Temporal Sensitivity Analysis of Tessera Embeddings

Many Earth Observation applications need land-use/land-cover maps that are both precise and frequently updated, yet the strongest Earth Observation foundation models build their embeddings from a full year of observations. We present a controlled study of the temporal sensitivity of Tessera, one of these leading foundation models, for land-use/land-cover mapping. Keeping the encoder frozen, we recompute its embeddings over varying observation windows, from a full year down to a single day. We use them as inputs to a linear probe and a UNet segmentation head, benchmarking both of them against from-scratch networks on LUCAS, DynamicEarthNet, and PASTIS-R datasets. We show that the value of the embeddings is task-dependent. Where classes are separated by phenology, as for the crop types of PASTIS-R, they reach a mean Intersection-over-Union of $58.3$, about $46\%$ above the best from-scratch model. Where classes are temporally stable (e.g., forests in DynamicEarthNet and LUCAS), embedding-based and from-scratch models match only under full supervision. On both datasets, Tessera embeddings remain markedly more label-efficient. Degradation under shorter temporal windows is gradual and class-dependent. Contracting the window from one year to one month costs $39\%$ of the segmentation accuracy on PASTIS-R but only $5\%$ on DynamicEarthNet. Single-day embeddings still classify land cover in LUCAS at $3.4$ times the chance level. Our study shows that temporal coverage is therefore a tunable cost rather than a fixed prerequisite, opening regimes such as near-real-time mapping and faster land-use/land-cover refresh cycles.

From Surface Forecasting to Observability Forecasting: A Latent World Model for Cloud-Aware EO Monitoring

The bottleneck of Earth Observation processing chains is not the arrival of new imagery but whether the surface is actually visible when the image arrives. We study this as an observability forecasting problem on EarthNet2021. Given recent multispectral imagery and exogenous weather drivers, the goal is to predict whether the next acquisition will be usable and, if not, when a usable view is likely to return. To do this, we adapt LeWorldModel, a joint-embedding predictive architecture world model, to cloud-aware Earth Observation sequences. The final pipeline converts raw minicubes into episodic HDF5 sequences with five image channels (blue, green, red, near-infrared, cloud mask) and eight meteorological and calendar covariates. The resulting model has 18.0M trainable parameters and is trained from scratch on 23,904 training episodes. The trained leWorldModel is evaluated under a locked protocol: linear probes are fit on train only, calibration choices are set on an internal validation split, and the fitted heads are then frozen for valsplit, IID, OOD, and extreme evaluation. On the full frozen-bundle observability benchmark, LeWorldModel consistently outperforms persistence. For next-step usability, balanced accuracy ranges from 0.769 to 0.887, compared with 0.493 to 0.556 for persistence. For exact first-usable-horizon prediction, accuracy ranges from 0.602 to 0.806, compared with 0.120 to 0.369 for persistence. Against a frozen LightGBM baseline fit on the same training windows, LeWorldModel is better on continuous clear/cloud regression and on exact recovery timing on valsplit, IID, and extreme, while LightGBM is stronger on the simpler binary any-usable-within-six task and is more robust on OOD. In separate sampled diagnostic analyses, LeWM also produces strong ranking-based anomaly signals under synthetic temporal inconsistencies.

Spatial Representation Learning Beyond Pixels: Unifying Raster Data and Vector Semantics for Human-Centric Geospatial Foundation Models

Earth Observation (EO) has fundamentally transformed the monitoring of environmental processes and human activities up to planetary scale. Recent advances in self-supervised learning have given rise to Earth Observation Foundation Models (EOFMs), which leverage petabyte-scale unlabeled EO data to learn transferable representations across a wide range of downstream geospatial tasks. Despite these advances, current EOFMs remain largely confined to raster modalities, overlooking the rich, structured information encoded in openly-accessible vector data sources such as OpenStreetMap and Overture. Vector data provides explicit and compact representations of geographic entities, including geometry, topology, and semantic relationships, offering critical contextual signals that are often ambiguous or inaccessible in imagery alone. Raster and vector data thus represent complementary views of geographic space: raster data captures continuous physical and spectral patterns, while vector data encodes discrete objects and their relational structure and often represents more of the human rather than the physical systems (e.g. social or demographic data). However, existing geospatial representation learning paradigms treat these modalities in isolation, relying on imperfect and often lossy transformations to bridge them. This perspective paper calls for a paradigm shift toward joint Spatial Representation Learning (SRL) in an unified embedding space that integrate raster perception with vector-based reasoning. Building on emerging efforts in multimodal geospatial learning, we highlight conceptual foundations, technical challenges, and promising directions for aligning heterogeneous spatial data sources. We contend that such integration is essential for developing next-generation geospatial AI systems capable of more accurate, interpretable, and semantically grounded understanding of the Earth.