Simple linear and frequency-domain models remain surprisingly competitive in long-horizon time-series forecasting, and recent mechanistic evidence suggests that standard forecasting benchmarks may not require the dense superposed representations that make transformers powerful in other domains. This raises a substrate-level question: if the core forecasting operator is often low-complexity and approximately linear, does it need to be implemented as learned digital temporal mixing? We introduce HAMON, a passive diffractive optical forecasting core in which historical values are encoded onto an optical aperture, future positions are left dark, and cascaded trainable phase masks with free-space diffraction shape the forecast directly in the output field. At inference, prediction is performed by a single passive optical propagation pass with no trainable digital sequence-mixing layer. Across standard benchmarks, HAMON outperforms the strongest digital baselines considered on ETTm2 at all horizons and on ETTh2 at all but the longest horizon, improving MSE by up to 14\% and doing so consistently across horizons rather than at isolated points. It is competitive on Weather and trails the strongest baselines on the remaining ETT settings and on the high-channel-count Traffic and Electricity datasets. Phase encoding, intensity-compatible readout, and phase-scrambling ablations, together with a TorchOptics cross-simulator check, indicate that the forecasts arise from the data-bearing optical field rather than from a digital forecasting head. Because the passive core uses standard Fourier optics, HAMON defines a concrete target for optical hardware and for passive physical sequence mixing.
Equilibrium Propagation offers a compelling alternative to traditional machine learning for training energy-based networks. Here we demonstrate a hybrid optical-digital implementation of EP using a Spatial Photonic Ising Machine (SPIM). The SPIM exploits the gauge transformation method to optically encode both continuous neuron states and rank-1 binary trainable patterns as phase modulations via a spatial light modulator, with inference realized using a finite difference scheme. The experimental system is evaluated on the Wine classification dataset. The potential of this approach, including the use of continuous couplings and structured coupling matrices, is evaluated numerically on the more complex MNIST dataset. Our work provides a concrete pathway toward energy-efficient physical implementations of Equilibrium Propagation.
Logan G Wright, Tianyu Wang, Tatsuhiro Onodera +1cs.LG cs.ET cs.NE
Foundation models are deep neural networks (such as GPT-5, Gemini~3, and Opus~4) trained on large datasets that can perform diverse downstream tasks -- text and code generation, question answering, summarization, image classification, and so on. The philosophy of foundation models is to put effort into a single, large (${\sim}10^{12}$-parameter) general-purpose model that can be adapted to many downstream tasks with no or minimal additional training. We argue that the rise of foundation models presents an opportunity for hardware engineers: in contrast to when different models were used for different tasks, it now makes sense to build special-purpose, fixed hardware implementations of neural networks, manufactured and released at the roughly 1-year cadence of major new foundation-model versions. Beyond conventional digital-electronic inference hardware with read-only weight memory, we advocate a more radical re-thinking: hardware in which the neural network is realized directly at the level of the physical design and operates via the hardware's natural physical dynamics -- \textit{Physical Foundation Models} (PFMs). PFMs could enable orders-of-magnitude advantages in energy efficiency, speed, and parameter density. For ${\sim}10^{12}$-parameter models, this would both reduce the high energy burden of AI in datacenters and enable AI in edge devices that today are power-constrained to far smaller models. PFMs could also enable inference hardware for models much larger than current ones: $10^{15}$- or even $10^{18}$-parameter PFMs seem plausible by some measures. We present back-of-the-envelope calculations illustrating PFM scaling using an optical example -- a 3D nanostructured glass medium -- and discuss prospects in nanoelectronics and other physical platforms. We conclude with the major research challenges that must be resolved for trillion-parameter PFMs and beyond to become reality.