High-resolution climate data is crucial for meteorological predictions and for informing decision support across diverse domains. However, the acquisition of such high-resolution climate information is often prohibitively costly, necessitating the development of data-driven meteorological prediction models. These models aim to generate fine-grained climate data from low-resolution inputs, a process termed climate data super-resolution (SR). Nevertheless, recent advancements in deep learning for climate data SR have primarily focused on leveraging single-frame spatial information, largely neglecting the temporal correlations between different time frames that could enhance SR outcomes. Furthermore, climate data are inherently stochastic and noisy, rendering widely used temporal alignment methods, such as optical flow models, ineffective in this context. Consequently, the development of a framework tailored for climate data SR that effectively captures implicit temporal correlations remains an unresolved challenge. To this end, we propose a novel Temporal-Enhanced framework with bidirectional temporal alignment. In essence, our framework establishes a temporal bridge to enhance spatial resolution in climate data SR through bidirectional alignment, leading to improved SR performance. Within this framework, Paired Latent Mapping achieves spatial alignment and noise reduction by unifying latent spaces. Then a Bidirectional Temporal Alignment captures temporal correlations by training forward and backward networks on consecutive latent frames. Temporal Enhanced Super-resolution then optimizes the entire framework for climate data SR. Experiments on large-scale real-world datasets demonstrated the superior performance of our framework.
Error-bounded lossy compression is a fundamental technique for managing the rapidly growing volumes of scientific data produced by modern simulations and observational instruments. Most state-of-the-art-compressors follow a prediction-residual paradigm, where compression effectiveness depends on the quality of the predictor: more accurate predictions generate smaller residuals that are easier to compress. This observation raises a question: can modern machine learning models serve as superior predictors for scientific data compression? Answering this question directly is challenging because developing compression-specific ML predictors requires substantial resources. Instead, we leverage the climate domain where highly accurate pretrained weather forecasting foundation models already exist, making them an ideal testbed. We present a framework that integrates spatial and temporal deep learning models into a conventional error-bounded compression pipeline. The framework supports auto-regressive forecasting models and avoids error accumulation. Using ERA5 climate data as a representative large-scale scientific dataset, we evaluate three distinct ML predictors: a VAEformer-based codec (CRA5), a graph neural network forecaster (GraphCast), and a vision-transformer forecaster (Aurora), against the state-of-the-art compressor SZ3.1 under identical quantization and entropy-coding backends. Our evaluation over approximately 1.7 TB of data reveals a surprising result: although ML predictors generate more accurate predictions and can improve reconstruction quality by up to 91% while achieving up to 9.6x higher compression ratios for highly predictable variables, they do not improve overall dataset-level compression ratio. We show that prediction accuracy alone is insufficient: the spatial structure of the resulting residuals plays a decisive role in entropy coding efficiency.
Accurate loss reserving is foundational to insurer solvency, yet accelerating climate driven catastrophes systematically violate the stability assumptions on which traditional actuarial methods depend. This white paper presents a research program testing whether Long Short Term Memory (LSTM) neural networks can detect and adapt to these structural breaks faster and more accurately than Chain Ladder, Bornhuetter Ferguson, and Cape Cod methods. Using 15 plus years of regulatory development triangle data from Florida and Louisiana, enriched with NOAA hurricane intensity indices and sea surface temperatures, we hypothesize a targeted improvement of 15, 20% in reserve accuracy for catastrophe exposed years, a threshold grounded both in the prior neural network reserving literature and in the formal convergence results developed here. Beyond empirical validation, we develop a theoretical framework grounding LSTM structural break detection in probabilistic terms, providing formal performance guarantees that compensate for the limited number of catastrophe events in the test period. We document the research design, methodology, expected contributions, and a candid assessment of limitations.