Transferable Above-Ground Biomass (AGB) Estimation Model from Multi-Sensor Data with Sparse Field Calibration

Spatially continuous quantification of forest above-ground biomass (AGB) is what makes carbon accounting credible and mitigation strategies actionable. While field inventories provide high localized accuracy, they are spatially sparse; conversely, spaceborne LiDAR from the Global Ecosystem Dynamics Investigation (GEDI) offers broad biomass samples but lacks spatial continuity and systematic underestimation of high-biomass forests. This paper presents an operational framework centered on a single globally trained convolutional neural network (CNN) that is seamlessly adapted to each new landscape through a lightweight empirical field-calibration workflow. The global model combines optical (Sentinel-2), C-band SAR (Sentinel-1), L-band SAR (ALOS-2 PALSAR-2), and terrain (DEM) data. It is trained once against GEDI Level-4A biomass reference data spanning multiple regions and both wet and dry seasons so that it learns the persistent woody-structure rather than a single-date appearance. To avoid retraining for every landscape, the framework applies a small number of local field plots to fit a scale-and-bias correction that aligns the global prediction with ground truth in each region. The pipeline harmonizes sensor data onto a shared 10 m grid, derives vegetation indices and polarimetric ratios, computes per-band normalization stats, and trains the CNN with a hybrid log-domain SmoothL1 with RMSE loss for skewed biomass distribution. On held-out validation the global GEDI-based model achieved R^2 approximately 0.78 and RMSE approximately 22 Mg/ha. A subsequent field calibration combining Random Forest fine-tuning under a 10-fold cross-validation eliminates localized regional biases. This improves local validation performance to R^2 approximately 0.82 and reduces RMSE to approximately 15 Mg/ha, outperforming both the uncalibrated global model and the ESA CCI Biomass product against field plots.

Above-ground Biomass Estimation with Geospatial Foundation Models

Accurate estimation of Above-Ground Biomass (AGB) from satellite imagery is essential for the large-scale monitoring of carbon stocks, yet it remains a challenging regression task at global scale. Geospatial Foundation Models (GFMs) have recently emerged as a promising machine learning paradigm to derive general-purpose representations from Earth observation data, but their utility for quantitative regression tasks like biomass estimation remains largely unexplored, as most benchmarks emphasize classification and segmentation. Here, we present a comprehensive benchmark of GFMs for global-scale AGB estimation using the AGBD dataset, a machine learning-ready benchmark spanning diverse biomes and geographies. We distinguish two ways in which GFMs reach practitioners: (i) models distributed as weights to be run by the user, which we evaluate as frozen encoders within the PANGAEA benchmarking framework; and (ii) models distributed as ready-to-use, pre-computed embedding products, for which we evaluate AlphaEarth Foundations (AEF) and TESSERA. We compare 11 GFMs available on PANGAEA and both embedding products against a fully supervised state-of-the-art (SOTA) model, assess their geographical and temporal generalization abilities, as well as agreement with the ESA CCI biomass product on independent reference data. Our results show that GFMs run as frozen encoders substantially underperform with respect to the supervised SOTA model, whereas pre-computed embedding products prove highly effective. An MLP trained on AEF embeddings outperforms the supervised SOTA model trained on AGBD features, and the same SOTA model trained on AEF embeddings (optionally augmented with selected raw features) achieves the best overall result, while also generalizing better across space and time.

Shifting from Discrete to Continuous Reference Data: QSM-Derived Horizontal Tree Biomass Distribution for Deep Learning Biomass Estimation

Conventional modeling approaches for LiDAR-based above-ground biomass (AGB) estimation rely on discrete plot-level inventory aggregates. This methodology introduces boundary-effect uncertainties that may severely degrade model performance within small field plots. To solve this limitation, we evaluate a Horizontal Biomass Distribution (HBD) reference mapped continuously from Quantitative Structure Models (QSMs). We trained a sparse 3D U-Net on simulated broadleaved forest structures using three AGB reference types: a standard forest inventory (FI) plot-level aggregate, an edge-effect-free QSM plot-level aggregate, and a continuous HBD mapping. Evaluating training plot sizes scaling from 100 to 2500 $m^2$ , QSM-based models systematically outperformed FI approaches at small plot sizes. Specifically, for 100 $m^2$ plots, the HBD reference reduced the relative root mean square error (RRMSE) by 16.84 $\pm$ 4.37 % and increased $R^2$ by 0.22 $\pm$ 0.05 against the FI baseline. By replacing plot level aggregates with HBDs as AGB reference, this methodology corrects for edge-effects and shows that using an HBD-based reference enhances model performance for small plot sizes.

Phase-Preserving Trimodal Transformer for Tropical Forest Biomass Estimation Using Optical and PolInSAR Data

The accurate estimation of Above-Ground Biomass (AGB) in mature tropical forests remains a critical challenge in remote sensing, primarily due to the saturation of Synthetic Aperture Radar (SAR) signals in high-density areas and persistent cloud cover affecting optical imagery. To overcome these physical limitations, we propose the Trimodal Coherent Co-attention Transformer (TCCT), a physics-informed deep learning architecture. The TCCT natively fuses optical surface reflectance (Landsat-5) with complex-valued Polarimetric SAR Interferometry (PolInSAR) data from both P and L bands. Unlike traditional fusion methods, our architecture employs complex-valued encoders to preserve spatial phase coherence, coupled with a dynamic co-attention mechanism that acts as an adaptive gating module, reducing the weight of cloud-corrupted optical pixels and shifting reliance to microwave phase data. We also derived a localized spatial allometric calibration model via Levenberg-Marquardt optimization, tailored to the specific wood density of the Paracou region in the Amazon basin. Evaluated using a two-stage protocol, the TCCT first underwent a rigorous 5-fold cross-validation to establish robust global weights (achieving a global RMSE of 4.19 m). Subsequently, following a localized spatial fine-tuning phase over 200 epochs, the model attained an absolute RMSE of 3.78 m and an $R^2$ of 0.33 for Canopy Height Models (CHM), outperforming standard Random Forest, CNN, and Vision Transformer baselines. Our ablation study confirms that preserving phase coherence mitigates deep-canopy signal saturation. When converted to AGB, the fine-tuned TCCT map yielded a Relative RMSE (rRMSE) of 4.51% in dense forest areas above 50 Mg/ha. By meeting the European Space Agency (ESA) BIOMASS mission requirement of less than 20% error, the TCCT provides a robust framework for continuous carbon stock mapping in tropical biomes.

Self-Supervised Tree-level Biomass Estimation in Urban Environments From Airborne LiDAR and Optical Observations

Urban tree biomass remains less spatially explicitly quantified than biomass in managed forests because many estimates rely on inventories or coarse products that cannot resolve individual crowns or fine-scale heterogeneity. We present a crown-level above-ground biomass (AGB) framework for an 810~km$^2$ landscape in Ontario, Canada, using leaf-off airborne LiDAR (8--10~pulses~m$^{-2}$) and near-infrared RGB orthophotography (0.16--0.20~m) from 2018 and 2023. A dual-stream cross-attention network trained on rule-based pseudo-labels produced semantic marks for buildings, needleleaf trees, and deciduous trees, supporting crown delineation and functional-type assignment. On independently annotated withheld tiles, global/mean precision, recall, and Dice scores were 0.86, 0.83, and 0.84. Crowns were delineated with multiscale watershed segmentation in mapped tree areas, and AGB was estimated from a crown area--height power-law proxy calibrated to species-specific allometry (Lambert et al., 2005) for 21,921 inventory trees. For 18,713 inventory--segment matched pairs from a 90,726-tree held-out test set, AGB prediction achieved $R^2=0.609$ using inventory crown geometry and $R^2=0.570$ under operational segmentation, identifying crown delineation as the remaining uncertainty source. Aggregated to 30~m, estimates yielded total AGB stocks of 1.73~Tg in 2018 and 1.81~Tg in 2023 (811--850~Gg~C), local densities up to ${\sim}140$~Mg~ha$^{-1}$ along the Niagara Escarpment, and a net carbon gain of 39~Gg~C over five years. Deep-ensemble uncertainty maps highlighted high-epistemic-uncertainty areas linked to underrepresented land covers and guided assignment of uncertain crowns to a pooled allometric equation. The framework uses standard provincial data, requires no manual annotation, and produces a public bitemporal crown-level AGB database for trees outside forests at management-relevant resolution.