Large-Scale Evaluation of Advanced Imputation Methods for Missing Values in Smart Meter Data

Accurate and reliable collection of electricity consumption data through Advanced Metering Infrastructure (AMI) is of great importance for the operation of smart grids, especially for the detection of non-technical losses (NTL). However, real-world datasets frequently suffer from missing values due to communication failures. This paper presents an empirical evaluation of three advanced algorithms for large-scale data imputation: the Optimally Weighted Average (OWA) method, Low-Rank Matrix Completion via SoftImpute, and a Shape-Modeling Autoencoder. Existing studies on missing value imputation in electricity consumption data often lack validation on larger datasets. Therefore, the goal of this paper is to validate the selected algorithms on a large-scale real-world electricity consumption dataset from North Macedonia that includes 17,428 commercial smart meters over two years. The robustness of each algorithm is evaluated by simulating continuous gaps in the data ranging from 1 to 168 hours. The results indicate that OWA provides the lowest overall reconstruction error across the evaluated gap sizes and strong stability in worst-case scenarios for gaps of up to one week. In contrast, the autoencoder exhibits higher variance, while SoftImpute has stable but inferior accuracy. These findings suggest that imputation methods should be selected based on the characteristics of load curve data and highlight the potential for hybrid algorithmic architectures in future grid management systems.

GeoGNN: Time Series Geo-Localization using Two-Tower Graph Neural Networks

This paper investigates a novel concept of time series geolocalization, where the goal is to infer the geographic origin of each raw time series. Successful geolocalization can provide spatial context to time series, enabling downstream location-aware applications. We formalize the problem, adapt core ideas from image geolocalization to establish strong baselines, and propose GeoGNN, a two-tower architecture. During training, GeoGNN's spatial tower learns embeddings of geographic cell candidates by leveraging the geographic adjacency graph, while the temporal tower extracts informative representations from time series. During inference, each temporal representation is matched against candidate geographic embeddings using dot-product similarity, combined with an auxiliary classification head, to predict the time series' associated geographic origin. Experiments on large-scale, countrywide electricity-consumption datasets demonstrate that GeoGNN achieves the best performance across datasets and enhances both fine- and coarse-grained geolocalization accuracy by ~27% on average.