Accelerating Reinforcement Learning via MPC Solver-Gradient Guidance for Weights-varying MPC

In Model Predictive Control (MPC), cost-function weights shape closed-loop behavior, yet changing conditions often make fixed parametrizations suboptimal and motivate context-dependent online adaptation. Learning such policies is difficult because behavior depends implicitly on numerical MPC solutions, producing nonlinear, potentially nonsmooth, long-horizon dependencies on policy parameters. This creates a bias-variance tradeoff: Reinforcement Learning (RL) optimizes realized closed-loop return from environment samples but is sample-inefficient, whereas Gradient-Based Policy Learning (GB-PL) uses low-variance solver gradients from differentiable MPC to optimize surrogate losses on predicted trajectories but can be biased under model mismatch. We propose Solver-Gradient Guided Reinforcement Learning (SG-RL), a solver-sensitivity augmentation for RL-based online MPC cost-weight adaptation. SG-RL keeps sampled closed-loop return as the objective and uses bounded solver-derived gradients as auxiliary guidance to improve stability and sample efficiency. We instantiate SG-RL in Proximal Policy Optimization (PPO) with four modular algorithms that inject solver-gradient guidance into actor-update scaling, policy loss, advantage estimation, and value-function learning. On two full-scale autonomous racing platforms with intentional model mismatch, SG-RL reaches PPO's best closed-loop return with up to 70.6% fewer samples, outperforms GB-PL baselines by at least 54% in closed-loop return, and generalizes zero-shot to unseen environments.

Control-Oriented Scenario Tree Construction through Reinforcement Learning

Multistage stochastic model predictive control (MPC) handles uncertainty by optimizing over a scenario tree, a finite branching approximation of future outcomes constructed from sampled forecasts. To build such a tree, conventional methods focus on matching the underlying probability distribution---e.g., via Wasserstein-based scenario reduction---but improved distributional accuracy does not necessarily yield better control performance. We propose a control-oriented approach that learns scenario tree construction directly from its impact on downstream decisions. Fixing the tree topology, we formulate tree construction as a sequential assignment of sampled scenarios to leaves. This assignment is parameterized by an attention-based policy over the scenario set and trained using reinforcement learning, with closed-loop control profit as the objective. Training is stabilized by an asymmetric critic that leverages realized future trajectories. We evaluate the method on a risk-averse battery arbitrage problem. Across a range of forecast set sizes, the learned construction consistently achieves the highest profit, outperforming classical forward and backward reduction methods and certainty-equivalent (single-trajectory forecast) control. The learned policy also exhibits greater robustness on challenging instances, consistently demonstrating better tail-risk characteristics. Analysis of the resulting trees indicates that our method constructs compact, selectively branching structures that capture high-impact events while keeping most trajectories nearly deterministic. These findings highlight that the value of a scenario tree depends critically on the decisions it supports, and provide an effective framework to train scenario tree constructors merely based on the closed-loop control optimization signal.

A Control Theory of Predictability in Latent World Models

Latent world models are trained to predict future states in a learned representation and are then deployed inside a planner that selects actions by simulating them forward. Current practice adopts the prediction error, the single- or multi-step rollout loss on held-out data, as the training and model-selection objective, on the assumption that a lower prediction error yields better control. We show that this assumption is unreliable for a structural reason: a planner does not query the model on the training distribution but on the states that its candidate actions reach, which generally leave the data manifold, so an error averaged over the data cannot by itself govern control. We therefore reframe the objective as the discrepancy between the predicted and the true plan-cost at the plan the planner commits to, and prove that the planner's suboptimality is bounded by twice this discrepancy, whereas the data-averaged prediction error neither bounds nor tracks it. Under a linear-control premise the discrepancy separates into two terms. The first is a small on-manifold residual, on which the predicted and true dynamics agree and which a spectral tax prices through the non-normality of the latent transition operator. The second is an off-manifold divergence, on which an action carries the state off the manifold and the two dynamics diverge; this divergence is the binding term and is bounded by no data-averaged error. Synthetic operators confirm the pricing formulas, and latent model-predictive control experiments confirm the decoupling: across seeds, the single-step validation error is essentially uncorrelated with control success, whereas a fidelity score on the planner-reachable measure tracks it.

Safe Reinforcement Learning using Ideas from Model Predictive Control

Reinforcement learning (RL) enables the synthesis of control policies directly from data, making it highly appealing for complex cyber-physical systems (CPSs) and robotics. A persistent challenge, however, is ensuring strict, hard safety constraints during the active learning phase. In real-world physical systems, violating mechanical limits can cause irreversible damage, necessitating that exploration remains strictly within safe operational regions. We propose a generalized framework that combines the adaptive, high-performance nature of deep reinforcement learning (DRL) with the formal safety guarantees of model predictive control (MPC). Using a mathematical model of the system dynamics, offline MPC computations define a feasible state-action space, representing all safe combinations of system states and control inputs that guarantee constraint satisfaction. During training and deployment, the RL agent's instantaneous actions are projected onto this globally verified feasible set via a safety filter. We systematically evaluate our generalized approach on a non-linear 1-DoF laboratory testbed, demonstrating successful exploration and stable policy convergence on physical hardware.

Valdi: Value Diffusion World Models

World models can enable Model Predictive Control (MPC), but this requires dynamics prediction that is both fast enough for online use and expressive enough to represent uncertain futures. Diffusion models offer a natural mechanism for modeling uncertain dynamics, yet their iterative inference procedure makes them difficult to use for low-latency latent planning. We bridge this gap with Value Diffusion World Models (Valdi), combining end-to-end online training for MPC with a latent diffusion dynamics model. In preliminary experiments on the CarRacing environment, we show that Valdi, using a single diffusion step at both training and inference, matches a deterministic MLP baseline. Our experiments expose a trade-off between predictive multimodality and control performance in this setup. Code is available at https://github.com/Kit115/ValueDiffusionWorldModels.

Solving Markov Decision Processes with Future Information via MPC

Model Predictive Control (MPC) is widely used in industrial and robotic systems for enforcing constraints and embedding domain knowledge through finite-horizon optimization-based planning. However, despite these strengths, an MPC scheme typically does not yield optimal policies for sequential decision-making problems formulated as Markov Decision Processes (MDPs). Recent combinations of MPC with Reinforcement Learning (RL) alleviate this issue by treating MPC as a parameterized model of the optimal policy of an MDP and adjusting its parameters using data. While these approaches typically consider classical MDPs, many real-world problems include future information--such as forecasts, prices, or reference trajectories--at decision time, which must be included in the MDP state for optimal decision-making. Current MPC-RL approaches do not directly account for this augmented-state structure, raising the question of how to incorporate future information into MPC to obtain an optimal policy. This work establishes the structural requirements under which a parameterized MPC can exactly represent the optimal value functions and policy of an MDP with future information. We further demonstrate that such a parameterized MPC can serve as a structured function approximator, with its parameters learned using RL. The approach is illustrated on a point-mass racing task with future reference information.

Dream-MPC: Gradient-Based Model Predictive Control with Latent Imagination

State-of-the-art model-based Reinforcement Learning (RL) approaches either use gradient-free, population-based methods for planning, learned policy networks, or a combination of policy networks and planning. Hybrid approaches that combine Model Predictive Control (MPC) with a learned model and a policy prior to leverage the advantages of both paradigms have shown promising results. However, these approaches typically rely on gradient-free optimization methods, which can be computationally expensive for high-dimensional control tasks. While gradient-based methods are a promising alternative, recent works have empirically shown that gradient-based methods often perform worse than their gradient-free counterparts. We propose Dream-MPC, a novel approach that generates few candidate trajectories from a rolled-out policy and optimizes each trajectory by gradient ascent using a learned world model, uncertainty regularization and amortization of optimization iterations over time by reusing previously optimized actions. Our results on 24 continuous control tasks show that Dream-MPC can significantly improve the performance of the underlying policy and can outperform gradient-free MPC and state-of-the-art baselines. We will open source our code and more at https://dream-mpc.github.io.