Toward the Optimal Regret-Instability Trade-off in Multi-Armed Bandits

Multi-armed bandit algorithms are evaluated by regret, yet comparable regret can coexist with different allocations across independent runs. We study the trade-off between worst-case regret $\mathcal{R}_{K,T}$ and instability $\mathcal S_{K,T}$, defined as the largest standard deviation of a terminal pull count, for $K$ arms and $T$ rounds. We prove the finite-time lower bound $\mathcal R_{K,T}\mathcal S_{K,T}\ge C T^{3/2}$, where $C$ is independent of $K$ and $T$, under a finite-time regret condition and without the regularity assumptions imposed in the prior asymptotic analysis. We also introduce Stabilized Lower-Envelope UCB (\textup{\textsc{SLE-UCB}}), a new tunable algorithm combining a running lower-envelope index with a decreasing pull-count stabilizer. \textup{\textsc{SLE-UCB}} satisfies $\mathcal R_{K,T}\mathcal S_{K,T}=O(T^{3/2}\log K)$, with an implicit constant independent of $K$ and $T$, matching the lower bound exactly in $T$ and within a logarithmic factor in $K$. To prove the instability bound, we develop a new offline top-prefix representation that removes path dependence from online decisions. Together with single-reward perturbations and the Efron--Stein inequality, this representation controls pull-count variance. Thus, regret and instability depend reciprocally on $K$, while their product has no polynomial dependence on $K$. These results resolve the open question raised in the literature concerning the sharp arm-dependent regret--instability frontier.

Diversified Multinomial Logit Contextual Bandits

Existing contextual multinomial logit (MNL) bandits model relevance-driven choice but ignore the potential benefits of within-assortment diversity, while submodular/combinatorial bandits encode diversity in rewards but lack structured choice probabilities. We bridge this gap with the $\textit{diversified multinomial logit}$ (DMNL) contextual bandit, which augments MNL choice probabilities with a generally submodular diversity function, thereby formalizing the relevance--diversity trade-off within a single model. Incorporating diversity renders exact MNL assortment optimization intractable. We propose a $\textit{white-box}$ UCB-based algorithm, $\texttt{OFU-DMNL}$, that constructs assortments item-wise by maximizing optimistic marginal gains, avoids black-box optimization oracles. We show that $\texttt{OFU-DMNL}$ achieves at least a $(1-\frac{1}{e+1})$-$\textit{approximate}$ regret bound $\tilde{O}\left(d \sqrt{T/K}\right)$, where $d$ is the context dimension, $K$ the maximum assortment size, and $T$ the horizon, and attains an improved approximation factor over standard submodular baselines. Experiments demonstrate consistent gains and, relative to exhaustive enumeration, comparable regret with substantially lower runtime. Overall, DMNL bandits provide a practical foundation for diversity-aware assortment optimization under uncertainty, and $\texttt{OFU-DMNL}$ offers a statistically and computationally efficient solution.

TreeSeeker: Tree-Structured Trial, Error, and Return in Deep Search

Deep search requires agents to answer complex questions through multi-step web search, browsing, evidence comparison, and synthesis. A central challenge is deciding how to search when several directions look plausible but only some will later lead to reliable evidence. If an agent greedily follows the current best-looking direction, it may keep extending a weak continuation. If it explores without discipline, it may waste budget on disconnected trials. We propose TreeSeeker, an inference-time framework for controlled trial-and-error in deep search. TreeSeeker organizes search as branch-and-return search over tree-structured states, where each branch is a tentative direction for a sub-goal. At each round, TreeSearch reads all sub-goal trees, identifies active goals, and uses textual UCB signals of value, uncertainty, and risk to select among exploiting a promising branch, exploring an uncertain alternative, or pruning an unproductive continuation and returning to an earlier branch point. TreeMem supports this control loop by keeping evidence, uncertainty, conflicts, progress, and failure cues attached to the branches that produced them, so trial outcomes can guide later decisions. Experiments on XBench-DeepSearch, BrowseComp, and BrowseComp-ZH show that TreeSeeker consistently outperforms strong open-source baselines, suggesting that explicit branch-and-return control complements stronger reasoning and tool execution.