Dense per-step supervision is an appealing remedy for sparse-reward, long-horizon LLM agents: reward the agent for predicting its next observation, and memory should follow. We show that under group-normalized RL (GRPO), this recipe does not merely fail -- it destroys the policy. Across Qwen3-1.7B/4B/8B on ALFWorld, a potential-based prediction reward drives every run into a degenerate absorbing state (prediction accuracy -> 1.0, task success -> 0,episode length pinned at the horizon): the "dark room" pathology, built automatically by the optimizer. A single-factor ablation localizes the cause -- removing only GRPO's std normalization turns the same reward from catastrophic (0%) into baseline parity -- and a two-line proposition explains why: in all-fail groups the z-scored advantage is invariant to the shaping coefficient, so bounded rewards become unbounded pressure and annealing cannot help. Our central insight generalizes this: what z-scoring amplifies is a dense signal's within-group variance while all-fail groups dominate, so signals whose variance decays by mastery are structurally amplifier-safe.This variance-profile criterion retrodicts our collapses, carries preregistered predictions for arms that had not yet run, and is consistent with published reward-channel successes (a compatibility check, not an independent test). Finally, a controlled signal-delivery matrix (identical signal, varying only the consumption mechanism) shows the reward channel is at best neutral while the auxiliary-loss channel gains ~20 points -- and a shuffled-gold placebo matches the true-gold arm, so the gap survives without correct labels. Endpoints are single-seed; seed replication and group-size controls are preregistered and in progress.
Reinforcement learning for long-horizon robotic manipulation is often limited by sparse and delayed rewards, while manually designing dense shaping signals is costly and brittle to changes in environments and object configurations. This work proposes Stage-Transition Dense Reward (STDR), a visual reward-learning framework that converts unstructured expert videos into logically grounded dense rewards for training RL agents from scratch. STDR leverages semantic understanding to infer a task's stage structure from demonstrations, and delivers two complementary learning signals during online training: (i) stage-transition feedback that provides goal-directed reward, and (ii) within-stage progress feedback that supplies fine-grained guidance toward completing each stage. Furthermore, an out-of-distribution (OOD) detection mechanism and a grasping regulation module are integrated to enhance robustness and prevent reward hacking. Experiments on 14 manipulation tasks across MetaWorld, ManiSkill, and Franka Kitchen show that STDR consistently improves sample efficiency and success rates over multiple baselines, and matches or surpasses handcrafted dense rewards on several challenging tasks. Real-robot evaluations further indicate that STDR assigns stable, progress-aligned rewards on successful executions while producing appropriately low rewards for failures, suggesting robustness to visual noise and better-calibrated reward assignment across settings.
Sparse reward reinforcement learning (RL) has become a standard tool for improving LLM reasoning, but its success depends critically on the coverage present in the base model. In practice, models are often primed for RL through \emph{mid-training} on curated reasoning traces that teach useful primitive skills such as decomposition, verification, or self-correction. Although effective, this strategy requires manually specifying what the model should learn, and it remains unclear whether such primitive coverage is enough for much harder problems, which require combining these skills into broader solution strategies. We study a more automated approach: \emph{RL-based mid-training} using large corpora of human-written question-answer data. Rather than treating reference solutions as targets to imitate, our method, ExpRL, uses them as \emph{reward scaffolds}: references are hidden from the policy and used only to construct problem-specific grading rubrics for judging on-policy reasoning traces. The policy samples from the original problem prompt, while an LLM judge compares the sampled reasoning trace against the reference solution and assigns outcome-level or process-level dense rewards. This lets ExpRL reinforce partial progress, useful intermediate reductions, and productive reasoning behaviors that sparse final-answer rewards often fail to upweight. On challenging math reasoning tasks, ExpRL yields stronger RL priming than SFT, sparse-reward GRPO, and self-distillation, and provides a better initialization for subsequent sparse-reward RL. Additional mixed-domain experiments further suggest that ExpRL can extend beyond the original math-only setting.