Expert-Guided g-computation with Large Language Models for Estimating Causal Effects on Timings: Applications to Hospital Quality Improvement

Hospital quality improvement (QI) programs routinely face multiple candidate interventions to optimize hospital flow, but existing methods struggle to estimate and rank the causal effects of such interventions. This work focuses on one of the most standard hospital metrics, the average length of stay (LOS), and its causal estimand, the average time saved. To characterize this causal effect, qualitative approaches rely on expert judgment to map patient trajectories, making them susceptible to cognitive biases; quantitative approaches rely on data-driven models, which fail when interventions are hypothetical with no historical data or have complex causal mechanisms that require clinical reasoning rather than data alone. We propose expert-guided g-computation, or egg-computation, which combines the complementary strengths of both approaches by connecting the Gantt charts commonly used to map patient trajectories with the causal DAG literature. We introduce a causal model over Gantt charts and establish identification using a variant of g-computation that seeks expert input only for components unidentifiable from data. To make egg-computation practical, we develop an LLM-assisted pipeline that reliably scales up expert reasoning. In simulations, egg-computation outperforms conventional causal inference methods when patients have diverse causal structures and intervention mechanisms. In a study of eleven candidate QI interventions at an urban safety-net hospital, the LLM pipeline generated graphs and time-saving estimates highly concordant with those of human experts. Beyond healthcare, egg-computation is a broadly applicable framework for estimating the average time saved for candidate interventions whose causal mechanisms can be represented using Gantt charts.

Understanding the Sociocultural Dimensions of Mental Health Discourse in Arabic-Language X Communities

Computational mental health research has predominantly centered on English-speaking populations, leaving Arabic-language discourse comparatively under-examined. We present an exploratory computational study of 8,147 tweets from 607 users classified by a GPT-4.1 personal-disclosure pipeline as likely lived-experience authors in three condition-specific Arabic-language X (formerly Twitter) Communities. We focus on discourse related to borderline personality disorder (BPD), bipolar disorder, and ADHD, and characterize community-associated linguistic patterns using a multi-domain cultural keyword framework. The results suggest that in this corpus, Bipolar tweets contain more religious and medical vocabulary, BPD tweets contain more relational, identity, and emotional-distress vocabulary, and ADHD tweets more often focus on practical symptoms and medication management. We treat these patterns as hypothesis-generating rather than confirmatory because the corpus is imbalanced across conditions, some subcorpora are temporally concentrated, and the keyword framework is an initial operationalization rather than a validated measurement instrument. The paper contributes a reusable LLM-assisted personal-disclosure pipeline and an exploratory cultural keyword framework for Arabic mental health discourse.

A Normative Intermediate Representation for ASP-Based Compliance Reasoning

We propose MONIR, a Modalized-Output Normative Intermediate Representation for ASP-based compliance reasoning. Its core fragment has a staged operational semantics, while MONIR-ASP provides an executable compilation and extensions for external functions, temporal rules, and stable-model reasoning. We instantiate the framework on Chinese ADAS regulations and standards with an LLM-assisted pipeline. Experiments evaluate extraction quality and the efficiency of modular and incremental ASP solving.