Alessandro Canevaro, Hang Yu, Julian Schmidt +5cs.RO cs.AI cs.LG
While closed-loop motion planners trained on large-scale, object-level datasets, e.g., nuPlan, demonstrate strong in-distribution (ID) performance, their generalization to novel urban topologies and recovery mechanisms following execution perturbations remain under-explored. To address this, we present Shift & Drift, a novel dual-track benchmark designed to rigorously stress-test motion planners across two critical axes of distribution shift: (1) The Semantic Shift Track leverages a novel conversion pipeline that transforms the aerial, DeepScenario Open 3D dataset into the nuPlan simulation framework. This enables zero-shot evaluation of planners trained on North American and Singaporean data against 1,182 scenarios spanning four German cities and the US city of San Francisco featuring dense pedestrian-cyclist interactions. (2) The State-Distribution Drift Track injects stochastic perturbations into the ego vehicle's dynamics to quantify robustness against compounding execution errors. Based on this, we systematically evaluate the failure modes of diverse planning paradigms under semantic and state-distribution shifts. While imitation learning methods achieve high scores in ID benchmarks, they exhibit significant failures under semantic shift, particularly in pedestrian-dense environments, and suffer from persistent drift when subjected to temporally correlated actuation noise. In contrast, the evaluated reinforcement-learning-based planner demonstrates more graceful degradation, maintaining higher safety and progress metrics across both tracks. Our findings reveal an empirical trade-off between imitation fidelity and closed-loop resilience, providing the community with a rigorous benchmark to evaluate progress toward reliable deployment.
How can we plan long-horizon routes that reach designated goals, visit required waypoints, and remain short when only short-horizon offline trajectories are available? This problem matters in offline navigation because collecting sufficiently rich long-horizon data is difficult, yet real agents must still solve long-range tasks with route-level efficiency rather than mere feasibility. The difficulty is twofold: at the microscopic level, composing many short-horizon segments creates a trade-off between search cost and path quality, while at the macroscopic level, waypoint ordering requires comparing pairwise travel costs among start, goal, and waypoint anchors that are unknown before planning and increasingly unreliable when estimated only from long-range temporal distance. In this paper, we propose ChronoForest, a closed-loop planning system that couples local bridge search and online route re-solving through an anchor-chaining tree diffusion planner and an online multi-tree orchestrator. ChronoForest uses temporal distance for short-range guidance and node evaluation, while using search-time bridge evidence to validate long-range anchor connectivity and repeatedly re-solve the route. On OGBench AntMaze-Stitch, ChronoForest achieves 99.8%, 99.3%, and 99.5% success on the medium, large, and giant splits and improves giant-stitch success by up to 34.5 points over prior reported diffusion-based results. On Hamiltonian route-composition benchmarks, online re-solving corrects poor temporal orderings and improves route quality while remaining substantially cheaper than exhaustive planning.