Electric vehicle (EV) charging loads exhibit strong behavioral heterogeneity and temporal variability, posing significant challenges for online probabilistic forecasting under evolving operating conditions. In particular, persistent charging patterns may differ substantially across stations, while recent behavioral changes can continuously alter the underlying load distributions. This paper proposes a behavior-guided online probabilistic forecasting framework that explicitly characterizes persistent station-specific patterns and recent behavioral changes. A dual-timescale behavior representation is constructed to distinguish long-term charging characteristics from recent behavioral states and quantify their deviations. These behavioral changes are further semantically encoded to guide drift-aware forecasting adaptation, while a delayed-feedback mechanism ensures temporally consistent online updates when observations become available across different forecasting horizons. Experiments on ten heterogeneous real-world charging stations demonstrate that the proposed method consistently outperforms conventional forecasting models and concept-drift-aware online baselines in forecasting accuracy and probabilistic reliability. For 1-h-ahead forecasting, the proposed method reduces MSE and Pinball loss by 15.3\% and 17.8\%, respectively, over the corresponding best baselines. For 4-h-ahead forecasting, the improvements further reach 16.8\% and 22.6\%, respectively, demonstrating consistent performance gains under evolving charging behaviors and extended forecasting horizons.
Hannan Chen, Roshni Anna Jacob, Jie Zhangcs.CR cs.LG eess.SY
Cyberattack detection in electric vehicle charging infrastructure is complicated by legitimate post-activation revisions to requested energy and departure time. Charging manipulation attacks can exploit the same interface and variables; therefore, detecting a request change alone does not establish malicious intent. This paper develops a leakage-controlled session-level benchmark that preserves the ordered inputs of real Adaptive Charging Network (ACN) sessions and models legitimate revisions as normal behavior. A fixed pool keeps each generated attack in its source session's split and contains six physically motivated attacks and their coordinated variants. We compare 22 profile-only, transition-aware, and context-stratified model families under common source-grouped folds, attack data, and operating constraints. The proposed Dual-Branch Masked-Autoencoder (Masked-AE) Transition Boost model evaluates whether the current request is normal and whether its producing transition resembles an observed benign update. Its state branch combines masked reconstruction with a radial-basis-function one-class support boundary, while its transition branch combines masked reconstruction with shrinkage covariance distance. Source-grouped five-fold cross-validation selects complete configurations under explicit overall-normal and benign-update acceptance constraints; disjoint normal data then calibrate the final threshold before one test evaluation. The developed dual-branch model provides the strongest robust validation performance while detecting malicious request manipulations without learning to reject legitimate user choices.
Electric vehicle charging stations (EVCSs) can expose distribution feeders to cyberattacks. While machine learning methods, including graph neural networks, can localize which bus is compromised, significant challenges remain in data sharing and model training. For example, privacy regulations grant EVCS owners the right to delete their training data from a deployed model, yet retraining from scratch on every request is computationally prohibitive. To address this, we study graph unlearning (GU) for EVCS cyberattack localization, formulated as a feature-level unlearning problem on a graph-level multi-label classification task. Specifically, we propose gradient difference-based graph unlearning (GDGU), which removes the influence of the requested deletion data through a first-order parameter correction. The correction is computed from the gradient difference between the original training data and a modified dataset in which only the charging power features at the requested EVCS buses are unlearned. Then, a batch-normalization recalibration and a brief recovery fine-tuning step are applied to restore localization utility. We benchmark GDGU against two second-order GU baselines on the IEEE 34-bus, 123-bus, and 8500-node distribution networks across three graph neural network backbones and cumulative unlearning scenarios. GDGU matches the strongest baseline on localization utility and reaches forgetting fidelity close to full-retraining, while unlearning 10 to 12 times faster than retraining from scratch and using far less memory than the second-order GU baselines.
Khalil Al-Rahman Youssefi, Marija Gojkovic, Walter Stefanutti +2cs.AI
This paper presents a configurable, grid-aware Agent-Based Model (ABM) for the systematic analysis of electric vehicle (EV) charging systems under configurable infrastructure and operational conditions. The model integrates heterogeneous EV behavior, charging column constraints, and a shared Energy Sandbox that regulates aggregate power allocation, enabling the joint study of user-centric charging dynamics and facility-level power behavior. Implemented in Python using the SimPy discrete-event framework, the approach supports scalable, event-driven simulations across varying system sizes, charger compositions, and scheduling strategies. A representative workplace charging scenario is investigated to illustrate how infrastructure configuration and coordination mechanisms influence energy delivery performance, infrastructure utilization, and aggregate load characteristics. The results highlight the context-dependence of infrastructure suitability and demonstrate how charging strategies and charger types reshape both service-level outcomes and grid-facing behavior. The proposed ABM provides a flexible and extensible simulation environment for exploring technical, operational, and grid-aware aspects of EV charging ecosystems, and for serving as a methodological basis for subsequent studies on advanced coordination strategies beyond the specific scenario analyzed in this study.