NeuralChaos: Optimal Adapted Approximation of Square Integrable Predictable Processes

We address fundamental challenges in representing and computing $\mathbb{R}^{d}$-valued predictable square-integrable processes over $[0,T]$, collected in the space $\mathcal{H}^2_T(\mathbb{R}^{d})$. These processes are central to continuous-time stochastic control, reinforcement learning, and mathematical finance. Although Wiener-chaos expansions offer strong theoretical tools, traditional computational methods are hindered by the need for large chaos dictionaries and high-order iterated integrals. To overcome these obstacles, we introduce NeuralChaos -- a neural operator architecture that produces elements of $\mathcal{H}^2_T(\mathbb{R}^{d})$ using only finitely many evaluations of the driving Brownian motion, while preserving predictability and square-integrability. We prove that NeuralChaos is dense in $\mathcal{H}^2_T(\mathbb{R}^{d})$ and achieves the best $N$-term chaoslet approximation rates for compressible and Malliavin--Sobolev regular processes. Moreover, compressibility is shown to be typical for processes from $\mathcal{H}^2_T(\mathbb{R}^{d})$ under non-degenerate sub-Gaussian sampling. In contrast, we show that finite-dimensional Markovian neural SDE models constitute a meagre and Gaussian-null subset in $\mathcal{H}^2_T(\mathbb{R}^{d})$, regardless of discretization, whereas compressible processes are generic. Numerical experiments on a stochastic optimal control problem and dynamic hedging highlight the practical effectiveness of our approach. Our results enable more efficient and expressive modelling in stochastic analysis and mathematical finance.

The Multiscale Single-Index Model: A Stylized Model for Hierarchical Feature Learning

We consider the Multiscale Single-Index Model (MSIM), first introduced in \cite{oymak2021learning}, as a stylized model for hierarchical learning with \emph{scale separation}. Each layer extracts a shared single-index feature at one physical scale and passes it to the next, thus defining a tractable setting in which to study how deep architectures learn multiscale representations. Under non-degeneracy and delocalization assumptions on the link function and planted features respectively, for fixed depth $K$ and local scale $d$, the first Wiener chaos of the target behaves as a perturbed spiked tensor, where the perturbation of order $d^{-1/2}$ comes from the non-linearity -- revealing the MSIM as a natural non-linear analogue of the Tensor PCA model \cite{montanari2014statistical}. While this perturbative picture is sufficient to enable efficient spectral recovery based on Tensor unfolding (as already observed in \cite{oymak2021learning}), it is not precise enough for the analysis of backpropagation gradient-based methods. In this work, we address this limitation by performing a fine-grained analysis of the Wiener chaos using Edgeworth expansions. In the first chaos, this gives a finite-rank hierarchy at scales $d^{-q/2}$. In higher chaoses, balanced flattenings exhibit staircase singular-value plateaus of size $d^{-ρ/2}$ and multiplicity $d^ρ$ under a natural higher-chaos non-cancellation condition. Using this higher-chaos structure, and under an additional slow Hermite-energy tail condition, we first establish shallow-network approximation lower bounds, quantifying the benefit of depth in this model. Next, and most importantly, we prove that online SGD on the correlation objective, where all layers evolve in the same timescale, achieves $1 - o_d(1)$ recovery with $n = \widetilde{O}( d^{K-1})$ samples, recovering the same sample complexity as in the linear counterpart.