Osteoarthritis (OA) is a progressive chronic joint disease resulting in a breakdown of articular cartilage and bone when damaged joint tissues are not able to normally repair themselves. The aim of this pilot research study is to understand the pain severity for OA from patients' primary care Electronic Medical Records (EMR), both from the structured medical data and the unstructured chart note data using information extraction, natural language processing and machine learning techniques. We propose SPaDe, a Synonym-based Pain level Detection tool to categorize patients into having mild or moderate-to-severe pain to understand diagnosis and treatment methods based on only the pain related expressions in the unstructured chart note. Expressions are subjective, objective, and influenced by cultural background and demography which poses a difficult challenge. Therefore, we improve the model by incorporating the medication information from the structured EMR data and pain scale related information from the chart note to propose an integrated pain level detection tool for OA called PLeDO. With the help of human labeled gold standard data, we demonstrate that both SPaDe and PLeDO can detect mild and moderate-to-severe pain from the EMR data to analyze and potentially improve the quality of care in primary care setting.
Rodrigo Vargas Sainz, Christian Berón Curtics.AI cs.CL cs.LG
Roadblocks in Bolivia are a social conflict phenomenon with devastating economic impacts, estimated at losses equivalent to 4% of the national Gross Domestic Product. Despite their recurrence and impact, there is a lack of local predictive systems to anticipate these events for logistical decision-making. This paper presents a hybrid probabilistic forecasting system that integrates time series decomposition (Prophet) with natural language processing (NLP) techniques applied to a six-year corpus of Bolivian news coverage. The methodology employs vector semantic embeddings and zero-shot classification models to capture signals of discursive escalation prior to the materialization of the roadblocks. Using an expanding walk-forward validation scheme applied over 1,762 days and seven forecasting horizons (H+1 to H+7), seven internal configurations and four external benchmarks were compared, including SARIMA and LightGBM. The results demonstrate that the hybrid configuration (Prophet + NLP, C6) consistently outperforms purely statistical models, achieving an AUC-ROC of 0.677 at H+1 and reducing the Brier Score by 10.9% relative to the baseline temporal model (0.220 vs. 0.247), maintaining a statistically significant error reduction across all evaluated horizons ($p < 0.02$). This research validates that the integration of semantic news signals allows for the detection of social tension peaks not captured by historical inertia, providing a technical tool for risk management in critical transport corridors.
Background: Depression frequently co-occurs with ADHD and autism spectrum disorder (ASD), but population-level differences in symptom expression between these groups remain underexplored. Objective: We examined whether social media users with ADHD and ASD differ in how they express DSM-5 depressive symptoms in their tweets, and whether differences persist across varying levels of depressive-content filtering. Methods: We analysed 1,282,437 tweets from 792 users (622 ADHD; 170 ASD) with self-reported diagnoses on Twitter. Tweets were pre-filtered for depressive relevance using zero-shot NLI, then classified into nine DSM-5 symptoms using MentalRoBERTa fine-tuned on ReDSM5. Profiles were mean-centered per user. We applied L1-penalised logistic regression with cross-validation to distinguish ADHD from ASD users, complemented by Pearson correlations for symptom co-occurrence, and tested robustness across five filtering thresholds using bootstrapping. Results: MentalRoBERTa achieved macro-F1 of 0.901 on a held-out set, outperforming the original ReDSM5 benchmark. ADHD vs ASD classification yielded stable but modest performance (cross-validated ROC-AUC 0.645-0.653). Cognitive issues, sleep issues, appetite change, and fatigue leaned toward ADHD, while suicidal ideation and anhedonia leaned toward ASD. A largely shared symptom co-occurrence structure emerged between groups; no pair met our criterion for a robust disorder-specific difference. Conclusions: Population-level differences in depression-related language between ADHD and ASD social media users were consistently observed across thresholds, reflecting reproducibility rather than clinical validity. Findings are exploratory and do not establish differing phenomenology at the individual level.
Detecting mental health disorders in a timely manner is an important societal challenge. NLP and machine learning (ML) methods used to assist with detection rely on data collected primarily from social media. However, such datasets often have sampling biases and inherent ethical and privacy issues. One avenue to overcome these limitations is non-social media data. We present the first comprehensive review of non-social media, free-text datasets for mental health research. We use the PRISMA methodology to conduct our survey and we review datasets available in multiple languages. We find that non-social media free-text based datasets are predominantly focused on English and on detecting depression. These datasets also vary in demographics, platforms, data types, annotation techniques, and methodologies. This systematic review also reveals key gaps and highlights opportunities to develop more diverse, reliable and clinically-relevant resources.
Haochuan Li, Jingyuan Li, Yi Zhao +4cs.DL cs.CL cs.IR
With the rapid growth of the number of academic papers, systematically evaluating the difficulty of research and its relationship to academic impact offers important significance for research topic selection and resource allocation. However, current studies lack quantitative assessments of research difficulty and its correlation with academic impact. This paper proposes a comprehensive evaluation system for research difficulty, incorporating factors such as academic collaboration, content, and references. Taking the field of Natural Language Processing (NLP) as a case study, we extract both internal and external features from academic papers, compute multiple research difficulty indicators. We assign their weights using the entropy weight method and perform a weighted sum to obtain the research difficulty score of academic papers. This paper uses the citation frequency of academic papers to measure academic impact. To validate our approach, NLP experts assessed the difficulty of a sample of papers, and correlation analyses confirmed the reliability of our measurement. Empirical results reveal that in NLP, factors such as the number of pages, reference count, and participation of high-level institutions are significantly associated with academic impact. Moreover, we identify an inverted U-shaped relationship between research difficulty and academic impact. It suggests that moderately difficult research tends to achieve greater academic impact.