In this research, a novel framework is proposed for the SOH estimation, which employs a hybrid deep learning architecture of a concatenation of a Convolution Neural Network (CNN) and a Bidirectional Long Short-Term Memory (BiLSTM) Neural Network (NN) with the integration of Bayesian Optimization-based hyperparameter tuning for the network. Three different deep learning architectures are being evaluated: standalone recurrent models, CNN-RNN architectures and CNN-RNN combinations enhanced with intermediate Fully Connected (FC) layers. Among the three, the model with the intermediate FC layers demonstrated the highest predictive accuracy. A comprehensive feature engineering approach combines capacity (Q), voltage (V), Incremental Capacity Analysis (ICA), and Differential Voltage Analysis (DVA), with systematic evaluation of multiple combinations to identify the optimal input representation. To validate the proposed method, three publicly available datasets were utilized, ensuring reproducibility of the results, two from external sources and one developed by the author of this study using a unique experimental setup. The comparison study was performed using the Mean Absolute Error (MAE), the Root Mean Squared Error (RMSE) and the FLoating-point OPerations (FLOPs) as evaluation metrics.
Sara Sameer, Yunyi Zhao, Wei Zhang +4cs.LG eess.SY
Battery health prognostics is a core function in battery management systems (BMSs), yet long-horizon health forecasting from BMS signals remains challenging due to operating-condition dependency and sensor noise. In this paper, we propose PhyMamba, a two-stage physics-modulated Mamba framework that integrates electrochemical aging into sequence modelling. PhyMamba does not require explicit identification of internal aging parameters, which often relies on intrusive measurements. In stage-1, a lightweight Mamba encoder first processes BMS signals and produces a latent representation that is transformed via an aging parameterization module, into physics-informed aging features. In stage-2, a customized Mamba forecasting backbone performs multi-cycle prediction, where physics is tightly integrated to regulate the model's internal temporal updates toward degradation-consistent evolution. Experiments on three public datasets under multiple forecast horizons show that PhyMamba achieves the best aggregated performance, with an overall mean error reduction of 31.8% compared with a diverse range of baselines. PhyMamba also offers an optimized accuracy-efficiency trade-off, which supports practical deployment for robust battery health prognostics.
In some fields currently dominated by empirical approaches, such as state of health (SoH) prediction for lithium-ion batteries, phenomenological models motivated by quasi-physical thinking contain parameters to be estimated from experimental data. Often the structure of such models yields fully or partially confounded parameters, which are difficult or even impossible to estimate reliably. To preserve the desired model formulation and simultaneously improve the numerical conditioning for the problem we introduce a ridge regression scheme. An automated method is provided, based on information theoretic measures of model performance, which optimises the ridge regression hyper-parameter at each iteration. The formulae presented require fixed point iteration to solve for the hyper-parameter. Given a suitable starting value, analysis demonstrates convergence is very rapid. The optimal hyper-parameter selection mechanism is incorporated within an efficient regularised iterative generalised least squares mechanism, capable of fitting both heteroscedastic and serially correlated data as required. Simulation confirms the efficacy of the overall method.
With the increasing integration of renewable energy sources, energy storage systems have become essential, making the accurate estimation of their State of Health (SOH) and degradation behavior critical. In this work, we propose a physics-informed deep learning approach for lithium-ion battery SOH prediction using incomplete discharge curves extracted from arbitrary voltage ranges, thereby reflecting realistic and heterogeneous operating conditions. The proposed method combines data-driven learning with physically motivated degradation dynamics to ensure consistent and reliable SOH estimation from partial discharge information, achieving a MAPE below 4$\%$. In addition, a real-time degradation trend estimation strategy is introduced to detect key aging transitions without requiring prior knowledge or historical data, making it applicable to a wide range of batteries. Overall, our approach enables SOH estimation from arbitrary discharge segments and a real-time degradation forecast that continuously integrates all usage, overcoming previous methods that rely on fixed protocols or early, non-adaptive predictions.
Accurate prediction of lithium-ion battery state of health (SOH) is essential for reliable energy storage operation. However, purely data-driven models may generalize poorly across cycling protocols and produce physically implausible behavior during long-term extrapolation. We developed a physics-informed differentiable degradation modeling framework (PiDDM) for battery SOH prediction. PiDDM incorporates empirical Arrhenius degradation kinetics associated with solid electrolyte interphase growth and loss of lithium inventory into the training objective, encouraging physically consistent capacity fade under diverse operating conditions. The framework was evaluated using a public dataset of 55 batteries cycled under six operating protocols. PiDDM achieved the lowest average prediction error among the evaluated models and substantially reduced mean squared error relative to a multilayer perceptron and a baseline physics-informed neural network. For extrapolation, the models were trained on the first 90% of each battery's cycle life and evaluated on the unseen final 10%. PiDDM captured accelerated end-of-life degradation while avoiding the nonphysical capacity regeneration produced by the baseline models. These results show that incorporating degradation physics into neural network training improves predictive accuracy and physical consistency, providing a promising approach for practical battery health monitoring.
Accurate State-of-Health estimation is essential for safe battery operation and cost-effective maintenance. Although numerous health indicators have been derived from constant-current (CC) and constant-voltage (CV) charging phases, their effectiveness under realistic cross-battery validation remains insufficiently studied. This work addresses this gap through a systematic comparison of CC-only, CV-only, and combined indicator sets using rigorous Leave-One-Battery-Out (LOBO) validation on the NASA battery aging dataset. Four CV-phase indicators and CC phase duration are evaluated individually and in combination. Results show that the combined CC+CV approach achieves the best performance (R2 = 0.874), confirming that CC and CV phases capture complementary degradation information. Moreover, a 119% performance gap is observed between standard 5-fold cross-validation and LOBO validation, indicating that conventional evaluation overestimates practical accuracy. Based on these findings, practical guidelines are provided for indicator selection under data and computational constraints.
The deployment of reliable lithium-ion battery management systems is crucial for accelerating electrification, yet the joint prognosis of State of Health (SOH) and Remaining Useful Life (RUL) remains severely hindered by task heteroscedasticity. Conventional multi-task learning frameworks fail to balance the bounded, low-variance noise of SOH estimation with the unbounded, nonlinearly expanding uncertainty of long-term RUL predictions. Here, we present the Rotary SOH-Injected Prior Battery Transformer (RoSIP-Batt), a unified co-estimation framework that resolves these optimization conflicts. By formulating joint prediction as a Bayesian multi-task objective, RoSIP-Batt introduces a homoscedastic uncertainty weighting mechanism to dynamically scale task-specific gradients based on learned residual noise levels. The architecture leverages decoupled dual classification tokens and a per-dimension gated fusion mechanism, secured by a gradient-detachment operator to prevent high-variance RUL updates from corrupting the stable SOH representation space. To capture electrochemical degradation patterns without relying on absolute cycle steps, Rotary Position Embedding (RoPE) is incorporated into a shared Transformer backbone to model translation-invariant relative temporal profiles. Crucially, the intermediate SOH estimate is directly injected into the RUL regression head as a physical degradation prior. Evaluations across the NASA, MIT-Stanford, and HUST datasets show that RoSIP-Batt significantly outperforms state-of-the-art baselines, reducing SOH estimation error to 1.994% MAE on NASA and restricting RUL prediction error to 62.85 cycles on Stanford. These findings establish RoSIP-Batt as a highly generalizable, computationally efficient solution suitable for real-time embedded BMS deployment.
Wendi Guo, Søren Byg Vilsen, Daniel Ioan Stroe +4cs.LG eess.SY
Supercharging of lithium-ion batteries (LiBs) requires robust health monitoring to ensure durability, safety, and user confidence, particularly for emerging vehicle-to-grid applications with bidirectional energy flows. Yet battery management remains largely disconnected from the material and structural origins of aging, limiting both interpretable health assessment and informed battery design. Here we propose a physics-informed learning framework with virtual sensing that infers hard-to-measure design parameters, including solid-state diffusion coefficient, electrode thickness, ion concentration, and particle size, directly from standard battery management system (BMS) measurements. Across diverse fast-charging strategies and driving profiles, embedding a digital-twin-derived particle-cracking mechanism as a soft constraint reduces trajectory and lifetime prediction errors by 6-8 times relative to state-of-the-art machine learning baselines using only 2% early-life observations. We further show that accurate degradation extrapolation does not require fully resolved governing equations; validated partial mechanisms, jointly refined with limited data, provide sufficient guidance. Virtual sensing transforms standard charging signals into latent design variables without additional sensors, bridging observable battery behavior and underlying aging processes while reducing capacity loss error by up to 39%, end-of-life (EOL) error by 17%, and prediction variability by up to 54%, enabling real-time exploration of new battery configurations. More broadly, the proposed framework establishes a practical feedback loop between deployment and development, demonstrating how real-world operation can continuously inform upstream design decisions across complex multiphysics systems.
Battery health estimation is fundamental for battery management in battery-powered systems, where inaccurate health states may affect control, maintenance, and service life. It becomes even more critical in intelligent connected systems, where estimation errors can propagate across interconnected devices and downstream decisions. In this paper, we propose TIDE, a trustworthy and interpretable battery degradation estimator for reliable battery health estimation. TIDE jointly considers accuracy, trustworthiness, and interpretability, which are all essential for practical deployment and downstream decision making. To realize these objectives, TIDE combines battery-domain knowledge with operational measurements in a three-component backbone. A knowledge-guided degradation prior promotes trustworthy estimation, a monotone residual component provides interpretable aging-consistent refinement, and a contextual learning component captures battery-specific operational effects for improved accuracy. The trained backbone is then distilled into a compact symbolic surrogate that provides a concise model-level interpretation of its learned estimation logic. Experiments show that TIDE achieves strong estimation accuracy, improving overall estimation fidelity by an average of 19.7% over representative baselines. Its knowledge-guided prior and monotone residual modelling substantially reduce aging-consistency violations, supporting trustworthy estimation. Meanwhile, the backbone enables component-level interpretation, while symbolic distillation provides a compact model-level representation of the learned estimation logic. These results support the practical use of TIDE for battery health monitoring and decision support in intelligent connected systems.