SAGE: Variate-Wise Semantic Augmentation for Vision-Language Time Series Forecasting

Time series forecasting models operate on raw numerical sequences, lacking the semantic knowledge that domain experts implicitly leverage, such as the physical meaning of each variable, its statistical behavior, and its temporal dynamics. Recent efforts to bridge this gap fall into two camps. Some rely on large language models at inference time, which is computationally expensive. Others apply uniform textual prompts at the dataset level, ignoring the heterogeneous semantics across individual variates. We propose SAGE (Seeing and Augmenting with Grounded Encoding), an end-to-end CLIP-based framework that jointly models temporal, cross-variable, textual, and visual information. The CLIP text encoder processes frequency-enhanced patches and variable tokens, while gated residual paths inject variable-specific descriptions and statistical descriptors. In parallel, the frozen CLIP vision encoder aligns rendered series with temporal representations through a training-only contrastive objective. This dual use of CLIP adds complementary semantic and visual supervision without placing an LLM in the forecasting loop. Across eight long-term benchmarks and M4, SAGE achieves state-of-the-art accuracy. Ablations confirm complementary gains from multimodal alignment and variable-level knowledge.

SCENARIODIFF: A Scenario-level Guidance Framework for Multimodal Time Series Forecasting--Extended Version

Textual context such as news, reports, and logs can provide valuable signals for time series forecasting, especially when future dynamics are driven by external events that are not yet visible in historical values. Existing multimodal forecasting methods often either ask large language models (LLMs) to predict numerical values directly or fuse text and time series implicitly, making contextual influence difficult to interpret and control. We propose SCENARIODIFF, a hierarchical contextual reasoning framework for multimodal time series forecasting under noisy and weakly aligned documents. SCENARIODIFF organizes contextual information into three levels: a Historical Context Agent extracts stepwise evidence from raw documents, a Scenario Agent produces a qualitative scenario description for the forecast horizon, and an Anchor Guidance Agent generates sparse anchor points for event-relevant future regions. These structured signals condition a Multimodal Diffusion Transformer, while Anchor Blended Sampling locally refines generated trajectories without retraining. Experiments on the Time-MMD benchmark show that SCENARIODIFF is especially effective in event-driven domains, demonstrating the value of explicit hierarchical scenario guidance for multimodal time series forecasting. Our full implementation is available at https://anonymous.4open.science/r/ScenarioDiff_ICDM-2C4C

Intern-S2-Preview: Scientific Agentic Foundation Model

Scientific discovery increasingly requires AI systems that can reason over scientific evidence of heterogeneous modalities, interact with scientific tools and environments, and sustain progress across long task horizons. We present Intern-S2-Preview, a series of scientific agentic foundation models designed to support multimodal scientific understanding, reasoning, generation, and long-horizon tasks. The training pipeline begins with scientific multimodal pre-training over rendered scientific documents, interleaved image-text data, and diverse scientific corpora. Starting from the pretrained checkpoint, we apply a unified post-training pipeline consisting of supervised fine-tuning, scalable multi-task reinforcement learning (RL), black- and white-box agentic RL, and on-policy distillation. This pipeline is supported by practical techniques that improve rollout and training stability and efficiency, including partial rollout with off-policy correction, adaptive length regularization, online speculative decoding, robust multi-task optimization, and trace-aware experience assembly for agentic tasks. At the architecture level, Intern-S2-Preview-397B extends time series modelling from efficient long-sequence understanding to numerical forecasting, while Memory Decoder is studied as a separate memory-augmented path for rapid scientific specialization without modifying the frozen 397B backbone. Evaluations across scientific, multimodal, agentic, and general-purpose benchmarks show that Intern-S2-Preview-397B achieves competitive or leading results in multiple settings. The time series modules improve scientific signal understanding and forecasting on SciTS, while the separate Intern-MemDec-4B extension improves the Biology-Instructions average score from 56.92 to 60.32 without modifying the frozen 397B backbone.

Does Text Actually Help? Uncovering and Resolving Text Collapse in Multimodal Time Series Forecasting

Multimodal time series forecasting, which pairs numerical sequences with domain-relevant textual reports, promises to inject world knowledge into forecasting pipelines. However, we uncover a critical failure mode in existing frameworks that we term text collapse: the text branch converges to a content-independent transformation, contributing negligible discriminative signal regardless of the input description. We argue that text collapse is a consequence of a fundamental asymmetry in time series forecasting: the numerical input is strongly autocorrelated with the output, making the numerical backbone inherently dominant, while the text branch, despite carrying complementary and often critical information, is insufficiently utilized, leading to its systematic underexploitation. To address this, we propose \textbf{REST-TS} (\textbf{R}esidual-\textbf{E}xclusive \textbf{S}upervision for \textbf{T}ext in \textbf{T}ime \textbf{S}eries), which turns the asymmetry into a design principle: the numerical backbone produces its own independent numerical forecast, and the text branch is exclusively supervised to predict the structured components of the residual, the prediction gap that numbers cannot explain. Because no numerical pathway can reduce these losses, the text branch must extract genuine content from the input description. Evaluated across diverse real-world domains and backbone architectures, REST-TS achieves state-of-the-art performance and consistently demonstrates greater text-branch utilization than existing frameworks, providing strong empirical evidence that supervising the text branch on the residual compels it to extract genuine content from the input.

Semantics-Enhanced Retrieval-Augmented Time Series Forecasting

Time series forecasting models often benefit from historical patterns. Inspired by Retrieval-Augmented Generation (RAG), recent research explored retrieving relevant historical time series segments to enhance forecasting. However, relying solely on time series similarity is often insufficient for retrieval under non-stationarity. To address this, we propose a multimodal approach: a \textbf{S}emantics-\textbf{E}nhanced \textbf{R}etrieval-\textbf{A}ugmented Time Series \textbf{F}orecasting framework, SERAF. Unlike mainstream approaches that depend only on time series similarity, SERAF conducts dual retrieval over the time series and their self-generated textual descriptions. It retrieves two complementary sets of historical patterns and corresponding futures, which are selectively and jointly used to guide future predictions. Experiments across seven real-world datasets demonstrate the effectiveness of SERAF in bridging numerical and semantic views of time series compared with state-of-the-art baselines.