Sparse Mixture-of-Experts (MoE) models route each token to a few of many experts, inviting the hypothesis that experts form functional modules tied to capabilities or languages. We test this causally on Command A+, a frontier open-weights MoE (218B total / 25B active; 128 experts, 8 active, +1 shared). We build a routing-mass atlas, pre-register six family-to-axis hypotheses before any intervention, and ablate each family at inference time against a size-matched random-expert null, measuring whether it selectively breaks its own axis (worst off-target effect at most one third of on-target). Crucially, we test the same families under four metrics and a held-out, independent-corpus run with bootstrap confidence intervals. Our finding is cautionary: robust functional modularity is rare and measurement-dependent. Of six pre-registered families, only one, the Arabic-language family, is a clean selective module that survives an independent corpus and a conservative statistical bar (1/6; a more permissive pre-registered point rule admits 3/6, but that count is threshold-sensitive). Every other family has a real causal effect yet fails selectivity, and its apparent modularity flips with the measurement: with the corpus, the metric, and the statistical bar. A positive control on Qwen3-30B-A3B recovers its published disjoint structure, confirming the method detects modularity when present. The verdict reproduces on the un-quantized BF16 model, ruling out a 4-bit quantization artifact. We conclude that ablation-based modularity verdicts are not safe unless the corpus, metric, and statistical bar are controlled. We release the atlas and ablation data.
We test whether a single screen-and-ablate recipe -- identify attention-head circuits by task-pattern selectivity, then verify by causal ablation against a matched-random null -- produces consistent mechanistic claims across model families. The recipe ports across pipelines; the specific circuit it identifies does not. Across four composed tasks (indirect-object identification, greater-than, successor sequences, variable binding) and three 1B-class language models from distinct training pipelines (Pythia 1B / Pile / dense; OLMo 1B / DCLM / dense; OLMoE 1B-7B / DCLM / mixture-of-experts), we run a unified protocol with the matched-random null sampled across ten seeds per cell. The resulting 12 (task, model) cells contain no two that share the same primary causal screen at comparable effect size: the same task, with the same behavioral capability, is implemented through different attention-pattern types across models. We introduce a five-category screen-outcome taxonomy -- primary cause, secondary cause, correlate, interferer, null -- with quantitative thresholds, and show that all five outcomes appear in the panel. We propose a falsifiable hypothesis: the MoE model in our panel builds composed-task circuits on top of a foundational previous-token positional substrate (the prev-token-circuit ablation is the strongest causal screen on 3 of 4 tasks for OLMoE 1B-7B), with the IOI exception consistent with IOI being a final-position name-copying task whose structure directly probes a different pattern. The hypothesis comes with explicit predictions for other MoE language models. We frame the methodology honestly: the spectral participation-ratio signal from the companion methodology paper is a general indicator of specialized computation; what makes a finding task-specific is the task-pattern screen plus a per-model causal verification.