Early recognition of lane-change intention is essential for proactive decision-making in autonomous driving and advanced driver assistance systems. This paper proposes a Dual Neural-Calibrated Interacting Multiple Model (DNC-IMM) that improves adaptability to driving context while preserving the probabilistic structure and interpretability of a conventional IMM. The proposed method encodes driving-context information, including target-vehicle motion, gaps to surrounding vehicles, and relative velocities, with a neural network that calibrates both the transition-probability matrix and measurement likelihoods. The final intention is determined from the calibrated IMM mode posterior rather than from a separate direct classifier. Experiments on the highD dataset demonstrate that the proposed method reliably recognizes lane-change intentions before lane crossing and provides particularly strong performance at the earlier 2-3 s prediction horizons.
Estimating the distance to a leading vehicle is a basic input to forward collision warning, adaptive cruise control, and automated emergency braking. Production systems obtain this distance from radar, laser scanners, or stereo camera pairs, which add cost, power draw, and packaging constraints. This paper asks whether a single ordinary camera can recover the same distance by using a target that is standardized in size and present on every road vehicle: the rear license plate. U.S. plates share a fixed outer size and a character height that is set by regulation and varies only narrowly between states, so the height of a plate character in the image is a direct measure of distance once the camera geometry is known. The proposed method (Typography-Based Monocular Distance Estimation) detects the plate, measures the height of its printed characters, identifies the issuing state to select the correct physical character height, and recovers distance from the camera projection. Three measurements taken from the same plate: the character height, the stroke width, and the character spacing. Together with the spacing of the two mounting holes and a single-image depth network, are combined so that a weak or corrupted measurement is given less weight automatically. The distance, its rate of change, and a time-to-collision estimate are smoothed across frames and used to raise a warning with the timing used by U.S. collision-warning regulations. The same plate that anchors the scale also identifies the vehicle, so the method returns a distance, a bearing, and an identity from one passive sensor. It reads scale from a printed standard instead of from time of flight or parallax, making it a cheap, low-maintenance complement to those sensors in a fault-tolerant perception stack, achieving the cost-effective distance estimation with error less than 0.13 m.