Logic and optimization can, in combination, make valuable contributions to rule-based AI. Logic is the obvious medium for encoding a rule base and drawing inferences from it, while optimization provides a powerful technology for computing inferences. Their combination has taken on new relevance amid a growing concern for transparency in AI. which is important for reproducibility, explainability, trustworthiness, and fairness. Rule-based AI provides a natural solution to transparency that is becoming increasingly practical due to today's highly advanced optimization methods. This article surveys several areas of logic-optimization partnership, including probabilistic logic, Bayesian logic, belief logics and Dempster-Shafer theory, nonmonotonic (default) logic, many-valued logics, and inference of logical formulas from noisy data based on Boolean regression. It shows how to compute projections, the fundamental problem of both logic and optimization, using decision diagrams and logic-based Benders decomposition. It describes the use of postoptimality analysis to explain how conclusions are reached, further enhancing transparency, as well as the role of optimization in answer set programming modulo theories. The paper concludes by suggesting possible future research directions.
Recent multimodal survival prediction models have demonstrated strong predictive performance by leveraging complementary information across modalities. However, such models generally assume data completeness and exhibit limited robustness toward missing modalities, which are frequently encountered in real-world clinical settings. We propose the Evidential Missing Modality Survival Fusion (EMMS) model for multimodal survival prediction under missing modalities. EMMS offers a straightforward, computationally effective approach to survival analysis without requiring a generative phase for missing data. By employing Dempster-Shafer theory and Gaussian Random Fuzzy Numbers for multimodal decision fusion, it considers both aleatoric and epistemic uncertainty alongside modality reliability for fusion. Moreover, the model treats missing modalities as vacuous evidence, preventing interference with available inputs and naturally reflecting increased uncertainty and calibrated predictions. Extensive experiments on four cancer datasets demonstrate state-of-the-art performance while providing calibrated and interpretable uncertainty estimates under incomplete multimodal observations, without introducing additional computational overhead.
Audit risk assessment increasingly benefits from combining heterogeneous evidence sources, yet existing approaches typically produce point predictions without quantifying how well different evidence streams agree. We propose UMAR (Uncertainty-Aware Multi-Agent Risk Assessment), a framework that employs three specialized agents: an MD&A Text Agent, a Financial Ratio Agent, and a CAM Agent, each producing independent risk scores with calibrated uncertainty estimates. An Uncertainty Aggregator based on Dempster-Shafer evidence theory fuses these scores while explicitly measuring inter-agent conflict. We evaluate UMAR on a U.S. dataset of 3,200 firm-year observations from SEC 10-K filings (2019-2023), with financial restatement as the target label. Experimental results show that UMAR achieves an AUROC of 0.782 and a PR-AUC of 0.341, outperforming logistic regression, XGBoost, FinBERT, and single-agent and dual-agent LLM baselines. UMAR attains the lowest expected calibration error (ECE = 0.052) among all methods and identifies evidence-conflict patterns that correlate with actual restatement risk, offering auditors potentially actionable and interpretable risk signals.