Cross-simulator transfer with foundation model summaries: Towards robust SKA-era reionization inference

Simulation-based inference (SBI) for parameter estimation is vulnerable to model misspecification: neural summaries and density estimators trained on a specific forward model typically fail when applied to data drawn from another model, or from real observations, and no training simulator can capture the full observational pipeline of a real measurement exactly. We show that a self-supervised Vision Transformer (ViT), pretrained label-free on a fast approximate simulator, produces transferable data summaries that generalize across simulators. Without retraining, it can be reused as a frozen encoder to infer astrophysical parameters from a completely different simulator that resolves the radiative transfer explicitly, on which it has never seen either data or parameters. As a concrete use case in 21cm cosmology, SKATR, a ViT pretrained with a Joint Embedding Predictive Architecture (JEPA), serves as a foundation model for reionization inference from upcoming SKA measurements: SKATR is pretrained once on 67k low-cost, noiseless semi-numerical 21cmFAST lightcones, then frozen and applied to hydrodynamical Loreli II lightcones, where a lightweight conditional flow matching head infers five astrophysical parameters; the encoder is never shown Loreli data, its parameters, or any noise. In our comparison, SKATR yields the most precise and best-calibrated posteriors across all five parameters, matching the accuracy of the fully-supervised in-domain baseline while requiring 2.6x fewer radiative-transfer simulations. Under realistic SKA AA* noise, only SKATR remains simultaneously accurate, informative, and calibrated, outperforming even a supervised baseline retrained from scratch on noisy data. Self-supervised pretraining on computationally efficient semi-numerical simulations is therefore a viable route to calibrated, simulator- and noise-agnostic reionization inference for the SKA-era.

Emulating Cosmic Structure Formation with a Lagrangian Neural Cellular Automaton

Field-level inference of cosmological initial conditions from galaxy surveys requires a forward model that is simultaneously accurate in the non-linear regime, computationally efficient, and fully differentiable. Traditional N-body simulations are accurate but computationally prohibitive for iterative inference, while approximate solvers like Lagrangian Perturbation Theory (LPT) fail to capture the knotty halo-forming dynamics of the cosmic web at late times. We introduce the \textit{Lagrangian Neural Cellular Automaton} (LNCA), a hybrid deep learning framework that can be applied to emulate structure formation as a local, iterative dynamical process on a comoving lattice. Unlike standard Eulerian Convolutional Neural Networks (CNNs) which map fixed density fields, the LNCA operates in the Lagrangian frame, advecting the computational graph itself to follow the flow of mass. By training the network to learn only the \textit{residual} displacement corrections to the Zeldovich approximation, we achieve high-fidelity emulation of the non-linear physics while guaranteeing accuracy at large scales. We further constrain our model to produce complete trajectories, not just final states, by adopting an equivariant cellular automaton architecture, which recurrently iterates on its internal states to yield a dynamic history. The resulting model is strictly local, translationally and rotationally equivariant, and naturally supports continuous time integration, making it a reliable differentiable forward model for reconstructing the initial conditions of the universe from lightcone data. Our trained model supports percent-level precision in the power and cross spectra well into the non-linear regime ($k \lesssim 0.5 \, h \text{Mpc}^{-1}$), while requiring $\sim10^4$ times fewer learned parameters than comparable models which take the form of an interpretable internal dynamic rule set.

Physically Consistent Parameter Inference: Transparent Machine Learning Emulation in High Energy Physics and Cosmology

Global fits in high energy physics and cosmology often face the challenge of exploring high-dimensional parameter spaces with computationally expensive or topologically complex likelihood functions. In this work, we present a Machine Learning framework designed to emulate complex, often non-Gaussian likelihood landscapes using gradient-boosted regression trees (XGBoost). We discuss the advantages of the Machine Learning approach in terms of computational efficiency and the resolution of confidence regions, particularly in scenarios with complex correlations or "curved" degeneracies. We validate this methodology by applying it to a recent analysis on flavour anomalies in semileptonic $B$ meson decays and discussing the adaptability of this framework to other phenomenological systems, such as axion-like particles or cosmology global fits. Finally, we utilise SHAP (Shapley Additive exPlanations) values to provide a transparent analysis of feature importance, ensuring that the Machine Learning predictions remain physically interpretable and consistent with the underlying physics.

Field-level weak lensing cosmology with $<100$ simulations using multifidelity simulation-based inference

We perform a realistic KiDS-Legacy mock analysis with field-level neural compression and simulation-based inference using fewer than 100 $N$-body simulations. The weak lensing shear field encodes substantially more cosmological information than standard two-point summary statistics such as the power spectrum. Field-level inference can fully exploit this information, but physical realism at the field-level requires very high-fidelity simulations. This poses a major challenge for simulation-based inference (SBI): accurate empirical density modelling and deep-learning-based neural compression require many training simulations, but achieving physical realism at the field level makes each simulation extremely costly. We demonstrate that multifidelity SBI can alleviate this tension by substantially reducing the number of high-fidelity simulations needed for accurate cosmological inference. We pre-train neural inference models on realistic KiDS-Legacy-like shear mocks using fast log-normal GLASS simulations and fine-tune them on a small set of high-fidelity $N$-body simulations. We show that between $60$-$100$ high-fidelity simulations are sufficient to obtain informative and well-calibrated cosmological posteriors, enabling an order-of-magnitude reduction in simulation cost for accurate field-level inference in a realistic setting.

Interpretable Neural Marked Statistics for Cosmological Inference

Recovering cosmological information beyond the power spectrum is a central goal for upcoming cosmological surveys, since late-time non-Gaussian signal in the matter density cannot be accessed through two-point statistics alone. Marked statistics fold part of this information back into the two-point level by reweighting the field with non-linear functions. We propose a neural marking scheme to generalize this process through a set of interpretable, physically motivated transformations that directly allow to interpret the gain in cosmological information at the morphological level. We employ a contrastive learning objective to align learnable marked summaries with the underlying cosmological parameters. At $k_{\max}=0.2\,h\mathrm{Mpc}^{-1}$, our neural mark tightens the marginalized constraint on $σ_8$ by $2.9\times$ and on $Ω_m$ by $1.8\times$ compared to classical marks, breaking the $Ω_m-σ_8$ degeneracy at the Fisher information level. It further reduces the parameter MSE across our cosmological parameter prior by $1.45\times$ over the best classical mark. The learned latent geometry aligns with the $Ω_m$ and $σ_8$ directions in parameter space, indicating that the contrastive objective recovers the dominant axes of cosmological information. Our approach opens the door to more powerful, interpretable summary statistics for cosmological inference.

Learning the Universe: Posterior Reliability of Neural Generative Models in High-Dimensional Field-Level Inference of Cosmic Initial Conditions

Accurate posterior estimation is central to scientific inference, as uncertainties determine what can be reliably learned from observational data. While Markov chain Monte Carlo methods provide asymptotic convergence guarantees, they are computationally demanding in high-dimensional settings. Neural network-based generative models for entire discretized 3D fields enable fast amortized inference but often lack convergence guarantees and principled accuracy assessment. Using Hamiltonian Monte Carlo to obtain reference posterior samples, we conduct a controlled field-level evaluation of an implicit generative model (Stochastic Interpolants) and an explicit likelihood-based model (GLOW normalizing flows). This comparison, unavailable in typical applications, enables the detection of posterior geometry failures that standard metrics cannot capture. As a case study, we consider the cosmological inverse problem of inferring cosmic initial conditions from present-day large-scale structure. To match the precision of modern cosmological data, this problem increasingly relies on complex, non-linear, and non-differentiable simulators, which are incompatible with gradient-based inference frameworks. Generative models offer a route to address these challenges, provided their inferred posteriors are reliable. In this work, we show that matching posterior means, marginal distributions, or achieving high cross-correlation does not imply correct uncertainty structure, as revealed by posterior variance fields and sample-based evaluations. Through this work, we aim to raise awareness of the challenges of uncertainty estimation in high-dimensional field-level settings, highlighting the importance of careful design and validation of neural generative approaches for scientific applications.

Velocityformer: Broken-Symmetry-Matched Equivariant Graph Transformers for Cosmological Velocity Reconstruction

Precise measurement of the kinematic Sunyaev-Zel'dovich (kSZ) effect - a probe of the large-scale distribution of baryonic matter, a key observable for cosmological inference - requires accurate reconstruction of galaxy velocities from spectroscopic surveys. The signal-to-noise ratio (SNR) of kSZ measurements scales directly with the correlation coefficient $r$ between reconstructed and true velocities. We introduce Velocityformer, an equivariant graph transformer architecture designed to match the specific symmetry of the observational data. While the underlying physics is equivariant with respect to translations and rotations, observational effects break this symmetry due to the preferred line-of-sight direction. Matching the model's inductive bias to the data's broken symmetry consistently improves performance across all model sizes and training volumes, with Velocityformer improving $r$ by 35% over the standard linear theory baseline and outperforming ML baselines at every data volume. By matching the model's inductive bias to the data and conditioning on the physics-based long-wavelength solution, Velocityformer is highly data-efficient, training to high accuracy on as few as 4 low-fidelity simulations, and generalises zero-shot across input geometry, cosmological parameters, and galaxy sample. On high-fidelity simulated galaxy catalogues, this yields a 30% improvement in $r$ over the physical baseline, directly translating to the same SNR gain on observational data.