Loud or Silent? A Reusable Framework for Per-Modality Failure Analysis in Multimodal Clinical AI

Multimodal clinical models are usually judged on accuracy with every modality present, but deployment removes modalities; an echocardiogram is often unavailable where an ECG is routine. Two questions then matter beyond the size of the accuracy loss: which modality was responsible, and whether the model fails loudly or silently once that modality is dropped. The distinction is per-example and modality-level, and is separate from post-hoc feature attribution (e.g. SHAP). Models are replaced often; the evaluation that answers these questions is reused. We present a model-agnostic modality-failure framework: given N modality embeddings, any mask-aware probe, and labels, it returns a per-example failure taxonomy, a per-modality complementarity matrix that attributes error to modalities, and a loud-vs-silent dropout profile separating monitorable failures from those that pass unflagged far from the decision boundary, using only deployment-observable signals. We release it as a small, unit-tested harness and validate it against planted ground truth. Across seeds it recovers that planted modality dominance and complementary subset, reports per-modality loud-vs-silent rates, and scales to a three-modality complementarity matrix; because the planted structure is known by construction, this validates recovery of per-example attribution rather than clinical performance. We then instantiate the framework on frozen EchoJEPA and HuBERT-ECG embeddings for LVEF and the EF <= 40% HFrEF gate over a paired MIMIC-IV cohort, where on the held-out test split (n = 245) dropping echo nearly doubles error. The narrow echo-to-ECG overlap that bounds cohort size is itself a deployment finding for cardiac foundation models. All of our work can be found at https://github.com/criticaldata/PRIMED-AI.

Failures Reveal What Metrics Miss: An Evidence-Driven Agent for Recursive Refinement of ECG Classifiers

Deep models have substantially advanced 12-lead ECG classification, yet their refinement still relies heavily on human experts to inspect failures and iteratively revise classifier designs. Recent LLM-based agents have demonstrated the potential for automated model design, but when guided only by aggregate performance metrics, they lack insight into why individual cases fail and how the classifier should be revised. We present RecursiveECG, an evidence-driven LLM-as-Designer framework in which an LLM serves as an offline model designer that refines ECG classifiers based on concrete failures and objective ECG evidence. To ground failure diagnosis in executable evidence, Criteria-to-Measurement Compilation converts curated ECG criteria into validated deterministic functions that produce reproducible, reference-backed measurements for individual ECGs. Building on these measurements, Evidence-Grounded Failure Review analyzes failed and comparator cases by jointly considering raw waveforms, measurements, and model outputs, enabling the LLM to diagnose classifier limitations and formulate targeted revisions. Candidate revisions are executed and re-evaluated under a fixed problem contract, and only evidence-supported updates are retained. The resulting predictor is frozen after refinement and requires no LLM inference during deployment, while an audit trail links each accepted revision to its supporting evidence. Across PTB-XL, Georgia, and CPSC2018, RecursiveECG consistently outperforms strong baselines, achieving an average relative improvement of 10.0%. Extensive ablation and transfer studies further validate the effectiveness of its evidence-grounded refinement process.