Optimizing Minimax Regret in Uncertain MDPs with Small Sets of Policies

Sequential decision-making in real-world applications often involves uncertainty about the environment's model. Uncertain Markov decision processes (UMDPs) represent the possible environments as a set of MDPs with shared states and actions but potentially different transition probabilities and rewards. Optimizing a single policy across all possible MDPs may sacrifice performance, while preparing an individually optimized policy for every MDP may violate operational, regulatory, or interpretability constraints on the number of policies that can be prepared and deployed. We consider settings in which model uncertainty is resolved shortly before execution, allowing the most suitable policy to be selected from a limited set prepared in advance. We introduce $k$-adaptable policy synthesis, which optimizes such a set of $k$ policies under a minimax-regret objective. We prove that the problem is NP-hard and develop KAPS, an exact nested branch-and-bound algorithm with problem-specific bounds and heuristics. KAPS jointly optimizes which MDPs share a policy and the policies themselves. Experiments across various UMDP benchmarks show that the largest reduction in regret consistently occurs when increasing from one to two policies. In the single-policy setting, KAPS is competitive with existing methods in solution quality and proves optimality substantially more often.

Entropy Objectives in Markov Decision Processes

We consider the problem of synthesizing control policies that enforce a concentration property on the state distributions of a stochastic system. We present a formalization of this problem in terms of synthesizing strategies for maintaining an entropy-based objective in Markov Decision Processes (MDPs). We first show that even relaxed versions of this problem are complexity-theoretically hard. We then present a sound and (conditionally) relatively complete method to verify and synthesize strategies for such entropy objectives. The main challenge is the non-linear nature of such objectives, and our approach addresses this by exploiting and combining ideas from convex duality and invariant synthesis. We also investigate the role of memory and randomization in ensuring entropy objectives. Finally, we implement our ideas to evaluate our approach empirically on a few illustrative benchmarks.