Leon Fröhling, Jens Rupprecht, Markus Strohmaier +1cs.CL cs.CY
Large Language Models (LLMs) are increasingly used to predict the responses of human participants in survey panels. Towards that goal, persona prompting has recently emerged as a technique to inform and align large pretrained language models. Persona prompting refers to the practice of using short textual descriptions of 'personas' in prompts to steer the LLM's generations. Personas describe individuals through different attributes such as their socio-demographics, attitudes, or behaviors, with the aim of aligning LLMs to produce responses that correlate with the corresponding human responses. Yet, recent work has produced mixed and partly conflicting results of persona prompting without clear patterns of success and failure. Among the few consistent findings is that the selection of persona attributes matters, and that using more attributes does not necessarily lead to better performance. It remains unclear how different attribute selection methods perform and how to choose among them. In this paper, we propose that observed human response variation of a survey question is a potential explanation for the mixed performance observed so far. In addition, we compare the performance of persona prompting associated with different methods for selecting persona attributes. We evaluate these methods on four different (general) social surveys across two countries, six LLMs, and twenty prediction tasks per survey. Our work helps to identify when persona prompting can be expected to be useful in survey prediction tasks, and provides new insights on the effectiveness of different attribute selection methods for LLM-based survey prediction using persona prompting.
A popular route to interpretable zero-shot classification asks a large language model (LLM) to describe each class name and prompts CLIP with the resulting descriptors. We show that these descriptors carry little visual evidence of their own: removing the class name from the prompt collapses ImageNet accuracy from 59.5% to 15.5%. The diagnosis is that the descriptors are conditioned on the label rather than on the images, so they describe the concept in general and mislead exactly when the data shifts; an LLM insists that strawberries are red, but every strawberry in ImageNet-Sketch is a colorless line drawing. We therefore select attributes from the target image collection instead: we score a large attribute pool against the images in CLIP's joint embedding space and keep the top-scoring attributes per class. Selected this way, class-name-free attribute prompts reach 23.8% on ImageNet (against 15.5% for LLM descriptors), the gain holds on four shifted ImageNet variants, and reselecting from the LLM's own pool isolates the selection mechanism as the cause. With one image per class, the selected attributes outperform the prompt-tuning method CoOp by 3 points while fitting in under a minute instead of 14 hours, with no learned soft prompt to obscure the decision. Because the attribute set is chosen by the data, it doubles as a readable summary of a dataset, which we use to describe distribution shift in words.