UC-PSRO: Utility-Conditioned Policy-Space Response Oracles with a Communication-Dropout Curriculum for Game-Theoretic Course-of-Action Generation in Adversarial Swarms

We study generating game-theoretically optimized Courses of Action (COAs) for a Blue UAS swarm against an adaptive Red adversary in a communication-degraded environment, motivated by (but not derived from) a public U.S. Air Force SBIR solicitation. We propose UC-PSRO (Utility-Conditioned Policy-Space Response Oracles with a Communication-Dropout Curriculum), combining three mechanisms: (i) PSRO self-play, so Blue and Red policies train as approximate best responses to each other rather than one side against a fixed scripted opponent; (ii) FiLM conditioning of the Blue policy on a Commander's-Intent weight vector, sampled from a Dirichlet distribution during training, so one trained policy is re-steerable at execution time without retraining; and (iii) a curriculum annealing communication-graph edge dropout during training, so the swarm learns decentralized, peer-to-peer fallback instead of depending on full connectivity. We evaluate on a synthetic, unclassified stand-in for the solicitation's maritime scenario, with 5 seeds at N=25 Blue agents and a scalability sweep to N=200. We find a genuine trade-off, not a uniform win: the communication-dropout curriculum alone gives the strongest, most robust mission-completion rates of any learned method, improving counter-intuitively as denial increases (35% to 62% success as dropout rises from 0 to 0.75); adding utility-conditioning and PSRO self-play substantially slows convergence within a fixed budget, and we find no reliable exploitability advantage for self-play over a fixed-opponent policy, both statistically indistinguishable from a small, near-zero gap. We report this honestly as a convergence cost not yet offset by a demonstrated robustness benefit, rather than overstating one method as dominant, and provide a fully vectorized, open environment training at N=200 agents in single-digit milliseconds per step on a single consumer GPU.

Value-Aware Prediction for Robust Multi-Agent Coordination Under Communication Loss

Robust multi-agent coordination relies heavily on inter-agent communication, which is frequently disrupted by physical and environmental constraints in real-world deployments. To maintain operation during these intermittent communication failures, agents can employ internal prediction models to estimate missing shared state information. However, predictors trained with standard reconstruction objectives treat all transitions equally. In a Reinforcement Learning context, this forces the model to waste capacity learning stochastic exploration noise and the outdated dynamics of suboptimal policies. In this paper, we propose a value-aware extension of Multi-Agent Observation Sharing under Communication Dropout (MARO) to patch communication gaps; we refer to this method as Value-Aware MARO. By dynamically weighting the predictor's loss function using advantage estimates derived from the underlying actor-critic architecture, our objective explicitly couples the predictor's learning process to the policy's evolution. This formulation focuses the model's capacity on the intentional, high-return dynamics actively reinforced by the agents. We evaluate our framework on several tasks within the Multi-Agent Particle Environment under varying communication reliability levels. Experimental results demonstrate that our approach maintains performance under declining communication reliability, particularly below 40%. While our method performs comparably in tasks where the baseline already maintains high coordination, our value-aware weighting effectively prevents the performance collapse observed in the standard predictor during high-attrition scenarios. In these environments, our method achieves an average improvement in mean returns of more than 20% and reduces performance variance by a mean of 64.7% compared to the standard unweighted baseline.