Hemanth Neelgund Ramesh, André Snoeck, Chyi-Fu Hong +1cs.LG
Electrification of commercial delivery fleets is shifting fleet routing from distance- and time-based optimization toward energy-aware decision-making. Existing sequence models primarily provide deterministic point estimates or limited uncertainty summaries, which do not capture the range of plausible energy-consumption trajectories required for operational decision-making. In this work, we introduce a conditional diffusion framework that generates EV battery-current profiles conditioned on route features such as vehicle velocity and ambient temperature. The model combines a latent conditioning encoder with a temporal 1D U-Net denoising backbone that enables trip-related conditions to be mapped into a shared representation and guides the reverse diffusion process. We evaluate the framework on an open-access commercial EV telemetry dataset containing 12k trips from 9 vehicles. The proposed latent-conditioned diffusion model generates realistic cur- rent trajectories that capture both the dominant temporal envelope and sharp transient events. The model achieves a Wasserstein distance of 0.0029 between generated and measured current distributions below the real vs real reference distance of 0.0085 indicating that generated samples lie within the empirical variability of the test set. We further demonstrate that learned latent conditioning substantially improves performance over direct condition injection, reducing the Wasserstein distance by 89.1% and MAE by 52.8%. This work demonstrates a generative modeling framework for characterizing EV energy consumption under real-world operating conditions, providing an essential foundation for uncertainty-aware fleet planning in large-scale operational settings.
Camilla Dalerci, Thilo Michael, Robin Schaefer +1cs.CL
Public institutions face a persistent challenge in selecting LLMs suited to their specific context. Existing benchmarks, however, are of limited use as they primarily reflect English-language and US-centric settings, and often only evaluate task performance. In this paper, we present first results of MÖVE, a holistic evaluation framework for the German public sector, examining three rarely considered governance dimensions: energy consumption, provider transparency, and knowledge of German-party positions. Our results reveal significant trade-offs, with no single model excelling across all dimensions: estimated energy consumption varies more than 60-fold and is not explained by model size alone, information disclosure varies systematically across providers, and European models do not exhibit stronger knowledge of German party positions. Model selection for public institutions thus cannot rely on performance rankings alone. Instead, evaluations should also reflect the governance requirements of the deployment context.
Nidhal Jegham, Boris Gamazaychikov, Sasha Luccionics.MM cs.AI
We present a bidirectional framework for estimating the energy consumption of text-to-video (T2V) and text-to-video-audio (T2VA) models from architectural first principles and observable generation parameters such as resolution and duration, requiring no access to weights, model size, or implementation details. Forward, it predicts energy from generation parameters and architectural principles; backward, it recovers architectural scaling behavior from observed inference times, with accuracy serving as a criterion for architectural validity. Building on the established compute-bound nature of video diffusion models, we demonstrate that each model's energy profile obeys theoretically derived scaling laws, decomposing into quadratic and linear terms whose coefficients directly reflect the underlying architectural complexity. Validated across six open-source models spanning 8.3B-27B parameters and three GPU configurations, this decomposition achieves below 3% MAPE across all architectures. This approach offers a standardized, empirically and theoretically grounded framework for sustainability benchmarking across T2V models and architectures.
Enrico Cofler, Carlos Rodriguez-Pardo, Matteo Giuliani +2cs.LG
Understanding how households consume electricity in response to socioeconomic and climatic drivers is important for decision-makers designing energy policies in a changing climate and under geopolitical tensions. Consumers respond differently to thermal stress depending on income, consumption habits and the surrounding built environment, a nonlinear behaviour that most approaches oversimplify. In this study, households are treated as agents interacting with complex environments, and Inverse Reinforcement Learning is used to represent their consumption behaviour as model implied reward functions. Specifically, we observe how these reward functions change when households undergo socioeconomic and climatic shocks. The framework is tested on different clusters of electricity consumption profiles in Italy. Clusters' reward functions are retrieved and used to understand how cooling behaviour changes from summer 2021 to summer 2022 and 2023, before, during and after the energy crisis and a heatwave. We find that these shocks reshaped cooling behaviour heterogeneously across consumer groups, in directions conditioned by their prior habits and built environment. Across the 2021 to 2023 summers, we identify a spectrum of responses: transient adjustments that receded as the shocks eased, durable shifts persisting into 2023, and consumers exhibiting negligible change. At the intradaily scale, groups comparable in socioeconomic and environmental context but differing in their daily timing of consumption responded distinctly, identifying time of use as a separate dimension of behavioural heterogeneity. Energy policies and demand-response schemes should therefore account not only for who consumers are and where they live, but for when they consume and whether their response to a shock persists.
Diego Manya, Ethan I. Thorpe, Ji Zhang +4cs.CY cs.AI
The energy demand growth and environmental impacts of artificial intelligence (AI) have generated substantial interest in supplying sufficient low-cost electricity for AI-driven data center development. Research on the ability of demand-side management to address these challenges has been more limited. Shifting the amount or timing of demand from retail, corporate, and other organizational behaviors is a plausible option but only if changes in demand-related behavior have important effects on the envi- ronmental and electricity effects of AI. This article tests four retail (i.e., consumer) user behaviors with high behavioral plasticity to assess their technical abatement potential. The research concludes that non- reasoning models provide sufficient quality while consuming close to one-twentieth of energy compared to reasoning models, saving an amount equal to the annual electricity requirement of at least 141,000 US households under daily usage assumptions. Simple prompt modifications can yield additional reduc- tions in energy consumption by up to 65% using non-reasoning models. Specifically, the practice that maintains the highest degree of similarity with the baseline reduces electricity demand in the range of 4 to 35%, an amount equal to the annual electricity requirement of up to 7,200 US households. Although AI advancements make precise estimates of environmental and electricity impacts difficult to assess, the results confirm that certain minimally intrusive best practices aimed at the majority of users can reduce the energy and environmental burdens imposed by AI.
The rapid proliferation of hyperscale data centers (HDCs) in the US, mainly driven by the adoption of artificial intelligence, has raised concerns about this industry's environmental footprint. We compiled facility-level information on 403 US hyperscale data centers operating between May 2024 and April 2025 and estimated their electricity consumption, electricity sources, and attributable CO2 emissions. Across different facility-load scenarios, these HDCs consumed approximately 68-99 TWh of electricity and were associated with about 37-54 million metric tons of CO2. Under the central scenario, HDC electricity demand corresponded to approximately 1.8% of total US electricity consumption, with roughly 54% of attributed generation supplied by fossil-fuel sources. The HDC electricity-weighted average carbon intensity was approximately 545 gCO2/kWh, about 48% above the contemporaneous US national grid-average carbon intensity of 370 gCO2/kWh. Our approach provides an attributional tool for assessing the environmental footprint of hyperscale data centers using the most recent EPA eGRID plant-level data.