Predictive processing theories portray the brain as a hierarchical prediction engine that minimizes prediction error, yet they lack operational definitions for the structure of a "prediction," the standardized response to a prediction error, and the mechanism that maintains consistency across successive updates. Bayesian cognitive science attempts to subsume all uncertainty under probabilistic belief updating, but it presupposes a closed hypothesis space and provides no generative account of how the objects over which probabilities are distributed become discrete, identifiable referents in the first place. This paper introduces Predictive Set Theory (PST), a formal generative framework that reconstructs cognitive architecture from first principles. PST anchors cognition in a minimal set of operations---a sensor formalized as an identity function, set-theoretic state refresh, and three fundamental forms of reference chains (reference, counter-reference, and semi-reference)---and rigorously derives core cognitive functions including state sequences, demand, comparison, efficiency, and finite-horizon probabilistic planning. Rather than modeling neural mechanisms, PST constitutes a design specification for any system that must maintain internal consistency while acting under incomplete information and irreversible risk. The framework offers novel resolutions to classical problems such as Russell's paradox, the cognitive status of Gödelian incompleteness, the grounding of negative feedback, and the comprehension of film editing. The primary purpose of this paper is to establish, through the public academic record, the originality and completeness of the Predictive Set Theory framework.
Hiroyuki Chuma, Kanji Otsuk, Yoichi Satocs.NE cs.AI
In The Algebraic Mind, Gary Marcus identified three components essential for any adequate cognitive architecture: operations over variables, recursively structured representations, and a distinction between mental representations of individuals and kinds. He argued that standard multilayer perceptrons supported none of these, acknowledging that a neural implementation using registers and treelets, constructed via developmental programs rather than gradient descent, remained a programmatic conjecture. Twenty-five years later, the required substrate is now available. Our newly developed PyVaCoAl/VaCoAl is a hyperdimensional computing architecture organized end-to-end around a single algebraic primitive: XOR-and-shift over GF(2), implemented by primitive-polynomial linear-feedback shift registers. The architecture supports reversible variable binding via Bind(R,F) = R XOR shift(F), non-commutative compositional bundling that distinguishes "the dog bites the man" from "the man bites the dog," and address-space individual/kind separation under the same algebra. A companion perspective argues that the dentate gyrus-CA3 circuit is a biological homologue of this same engine, with developmentally specified mossy-fiber targeting supplying the innate microcircuitry Marcus anticipated. In this paper, we map the correspondence between Marcus's three pillars and the operational commitments of PyVaCoAl/VaCoAl. We reinterpret the treelet as an algebraic register set indexed by a primitive generator polynomial, arguing that this architecture provides a functional neural substrate meeting Marcus's specifications far more closely than the tensor products, circular convolution, or temporal synchrony available in 2001. We also demonstrate how this substrate naturally extends to Pearl's rung-3 counterfactual reasoning, a capability the original treelet program did not directly target.