict mental health in vulnerable groups. The explainable AI (XAI) methods can be used to understand the factors of trauma associated with model predictions. When applied to a group of 3,005 FSWs, it can be seen that the proposed model is more effective than traditional classifiers, with an accuracy of 95.78%, an F1 score of 95.77%, and an AUC of 0.96, and identifying post-traumatic stress, client-related violence, and occupational factors as major contributors to depression. This work bridges the gaps between conventional and ML approaches to develop an XAI tool that enables vulnerable groups to receive early assistance, evidence-based targeted psychosocial care, and health planning.
Career anxiety and depression among university students present a growing challenge to mental health and academic achievement. This study proposes an Explainable AI (XAI) framework using multimodal data and Federated Learning (FL) to identify early indicators of career-related mental health problems in a privacy-preserving and culturally responsive manner. The framework combines structured behavioral data and facial emotion features from interview videos via an intermediate fusion neural network with attention mechanisms. Label smoothing was applied to improve model generalizability. FL was used across institutions to enable collaborative training without raw data sharing. Evaluation was conducted using the Student Mental Health Survey dataset from university students across Pakistan. Our model attained an F1-score of 89.12%, recall of 86.54%, accuracy of 92.08%, and precision of 91.88%. Using Integrated Gradients and SHAP, the model identified key behavioral markers of depression including avoidance of direct gaze, lower facial expressiveness, and social withdrawal, consistent with psychological theory. This research presents an interpretable, scalable, and context-sensitive AI system for mental health pre-diagnosis with potential integration into student support services globally.
The noise of Magnetic Resonance Imaging MRI poses challenges for Deep Learning DL when tumor boundaries are obscured tumor location and appearance are complex Therefore we develop BrainFusionNet that combines Convolutional Neural Networks CNNs Vision Transformers ViT and Gated Recurrent Units GRUs to extract spatial contextual and sequential features from MRI images for improved brain tumor classification Furthermore explainable AI such as SHAP LIME and GradCAM are integrated to visualise and highlight image regions that contribute to BrainFusionNets decisionmaking process The proposed BrainFusionNet model is evaluated on two publicly available MRI datasets Kfold validation suggests 98 accuracy on both datasets The model was compared with the six stateoftheart SOTA CNNs and transfer learning Among the SOTA CNNs DenseNet121 and VGG16 achieved the highest accuracy of 96 The novelty of BrainFusionNet is that the hybrid model effectively extracts local and global features from MRI images even in smallscale tumor regions and small tumor sizes The model has a balanced sequential CNN architecture to capture lowlevel and deeperlayer features a customized ViT that captures local features stabilizes gradient flow and reduces the risk of vanishing gradients during MRI image training The CNN and ViT outputs are fed into a GRU for final classification Furthermore we analyze pixel intensities to determine whether MRI image quality affects image classification Our findings are very novel in image interpretation as we found that the distribution of pixel intensities in MRI images affects DL performance
Lemei Zhang, Peng Liu, Hans Dahle Kvadsheim +5cs.LG
Decoding emotional states from neural signals has been typically framed as a discrete, single-label classification task based on emotionally stable stimuli, a formulation that oversimplifies the continuous, fluid, and co-occurring nature of human affect. This study reconceptualizes emotion decoding by adopting a multi-target regression framework to track multiple overlapping emotional dimensions as continuous trajectories over time. Leveraging the robust generalization capabilities of Large Language Models (LLMs), we extracted fine-grained, continuous sentiment profiles from a naturalistic auditory narrative, Alice in Wonderland, to serve as scalable proxies for subjective affect from human fMRI dataset. Departing from standard classification paradigms or mass-univariate subtractive contrasts that filter out network dynamics, we leverage regularized and kernel-based machine learning algorithms as continuous estimators to track the magnitude of macroscale neural state variations. We demonstrate that models trained on temporal snapshots of Dynamic Functional Connectivity (DFC) significantly outperform static region-of-interest (ROI) amplitude representations, effectively capturing continuous emotional trajectories under rapidly fluctuating narrative input. Furthermore, by implementing graph-theoretical Explainable AI (XAI) techniques, we deconstruct the underlying predictive features to reveal highly interpretable, emotion-specific topological configurations. Collectively, these results highlight the utility of LLM-automated annotation in affective neuroscience and provide compelling empirical evidence for psychological constructionist frameworks, demonstrating that dynamic, distributed network interactions offer superior explanatory power over strictly locationist accounts of emotion.
Junyu Yan, Damian Machlanski, Kurt Butler +4cs.LG cs.AI stat.AP
Predictive modelling is important for health data analysis and data-driven clinical decision-making. However, predictive studies are challenging to design optimally by hand when tens or even hundreds of features require selection, transformation, or interaction modelling. While complex machine learning models offer high performance, their "black-box" nature limits the clinical trust, transparency, and interpretability required for decision-making. We developed and evaluated an Exploratory AI Recommender that provides data-driven recommendations to improve predictive performance of existing interpretable statistical models. The developed framework uses flexible AI modelling to capture complex data patterns and explainable AI techniques to translate the patterns into three recommendation types: feature exclusion, non-linear terms, and feature interactions. We evaluated the framework by comparing predictive performance of a baseline (i.e., no interactions or non-linear terms) Cox Proportional Hazards (CPH) model against an augmented CPH incorporating recommendations suggested by our method. The primary analysis predicts the time to the first occurrence of a fall or related injury in 245,614 patients. Our method recommended excluding 23 features, including non-linear terms for two features, and including 221 suggested feature interactions. The C-index improved from 0.805 (95% CI 0.798-0.812) to 0.815 (95% CI 0.809-0.822), and so did calibration (intercept: -0.006 to 0.003; slope: 1.063 to 0.950). All recommendations were supported by existing literature. The method also proved effective on two additional public datasets, demonstrating wider applicability. The proposed Exploratory AI Recommender demonstrates the potential of explainable AI and data-driven study design to improve the process of developing, and the performance of high-dimensional transparent predictive models.
Optical coherence tomography (OCT), a commonly used retinal imaging modality, plays a central role in retinal disease diagnosis by providing high-resolution visualization of retinal layers. While deep learning (DL) has achieved expert-level accuracy in OCT-based retinal disease detection, its "black box" nature poses challenges for clinical adoption, where explainability is essential for clinical trust and regulatory approval. Existing post-hoc explainable AI (XAI) methods often struggle to delineate fine-grained lesion structures, respect anatomical boundaries, or suppress noise, limiting the trustworthiness of their explanations. To bridge these gaps, we propose a Structure-Aware Interpretable Learning (SAIL) framework that integrates retinal anatomical priors at the representation level and couples them with semantic features via a fusion design. Without modifying standard post-hoc explainability methods, this representation yields sharper and more anatomically aligned attribution maps. Comprehensive experiments on diverse OCT datasets demonstrate that our structure-aware method consistently enhances interpretability, producing clinically meaningful and anatomy-aware explanations. Ablation studies further show that strong interpretability requires both structural priors and semantic features, and that properly fusing the two is critical to achieve the best explanation quality. Together, these results highlight structure-aware representations as a key step toward reliable explainability in OCT.
Maciej Wisniewski, Bartosz Topolski, Pawel Dabrowski-Tumanski +2cs.AI
Drug-induced liver injury (DILI) remains a leading cause of late-stage clinical trial attrition. However, existing computational predictors primarily rely on binary classification, a framing that limits generalization and yields no mechanistic insight to guide translational decisions. We argue that DILI prediction is better posed as an explainable hypothesis-generation problem. To support this shift, we introduce the DILER Benchmark, a dataset that extends beyond binary labels by augmenting a curated set of molecules with mechanistic hepatotoxicity hypotheses derived from biomedical literature. We further present HADES, an agentic system designed to generate transparent and auditable reasoning traces. By combining molecular-level predictions, metabolite decomposition, structural understanding, and toxicity pathway evidence, HADES mechanistically assesses DILI risk. Evaluated on the DILER Benchmark, HADES outperforms existing models in binary classification, achieving a ROC-AUC of 0.68 on the Test Set and 0.59 on the challenging Post-2021 Set, compared with 0.63 and 0.50 for DILI-Predictor, respectively. More importantly, we establish a baseline for mechanistic hypothesis generation, where HADES achieves a Hypothesis Alignment Fuzzy Jaccard Index of 0.16. This result underscores the inherent complexity of the task while highlighting the need for advanced explainable approaches in predictive toxicology.