Catalogue Photography as a Cold Start: Toward Deployable Carbide Burr Recognition

Verifying that manufactured batches of milling tools or carbide rotary burrs conform to production order sheets remains a largely manual and error-prone quality assurance task. Automating this process with computer vision faces a critical cold-start constraint since no labelled imagery is available, leaving manufacturer catalogue photography as the sole source of supervision. We investigate how far catalogue supervision can support an industrial recognition pipeline under domain shift, explicitly measuring the gap between catalogue separability and performance on held-out field photographs. Our findings reveal three key insights. First, off-the-shelf frozen feature extractors do not reliably separate the two task attributes, head shape and tooth profile, motivating targeted representation learning. Second, metric learning produces near-perfect unsupervised cluster discovery on catalogue images (adjusted Rand index 0.94--0.97), but less than half of this gain transfers to field photographs. Third, the largest transfer gains do not come from model scale or representation complexity, but from simple changes that reduce domain sensitivity: converting images to grayscale (+0.22) and constraining retrieval using the known order sheet via Hungarian assignment (+0.11). We therefore treat catalogue photography as a useful cold start rather than a deployment-ready training domain, and provide empirical baselines and an evaluation protocol for catalogue-to-field transfer in precision tool manufacturing.

An Ensemble-Based Self-Taught Learning Approach for Parking Space Classification Under Limited Data

Parking spot classification is a fundamental task in intelligent transportation systems, yet most deep learning approaches rely on large amounts of annotated data and exhibit limited generalization across heterogeneous environments. To address these limitations, we investigate a self-taught learning framework based on unsupervised representation learning with convolutional autoencoders. The proposed approach learns transferable visual representations from unlabeled data and reuses the learned encoders as fixed feature extractors for supervised classification with limited annotated samples in the target domain. To further enhance robustness and mitigate architectural bias, an ensemble of heterogeneous autoencoders is employed, with independent classifier heads and prediction fusion at inference time. Experiments conducted on the PKLot and CNRPark benchmarks under cross-dataset evaluation protocols show that the proposed ensemble-based strategy substantially reduces annotation requirements while improving robustness under significant domain shifts, achieving accuracies between 93\% and 96\% in data-constrained scenarios.

Domain shift-robust object detection with GenAI image editing

Object detectors often degrade under domain shifts such as changes in lighting, weather, or occlusion. These shifts alter object appearance and expose a reliance on visual shortcuts learned from the training distribution that do not generalize across domains. Acquiring sufficient real-world samples to capture such domain variation is particularly difficult in specialized, low-data settings. Recent advances in diffusion-based generative image editing have shown promise for improving the in-domain performance of object detectors through synthetic data augmentation. However, their potential to improve out-of-domain robustness remains largely unexplored. We hypothesize that generative image editing can simulate a controlled domain shift in training data, effectively bridging the gap between source and target domains. To test this, we studied camouflaged military vehicle detection as a challenging domain shift scenario. Detectors trained on uncamouflaged data demonstrate substantial degradation on real test imagery containing foliage, netting, and multi-spectral camouflage across 15 vehicle classes in close-up, ground-level imagery. We used two diffusion-based editing models, Qwen Image Edit 2509 and Flux.2 Dev, to synthetically add camouflage to the training data, alongside a LoRA fine-tuned version of Qwen. A non-generative black-bar occlusion baseline served as a lower bound on augmentation quality. Using a GroundingDINO detector trained on real and synthetic data, generative camouflage augmentation yielded substantial mAP improvements for foliage (+20.1) and netting (+14.4) camouflage. Generating multi-spectral camouflage proved more challenging, but LoRA fine-tuning improved performance by 4.4 mAP over the uncamouflaged baseline.

A Benchmark for Vehicle Attribute Classification in Cross-Domain Surveillance Scenarios

Vehicle attribute analysis is a key component of Intelligent Transportation Systems (ITS), supporting applications such as vehicle identification, traffic monitoring, and forensic investigation. However, models trained under controlled conditions often degrade in real surveillance scenarios due to changes in viewpoint, occlusion, illumination, and sensor characteristics. This paper introduces Unconstrained Vehicle Identification Benchmark (UVIB), a benchmark for evaluating three operational vehicle-analysis tasks: front/rear orientation, occlusion-related suitability for Vehicle Make and Model Recognition (VMMR), and color clarity. The benchmark contains 84,835 vehicle images from seven public Brazilian datasets, grouped into surveillance and general acquisition domains, with unified binary annotations that were not jointly available in the original sources. Four representative architectures, EfficientNetV2-S, ResNet-50, ViT/B-16, and YOLO11s-cls, are evaluated under mixed-domain, cross-domain, and cross-dataset protocols. The results show that domain shift has a stronger impact than architecture choice, with substantial degradation in cross-domain settings, especially for VMMR suitability and color clarity. While orientation generalizes more reliably, VMMR suitability remains affected by class imbalance and ambiguous occlusions, and color clarity is highly sensitive to illumination and sensor modality. These findings highlight the need for benchmarks and evaluation protocols that explicitly measure operational robustness beyond standard in-domain accuracy. The proposed benchmark is publicly available at https://github.com/UFPR-IPASP-PR/uvib-vehicle-attributes/.

RealCAD: Towards Real-World Image-to-CAD Reconstruction under Domain Shift and Parameter Bias

Reconstructing editable Computer-Aided Design (CAD) models from images is essential for downstream modification, manufacturing, and design reuse. However, existing image-to-CAD methods are developed predominantly on synthetic renderings and face two coupled obstacles: a substantial appearance domain gap between synthetic and real images, and a previously overlooked parameter bias in widely used CAD data. We show that the local normalization adopted by DeepCAD concentrates several geometric parameters around a few discrete values while encoding substantial information in a single scale factor. Consequently, a model can achieve deceptively high parameter accuracy by exploiting these frequent values rather than inferring geometry from the input image. In this paper, we propose RealCAD, a unified framework that addresses these limitations at the representation, image, and feature levels. At the representation level, we redistribute scale information to the corresponding geometric parameters, producing less concentrated parameter distributions in a shared scale space. At the image level, geometry-constrained translation converts synthetic renderings toward the real-image domain while conditioning on object contours. At the feature level, a multi-positive contrastive objective aligns representations of the same CAD model across viewpoints and image domains, enabling CAD sequence prediction from each individual view. We further introduce OpenRealCAD, comprising four-view photographs of 392 3D-printed objects paired with ground-truth command sequences. Experiments show that the revised representation substantially reduces the accuracy attainable from parameter-frequency priors, making parameter accuracy a more reliable measure of image-conditioned geometric inference. RealCAD further improves real-domain command and parameter accuracy, while retaining competitive synthetic-domain performance.

Beyond Accuracy: Quantifying Pulmonary Attribution in Anatomy-Guided Chest X-Ray Classification Under Domain Shift

Deep-learning models can achieve strong chest X-ray (CXR) classification performance without establishing whether their predictions predominantly rely on pulmonary image content. This study evaluates pulmonary attribution containment as an anatomy-related reliability property distinct from diagnostic performance. We propose DBCA-SegNet-MGAP, a multi-task anatomy-guided CNN-Transformer framework that combines complementary feature representations through bidirectional cross-backbone attention, predicts a soft lung mask, and incorporates this anatomical prior directly into classification through Mask-Guided Adaptive Global Average Pooling (MGAP). Pulmonary attribution containment is quantified using the Anatomical Local Energy Ratio (ALR) and high-intensity cumulative ALR (cALR@0.9). Experiments were repeated across three training seeds using the COVID-19 Radiography Database for four-class internal testing and a locked Shenzhen-to-Montgomery protocol for zero-shot external tuberculosis testing. On COVID-19, the proposed model achieved a weighted F1 of $0.9615 \pm 0.0015$ and macro ROC-AUC of $0.9906 \pm 0.0007$. In an architecture-matched dual-bridge comparison, replacing conventional GAP with MGAP increased ALR from $0.3878 \pm 0.0098$ to $0.7086 \pm 0.0104$ and cALR@0.9 from $0.5265 \pm 0.0101$ to $0.9905 \pm 0.0018$, while weighted F1 remained essentially unchanged ($0.9618 \pm 0.0015$ vs. $0.9615 \pm 0.0015$). Under locked external transfer to Montgomery, ROC-AUC remained $0.9080 \pm 0.0043$ and pulmonary ALR remained $0.6466 \pm 0.0081$, whereas weighted F1 decreased to $0.7528 \pm 0.0080$ and ECE increased to $0.1683 \pm 0.0055$. These findings show that diagnostic discrimination, calibration, and pulmonary attribution containment are distinct model properties and support their joint evaluation under internal testing and external domain shift.

Subtraction-Based Tumor Segmentation and Lesion-Centered pCR Prediction for the MAMA-MIA Challenge

We describe the submission of team FME to the MAMA-MIA Challenge, which evaluated primary tumor segmentation and prediction of pathological complete response (pCR) from pretreatment dynamic contrast-enhanced breast MRI on an external multi-country cohort. For segmentation, we trained a five-fold residual-encoder nnU-Net ensemble using only the first post-contrast minus pre-contrast image, combined with mirroring test-time augmentation and largest-connected-component filtering. For pCR prediction, we ensembled 25 pretrained 3D video classifiers trained on lesion-centred crops from the pre-contrast and first two post-contrast volumes. FME ranked second in both tasks. The segmentation method achieved a combined performance-fairness score of 0.882, with Dice 0.713 and normalized Hausdorff distance 0.099. The pCR method achieved a combined score of 0.664, balanced accuracy of 0.541, and equalized-odds disparity of 0.212. The results indicate that subtraction-based input and ensembling support robust tumor segmentation under cross-site domain shift, whereas pCR prediction from baseline DCE-MRI alone remains limited. For the submission repository, see https://github.com/FraunhoferMEVIS/MAMA-MIA-Challenge-FME

ShiftSplit-AD: Separating Domain Shift from Defects in Foundation-Feature Visual Anomaly Detection

Visual anomaly detectors based on frozen foundation-model features commonly score distances from test patches to a memory of normal features. Benign acquisition changes can also enlarge these distances, confounding domain variation with defects. We investigate whether structured decomposition of nearest-normal DINOv2 residuals can suppress shift-induced evidence while retaining unseen defects. ShiftSplit-AD decomposes the patch residual matrix into low-rank and row-sparse components and scores the sparse component, with an optional low-rank/sparse fusion. The experiments expose a central trade-off rather than a universal separation: genuine defects can contain correlated, low-dimensional structure, so filtering broad residual activity may also remove defect information. On AeBAD-S, using settings fixed after Bottle development, sparse-only scoring improves image AUROC from 0.6780 to 0.7294 and AUPRC from 0.8052 to 0.8465. Paired bootstrap 95% intervals for the improvements are [0.0238, 0.0808] and [0.0170, 0.0650], respectively. However, sparse-only scoring reduces mean clean AUROC from 0.9890 to 0.9133 on four held-out MVTec categories and degrades Bottle localization. These findings show that residual decomposition can help when domain shift strongly contaminates anomaly evidence, but preserving defect structure remains the limiting problem.

CARD: Calibration via Agreement in Reverse Diffusion for Out-of-Domain MRI Segmentation

Probability calibration aligns model confidence with predictive accuracy, enabling clinicians to identify unreliable segmentation regions. This alignment breaks down under domain shift, where artifacts and unseen protocols produce confident errors. Existing post-hoc methods adapt the correction at test time, conditioning on predictive entropy, the logit pattern, or augmentation response, but each proxy is read from the terminal prediction, the very quantity that shift corrupts. This motivates reliability evidence beyond the terminal prediction, which categorical diffusion provides in two ways. First, a generative shape prior keeps a capacity-limited reference intact when appearance is corrupted, so its disagreement with the primary segmentor highlights primary-model errors. Second, every reverse step yields a class distribution, separating persistent disagreement from transient discrepancy. Aggregated over the trajectory, this disagreement correlates with Dice at 0.788, against 0.521 for a matched discriminative control. We therefore propose CARD (Calibration via Agreement in Reverse Diffusion), which maps the temporal aggregate of this disagreement to a temperature field applied per pixel across all classes, so that confidence changes while the segmentation does not. Across cardiac, prostate and brain MRI shifts, CARD lowers calibration error in 45 of 49 comparisons against the strongest baseline in each setting.

Can You Trust Frozen Hematology Foundation Models under Acquisition Shift?

Frozen hematology foundation-model (FM) embeddings reach near-saturated in-domain white-blood-cell (WBC) accuracy, but clinical deployment demands reliability across scanners, sites, stains and preparation pipelines. We audit 15 frozen encoders (hematology, pathology, and general vision) across four public single-cell acquisition domains along two axes: accuracy robustness and calibration. In-domain linear-probe macro-F1 is saturated (0.98-0.997), yet cross-dataset macro-F1 drops 34-72% and rankings re-order: DinoBloom-L, the in-domain best, falls to 10th of 15 on the most-shifted target (MLL23) at the benchmark's shared 224-px input, behind RedDino and several general and pathology encoders. Rank transfer is probe-dependent: 1-NN retrieval is more stable on average than a source-fitted linear head (median $ρ$ 0.65 vs 0.45), but neither probe universally predicts target robustness. Calibration also collapses: source-trained probes are nearly calibrated in-domain (expected calibration error, ECE, 0.004) but confidently wrong off-domain (ECE 0.35), and source-fitted temperature scaling transfers poorly. We further audit pretraining exposure and identify MLL23 as DinoBloom's internal cohort; because DinoBloom's only held-out dataset is also our source domain, this benchmark cannot isolate exposure from scanner-associated shift. Label-free adaptation and marginal-entropy-based model selection appear safe under balanced evaluation but fail under realistic WBC class-prior shift. Class-Balanced Re-standardization (CBR), a training-free pseudo-label-balanced feature normalization, improves all evaluated target-prior scenario means and partially improves calibration, although encoder-level exceptions and residual miscalibration remain. Hematology FM benchmarks must therefore jointly audit accuracy, calibration, exposure, and class-prior robustness.

Rethinking Pre-Training and Augmentation for Zero-Shot Cross-City Object Detection

Real-world deployment of traffic surveillance systems is bottlenecked by geographic domain shift, in which models trained in one city underperform when applied to an unseen target city. Conventional domain adaptation relies on hyperparameter-sensitive architectures or direct profiling of target data. Both are fundamentally precluded in privacy-conscious ecosystems that require completely blind training and evaluation loops. In this setting, we explore the effects of pre-training and augmentation in addressing the domain shift problem. Specifically, we propose a new modular training pipeline for object detection structured around two core orthogonal pillars: (1) a multi-dataset pre-training strategy featuring a class-agnostic objectness distillation to decouple structural vehicle geometry from semantic taxonomies, and (2) a domain-resilient augmentation stream featuring a novel Grayworld transformation that forces global attention heads to strip volatile chromatic shortcuts in favor of robust shape priors. When evaluated with the real-time transformer-based detector RF-DETR, our framework bridges cross-city distribution gaps while using limited GPU memory (16GB). Our optimized variants, RF-DETR-HR and RF-DETR-Grayworld, deliver a substantial empirical gain of +24.29 over the baseline, achieving 1st place (47.53 mAP) on the AI City Challenge Track 6 leaderboard. Code and data are available at: \href{https://github.com/SKKUAutoLab/aic26_cross_city}{SKKUAutoLab/aic26\_cross\_city}.

Test-Time Adaptation for ECG Classification via SQI-Gated Self-Training and Beat-Rhythm Consistency

Deep learning models for electrocardiogram (ECG) classification often suffer from significant performance degradation when deployed in unseen domains due to shifts in acquisition devices and patient populations. Test-time adaptation (TTA) offers a practical solution by adapting models using only unlabeled data at inference time. However, existing TTA methods often underperform on ECG tasks, since naive online updates ignore the hierarchical beat-rhythm structure of cardiac cycles and are vulnerable to signal artifacts, which leads to unstable adaptation and model drift. We propose BeatRhythm-TTA, an ECG-tailored TTA framework that explicitly accounts for ECG's noisy observations and structured beat-rhythm semantics under domain shift. First, to handle pervasive ECG artifacts, we introduce a Signal Quality Index (SQI)-gated adaptation scheme that selectively filters out low-quality signals to prevent harmful updates. Second, to leverage ECG's beat-rhythm semantics, we enforce dual-level consistency so the model preserves beat morphology and rhythm dynamics while adapting to shifted acquisition conditions. Extensive experiments on multi-label ECG diagnosis across three adaptation protocols, using PTB-XL as the source domain and CPSC2018/Georgia as two target domains, demonstrate the effectiveness of our method, yielding an average +2.70% relative improvement in Macro-F1 over the best competing method.

GET: Generative Embedding Translation for Medical Image Segmentation

Generative segmentation provides an alternative to direct pixel-wise prediction by operating on learned latent representations, but effective image-to-mask translation must preserve target structure while remaining computationally efficient. We propose Generative Embedding Translation (GET), a structured embedding-translation framework that progressively transforms image embeddings into mask embeddings within the frozen latent space of a Stable Diffusion VAE. GET uses a U-Net-style Embedding Translation Network with 1.07M trainable parameters, combining Mobile Bottleneck Convolutions, Subsampled Self-Attention, and Multi-scale Feature Enrichment for local modeling, global context, and multi-scale refinement. Across five medical segmentation datasets, GET outperforms generative, CNN, and Transformer baselines. Compared with the strongest generative baseline, GMS, GET improves average Dice and IoU by 0.93% and 1.26%, reduces HD95 by 0.81 pixels, and uses 31.41% fewer trainable parameters. Under bidirectional BUS-BUSI domain shift, GET further improves Dice and IoU by 3.51% and 3.39%, while reducing HD95 by 27.37 pixels. Our code is available at: https://github.com/maklachur/GET.

Quantifying geographic domain shift to decouple the geospatial transferability of human mobility flow generation models

Human mobility serves as an essential proxy for understanding social, economic, and environmental dynamics in urban systems. Geospatial transferability, which measures a model's capability in a new location or unseen region, is a critical dimension for comparing different human mobility generation models. However, few studies have studied the intrinsic characteristics of geospatial transferability. To this end, this study systematically investigates the geospatial transferability of four representative human mobility generation models using a large-scale benchmark dataset of census tract level commuting flows across 2265 counties in the United States. Inspired by the domain adaptation theory in machine learning, we introduce geographic domain shift to describe the intrinsic differences in geographic feature distributions and spatial structures between source and target regions, which may jointly affect model transferability. Moreover, we propose two metrics, mutual information and spatial shift, to quantify the geographic domain shift. To examine their associations with model transferability, we employ linear mixed-effects regression to analyze the associations between geographic domain shifts and transferability. Our results reveal substantial spatial heterogeneity and asymmetry in transfer performance across regions. Both information shift and spatial shift exhibit statistically significant and complementary explanatory power. This indicates that geospatial transferability depends not only on model design but also on intrinsic geographic differences. These findings provide a novel methodological framework for evaluating and improving the geospatial transferability of human mobility generation models and support more robust and fair human mobility data synthesis across diverse regions. It also offers insights on spatial transferability for GeoAI model development.

Learning Prostate Anatomy at Test Time for Cancer Detection in Micro-Ultrasound

Domain shift across clinical centers using different imaging hardware or acquisition protocols remains a fundamental barrier to deploying deep learning models for prostate cancer (PCa) detection. Existing test-time adaptation (TTA) methods address distribution shift through entropy minimization or augmentation-based self-supervision, correcting for statistical differences in image appearance but ignoring the anatomical structure of the target domain. We propose ANT, a segmentation-guided TTA framework that adapts a pretrained cancer detection encoder to the target domain by solving an auxiliary prostate segmentation task at test time, supervised by pseudo-masks from a frozen pretrained segmentation network. By aligning encoder representations to prostate anatomy in the target domain, ANT corrects domain-specific feature drift while preserving cancer-discriminative structure. The model was trained on 693 patients imaged with an earlier-generation micro-ultrasound scanner in a multi-center clinical trial, and evaluated on 118 patients acquired with a newer-generation system across two centers in another clinical trial. Under a leave-one-center-out protocol with identical evaluation conditions across all methods, ANT improves mean AUC by 2.9% and 3.6% at the biopsy-core and patient levels, respectively, over no adaptation, outperforming TTA baselines. Code is available at: https://github.com/ObedDzik/ant.git.

Keep Your Friends Close, and the Right Neighbours Closer: Disaster-Conditioned Kernel-Regularized Graph Attention for Building Damage Classification

Disaster damage is spatial: buildings rarely fail in isolation. Yet using spatial context for damage classification remains surprisingly underexplored, and many pipelines still rely primarily on per-building appearance cues even when the dominant uncertainty is spatially structured. Complicating matters, the right neighbourhood is not the same across events. Floods, hurricanes, and wildfires can exhibit very different clustering behaviour, making spatial reasoning valuable but easy to misuse - naive context aggregation can improve visual coherence while oversmoothing boundaries or propagating structured errors. We study this tension on xBD (the dataset used in the xView2 challenge) in a controlled post-localization, classification-only setup: each building is represented by a pre/post combined (PPC) patch cropped from the provided polygons, and spatial context is modelled with GPS-derived building graphs. Our approach keeps local evidence "close" by preserving strong spatial relationships in disaster damage patterns, while bringing only the right neighbours "closer" through a disaster-type-conditioned graph model that injects a learnable multi-scale spatial kernel prior into attention, allowing the effective neighbourhood scale to adapt across disaster types rather than being learned as a single global smoothing rule. To discourage coherence-by-smoothing, we add a residual de-correlation loss that penalizes positive Moran's~I in prediction residuals. We evaluate the method under event and dataset shift with a leave-one-event-out (LOEO) protocol on xBD and cross-dataset transfer from xBD to Ida-BD. The model improves macro-F1 and substantially reduces residual spatial autocorrelation under zero-shot event shift, indicating better use of spatial context rather than naive smoothing and enabling more reliable transfer to unseen events within known disaster types.

$TCP_α$: Margin-Controlled Confidence estimation for reliable Music Information Retrieval

Deep neural networks are often overconfident, assigning high confidence even to incorrect predictions. Consequently, users lack a reliable signal for deciding when a prediction can be trusted. Post-hoc confidence estimation addresses this by training a lightweight auxiliary head over a frozen classifier. Existing targets, however, suffer from inherent ambiguity: they assign overlapping confidence values to correct and incorrect predictions, while errors near the decision boundary receive confidence scores indistinguishable from correct predictions. In this work, we propose $TCP_α$, a novel confidence target that resolves these limitations by introducing a margin-controlled penalty for misclassified samples. We prove that $TCP_α$ guarantees complete separation between the target values of correct and incorrect predictions, with a separation margin that is independent of the number of classes and increases monotonically with the penalty parameter. Since accurate classifiers naturally produce very few errors, learning these targets results in a severely imbalanced regression problem. We therefore present a systematic study of training strategies for learning under this imbalance and identify an effective training configuration through extensive ablation studies. We evaluate the proposed approach on rāga identification, investigate its robustness under domain shift, and further validate it on frame-wise ornamentation detection without modifying the selected configuration. Across all settings, $TCP_α$ consistently outperforms existing confidence targets for failure prediction. Rejecting only the least-confident 8\% of predictions improves the base model's macro-F1 from 0.89 to 0.98, while fine-tuning the confidence head with only 5\% labeled samples from a new corpus effectively restores performance under domain shift.

Reliable Financial Named Entity Recognition under Domain Shift

Financial AI systems often train information extractors on one textual register and deploy them across filings, news, and user-generated content, while standard F1 scores do not indicate which predictions remain safe to automate when the input distribution changes. We study confidence estimation and selective prediction for financial named entity recognition (NER) on a three-tier stress test spanning SEC filings, financial news, and general-topic social media as an extreme out-of-domain condition. We evaluate a BERT tagger and LoRA-tuned Qwen2.5-0.5B/1.5B models using five inference-time confidence signals, three training seeds, and bootstrap intervals. Confidence rankings themselves change under distribution shift: whole-output probability is the strongest in-domain error detector but deteriorates out of domain, whereas entity-span probability and self-consistency are more robust; self-consistency is also better calibrated without post-hoc fitting. Abstention reduces sentence error from 34.3% to below 2% on the highest-confidence 40% of in-domain inputs and remains useful on financial news, but recovers no usefully large clean subset under the extreme social-media shift. These results motivate a staged deployment strategy that detects severe distribution shift upstream before applying prediction-level confidence gating.

A Critical Synthesis of Uncertainty Quantification and Foundation Models for Semantic Segmentation

Foundation models are increasingly breaking what seemed to be impossible not long ago by enabling unprecedented accuracy and cross-domain generalization. Yet their lack of interpretability, tendency to be overconfident, and sensitivity to real-world domain shifts pose critical challenges for safety- and mission-critical applications. Uncertainty quantification (UQ) offers a principled way to address these issues, but its integration into segmentation foundation models has yet to be explored. In this paper we present the first systematic evaluation of UQ methods applied to a foundation model for semantic segmentation. We fine-tune a lightweight DPT decoder on top of the pretrained SAM2 encoder to establish a simple yet competitive baseline and benchmark four representative UQ approaches - Monte Carlo Dropout, Deep Sub-Ensemble, Test-Time Augmentation, and Evidential Deep Learning - across Cityscapes, NYUv2, and two challenging out-of-domain settings. Our analysis compares segmentation accuracy, calibration, uncertainty quality, and inference time, revealing clear trade-offs between predictive performance, reliability, and computational cost. These results highlight both the promise and the current limitations of uncertainty-aware foundation models, pointing to the need for future work that jointly optimizes accuracy, robustness, and efficiency for real-world deployment.

COSTA: A Cluster-Centric Paradigm for Annotation-Free Open-Set Semantic Segmentation of Aerial Point Clouds with Domain Shifts

Semantic segmentation of aerial point cloud is trapped in a generalization crisis under distinct domain shifts. While test-time adaptation offers a privacy-preserving and computationally efficient way to adapt pre-trained models to unlabeled target-domain data during inference, existing methods, bound to closed-set label assumptions and non-scalable point-wise segmentation pipelines, still struggle with semantic shifts. We ask: can we adapt any given pre-trained aerial point cloud segmentation model to a shifted target domain at the inference phase alone, without additional training, while segmenting target-specific categories beyond the source label space on demand? This paper introduces COSTA, which breaks this limitation by shifting from closed-set point-wise adaptation to cluster-centric open-set semantic propagation. Our core discovery is that, once effectively adapted at test time, the rich feature distribution of aerial point clouds can be distilled into a compact set of well-separated semantic centroids that are transferable across label spaces. COSTA leverages this to reformulate open-set semantic segmentation as a cluster-level propagating process: it first bridges the domain gap through proven test-time adaptation, then groups each batch of target-domain points into a small set of semantic clusters based on the similarity distribution in the adapted feature space, and finally propagates high-confidence pseudo labels obtained from an open-vocabulary vision-language model to all points through cluster-level voting. This cluster-centric paradigm enables test-time adaptation of aerial point clouds under significant domain gaps with mixed semantic shifts. With DALES as the source domain, COSTA enables on-demand segmentation across three aerial point cloud benchmarks with distinct domains and heterogeneous category spaces, achieving up to 70.09% mIoU under this new setting.

Bound-Aware Per-Organ Recall Risk Control for Multi-Organ CT Segmentation under Clinical Domain Shift

Distribution-free risk control adds organ-specific recall guarantees to frozen segmentation. We calibrate per-organ thresholds for an AMOS-trained nnU-Net, audit transfer to RAOS, and estimate local re-certification cost using case-level voxel false-negative rate (FNR). The AMOS control passes, but $7/12$ organs exceed $α{=}0.10$ after transfer; smaller calibration sets can mask exceedances with conservative or vacuous thresholds. Risk-Controlling Prediction Sets (RCPS) give high-probability control of population-mean risk, whereas Conformal Risk Control (CRC) gives weaker expectation control. Both require exchangeability; fixed and global thresholds give no per-organ guarantee. The Waudby--Smith--Ramdas (WSR) betting bound re-certifies six Tier-1 organs with 25 local cases, versus 30--40 for Hoeffding--Bentkus (HB). CRC needs 10--15 but has a heavier individual-case tail. No Tier-2 organ meets our illustrative precision criterion with 25 cases.

Validated Adaptation for Aerial Crowd Monitoring at Mass Gathering Scale: A Deployment Protocol, a Severity Law, and a Diagnostic for Label-Free Drone Crowd Counting, Toward the FIFA World Cup 2034 (Saudi Arabia)

Saudi Arabia will host the 2034 FIFA World Cup and already operates crowd management at Hajj scale. Drone-based counting must hold accuracy on footage unlike anything in its training corpus, without labels, and must warn of dangerous inflow before a crush forms. We deliver a validated answer built on 525 controlled runs, a full-resolution corpus study, five falsification ablations, and a five-condition safety-interlock evaluation. Label-free adaptation recovers 31-49% of shift-induced error across four corruptions and five severities, with the strongest method gaining 41.8 MAE over the frozen source (95% CI [34.1, 49.6], p=7.5x10^-10, d=2.52). We establish a severity law separating methods with a constant absolute margin from the one whose margin grows, and a stability budget identifying which configuration is safe to fly. On a full-resolution corpus carrying a genuine +48 MAE aerial gap (source retrained to 14.6 validation MAE, a 34% improvement), adaptation repairs the dense-scene undercounting that would otherwise under-report a forming crush, and the flux-based risk module fires on real congestion episodes in 2 of 6 full-length clips. We localise the recoverable error: in a regime built to favor a physics-informed conservation prior (300-frame clips at 200ms spacing, five times wider than standard), the adaptation signal is normalisation-driven, not flow-driven; the continuity residual is invariant to the proportional counting errors domain shift produces, confirmed by four on/off ablations correlated at r=0.999 and a 40% input corruption moving accuracy by only 0.05 MAE. A label-free shift gate shows shift magnitude and accuracy damage are rank-independent (Spearman rho=0.20; rho=-0.60 among genuine shifts), quantifying the 58% of headroom a magnitude gate forgoes. We establish unconditional adaptation with tail monitoring as policy, closing with a six-point protocol.

Beyond Clear Skies: Synthetic Seasonal and Weather Variations for Real-World Drone Detection

Reliable drone detection under real-world deployment conditions requires training data that spans the full operational design domain, including adverse weather and seasonal appearance variation. However, acquiring and annotating such data at scale remains highly resource-intensive, as adverse-weather conditions are inherently difficult to control, reproduce, and sample systematically. Existing datasets therefore typically provide only limited coverage of such conditions. Conversely, synthetic data offers a scalable alternative: environmental variation becomes controllable, while modern game-engine-based pipelines provide realistic rendering and automatic annotations. Leveraging this potential, we introduce SynDroneVision-Weather (SDV-W), an systematic extension of SynDroneVision (SDV) targeting adverse-weather and seasonal domain shifts in urban drone detection. SDV-W comprises 55,187 annotated high-resolution images from three urban environments, rendered across three seasonal configurations and diverse weather conditions, including rain, snow, and fog at multiple severity levels. By preserving SDV's scene and trajectory configuration, SDV-W enables matched clean-adverse comparisons and quantification of condition-specific detector degradation. Across representative YOLO models and real-world datasets, we show that SDV-W improves detector reliability under adverse appearance shifts, reduces missed detections and false alarms, and is most effective as a complement to general-purpose synthetic drone-detection data. SDV-W will be publicly released upon paper acceptance.

Beyond Simulated Benchmarks: Evaluating Motion Representations for Fall Detection Under Real-World Data Scarcity

Falls are a major health concern for older adults, and wearable sensors have been widely explored for detecting falls and enabling timely intervention. However, real-world falls are extremely rare: collecting 100 of them requires an estimated 100,000 days of monitoring, resulting in severely limited labelled data for training machine learning models. Consequently, many approaches rely on simulated datasets, often reporting high laboratory performance but limited real-world generalisation. We present a systematic evaluation of motion representations for wearable fall detection under real-world data scarcity. Using accelerometer signals, we compare interval-based, kernel-based, symbolic, and foundation model representations. As an interpretable baseline, we additionally investigate a lightweight symbolic representation that converts short motion segments into symbolic sentences augmented with physically-grounded impact descriptors. Experiments use FallAllD, a simulated falls dataset, and FARSEEING, a clinically verified real-world falls dataset. Through cross-validation, controlled data scarcity, and cross-dataset transfer, we examine how representation choices affect robustness under realistic deployment. Our results reveal that highly parameterised kernel and foundation models excel on simulated data but degrade severely under both data scarcity and domain shift. Although the interval-based representation achieves the strongest absolute real-world performance, augmenting a symbolic representation with physically-grounded impact descriptors yields the smallest degradation under domain shift and retains detection sensitivity under extreme scarcity, albeit at lower precision. These findings highlight the importance of evaluating beyond simulated benchmarks and show that representation choice is critical for deployable fall detection given the scarcity of real-world data.

PatchGen: Learning Soft Intra-Image Predictive Subsets for Visual Generalization

Visual classifiers are expected to generalize under data shifts, target shifts, and their combinations, yet most existing methods focus on domain invariance while failing to address intra-image predictive sufficiency. We investigate the structural hypothesis that each image contains a sample-adaptive oracle intra-image predictive subset sufficient for label prediction, while the remaining patches form non-essential complementary context that may correlate with the label. The theoretical analysis shows that restricting prediction to this oracle subset preserves the Bayes risk achievable by the full-patch representation while admitting a complexity bound that tightens with the oracle-subset size. Based on this view, we propose PatchGen, a text-free module that learns a sample-dependent soft predictive-subset mask as a task-driven proxy for the unobserved oracle subset mask. Specifically, histopathology visualizations suggest that PatchGen assigns higher scores to tumor-consistent regions than to some frequently co-occurring inflammatory context. Extensive experiments on natural and histopathological image benchmarks spanning all three shift settings show that PatchGen improves average performance over matched-backbone baselines in most evaluated configurations, enhances generalization to unknown classes, and remains competitive with vision-language methods without text supervision.

Retrieval-Augmented Vision Foundation Models for Robust Leukemia Cell Classification across Multiple Microscopy Datasets

Leukemia cell image classification is challenged by real-world domain shifts from acquisition, staining, illumination, and site protocols, causing single-dataset models to generalize poorly in real clinical scenarios. This work presents a robust framework for leukemia classification across multiple heterogeneous datasets using a two-stage pipeline with a pretrained vision foundation model. Stage 1 performs binary classification (leukemia vs. non-leukemia) and is trained using 122,167 single-cell images. Stage 2 is conditionally applied to Stage 1 positives to perform subtype classification into Acute Lymphoblastic Leukemia (ALL) and Acute Myeloid Leukemia (AML), trained using 69,400 single-cell images. Labels are harmonized across five heterogeneous datasets to enable cross-dataset training, and performance is evaluated on a held-out dataset protocol to assess domain-shift generalization. Within this pipeline, three encoders are benchmarked (DinoBloom, pretrained on single-cell images; BiomedCLIP, pretrained on biomedical data; and CLIP as a general-purpose model) under linear probing, Low-Rank Adaptation (LoRA), and a Retrieval-Augmented Classification (RAC) module that retrieves the top-k most similar cell images to provide cytomorphological grounding. The objective is to quantify how much domain-specific pretraining contributes to performance under domain shift, and whether cost-effective adaptation and retrieval can be a viable alternative to expensive domain-specialized pretraining. The held-out protocol additionally serves as a diagnostic tool, revealing when classification performance is attributable to dataset-specific artifacts rather than to cytomorphological features.

Biologically Informed Representation Learning for Robust Cross-Center Generalization of MALDI-TOF Mass Spectrometry

Machine learning models for MALDI-TOF mass spectrometry have shown considerable promise for clinical microbiology tasks such as microbial identification and antimicrobial resistance prediction. However, their deployment across institutions remains limited by domain shift, as acquisition-specific variability often leads models to capture technical artifacts rather than transferable biological information. Existing representation learning approaches primarily address this problem through statistical domain alignment while largely overlooking the biological supervision naturally available in microbiology datasets. We introduce DALMA, a probabilistic representation learning framework that jointly models acquisition-specific variability and biological supervision to learn biologically structured latent representations. By combining domain-specific reconstruction with biologically guided representation learning, DALMA learns transferable representations that generalize across heterogeneous clinical centers without requiring institution-specific components at inference, enabling zero-shot deployment on previously unseen sites. We evaluate DALMA on a multi-center benchmark comprising seven datasets from three countries. DALMA consistently achieves state-of-the-art zero-shot microbial identification across two held-out clinical centers, while the learned representations also transfer effectively to antimicrobial resistance prediction. Furthermore, latent-space novelty estimation enables reliable selective prediction under previously unseen domain shifts. These results demonstrate that biologically informed representation learning provides an effective strategy for robust and transferable ML in clinical microbiology.

Bayesian adaptively-weighted ensembles for few-shot abdominal segmentation

Few-shot learning has emerged as a promising approach for anatomical segmentation when labelled data are scarce. However, different few-shot learning algorithms exhibit complementary strengths and weaknesses, with performance varying across anatomical targets and institutions. Existing few-shot segmentation ensembles, that combine predictions from multiple algorithms, typically employ fixed weighting schemes and therefore cannot adjust model contributions according to the target domain. In this work, we propose a Bayesian adaptively-weighted ensemble framework for segmentation under label scarcity and domain shift. Multiple few-shot segmentation algorithms are first adapted using a small labelled support set. Bayesian optimisation is then used to automatically identify ensemble weights that maximise segmentation performance on a target-domain validation set. The learned weights are subsequently fixed and applied to combine predictions on previously unseen query images from the target domain. The proposed framework is evaluated on the Cross-institution Male Pelvic Structures dataset using held-out anatomical structures and institutions to simulate simultaneous label scarcity and institutional domain shift. Results demonstrate statistically significant improvements over individual few-shot learners, fixed-weight ensembles, training-from-scratch baselines and recent state-of-the-art ensembling approaches. By adapting model contributions to the target anatomy and institutional domain, the proposed framework provides a practical mechanism for deploying segmentation systems to new clinical sites under severe annotation constraints.

DistMedVL: Distributional Vision-Language Alignment for Uncertainty-Aware Medical Image Segmentation

Cross-modal alignment of visual and textual representations is fundamental to multimodal medical image understanding, yet remains hindered by uncertainty in both modalities under real-world clinical conditions. Existing vision-language segmentation methods rely on deterministic cross-modal matching, which overlooks aleatoric uncertainty from ambiguous boundaries and epistemic uncertainty from limited training data, leading to fragile performance under domain shift. To address this issue, we propose DistMedVL, a probabilistic vision-language framework that introduces a lightweight Probabilistic Cross-Modal Adapter (PCM-Adapter) upon frozen encoders to explicitly model representational uncertainty. Specifically, the PCM-Adapter comprises two sequential modules for progressive probabilistic alignment. We first devise a Mahalanobis Alignment Module (MAM) that models textual tokens as Gaussian distributions and computes patch-text compatibility via Mahalanobis distance, yielding variance-conditioned matching that downweights unreliable feature dimensions. Moreover, we devise a Distribution Flow Module (DFM) that estimates modality-wise confidence parameters and performs vision-guided refinement of textual distributions, accommodating distributional variation across imaging modalities. Extensive experiments across eight medical segmentation benchmarks demonstrate that DistMedVL outperforms state-of-the-art methods with only 6.3M trainable parameters, exhibiting superior data efficiency, perturbation robustness and cross-dataset generalization.

When Oracle Conditioning Misleads Deployment: Conditioning-Availability Bias in Echocardiographic Segmentation

Conditional segmentation models may be trained and evaluated with auxiliary signals cleaner than those available at deployment. We study this protocol-level manifestation of shortcut learning and auxiliary-variable shift in phase-conditioned echocardiographic segmentation. The complementary gap pair measures loss on the deployable oracle-estimated pathway and probes sensitivity on the oracle-random pathway. On held-out CAMUS data, one strong-cyclic, oracle-selected run fails severely with estimated phase, while sensitivity to incorrect phase persists across three runs. On EchoNet-Dynamic, the current estimator remains usable, but random-phase testing reveals strong latent sensitivity. Deployment-aware checkpoint selection and phase perturbation reduce both gaps with little change in mean Dice. Exploratory subgroup analyses quantify variation across measured strata, and a downstream ejection fraction (EF) audit shows that recovering segmentation does not necessarily recover EF error or signed bias. Together, the gaps test whether oracle-conditioned performance survives the inference pathway actually available at deployment.