Sharpening the Ensemble: An SSIM-Aligned Residual Refiner for Brain-MRI Inpainting Post-Processing

Brain-MRI inpainting replaces a masked region of a scan with synthesized, anatomically plausible healthy tissue, so that analysis tools built for healthy brains can be applied to images they would otherwise reject. On the BraTS local-synthesis benchmark, which ranks submissions on the structural similarity index (SSIM), the peak signal-to-noise ratio, and the mean squared error (MSE) jointly, the strongest recent models are accurate, but several report blurry synthesized regions and attribute this to the mean-seeking behavior of the $\ell_1$ and MSE terms in their training losses. We address this in post-processing, forming a deep ensemble of the two co-first-place 2025 models and training a lightweight residual refiner on the ensemble's own outputs under an $\ell_1$ loss augmented with a structural-similarity term whose weight $λ$ we vary. At a moderate $λ$ the refiner improves SSIM over the ensemble, from $0.8767$ to $0.8780$ on a held-out reproduction of the official scorer and from $0.8555$ to $0.8572$ on the official validation leaderboard, with essentially no change in MSE. The gain is small but consistent, improving $62.6\%$ of the held-out cases with a signed-rank $p=2.2\times10^{-7}$, whereas over-weighting the structural term reverses it. Two ablations bound the effect. Adding any third model to the two-model ensemble degrades it, and classical unsharp masking fails to improve SSIM at any strength (best $0.8765$ against $0.8767$), so the gain reflects learned rather than indiscriminate sharpening. The result is a cheap, reproducible post-processing stage that improves an already strong ensemble without any large-scale retraining.

Orthogonal Ensembles and Tested Explanations for Performer-Independent Body-Motion Emotion Recognition

We study body-only, 12-class acted-emotion classification from skeleton motion under leave-performer-out (LPO) evaluation, a hard, underdetermined setting: chance is 8.3%, and a protocol-matched reproduced STGCN++ baseline reaches only 25.73 +/- 4.03% Macro-F1. We show that reliable gains come not from a new architecture but from combining eleven models with orthogonal error modes: under 10-fold LPO cross-validation on the labeled training performers, an equal-weight logit-mean ensemble reaches 36.80 +/- 4.00% per-fold Macro-F1, a protocol-matched +11.07 pp (+43% relative) over the same-split reproduced baseline. Our central contribution is a tested explanation suite: for a strong ensemble member, part-masking and counterfactual edits show (rather than assert) that its decisions depend on motion-grounded body-region evidence, and this region saliency aligns with rule-based Laban Movement Analysis (LMA) attributes far more than with classical kinematics: region-level saliency-LMA Spearman rho = +0.500 versus +0.033, roughly 15x, and the alignment holds for the submitted 11-way ensemble itself at rho = +0.517; the audit is post hoc and needs no retraining. The same suite faithfully reports a negative: within-window temporal saliency is diffuse rather than localized.

Confidence-Aware Ensemble and Long-Word Refinement for Artistic Text Recognition

Artistic Text Recognition (ATR) remains challenging because word images often combine decorative fonts, curved layouts, object-like characters, clutter, and severe distortions. This paper studies WordArt-V1.5 as a standardized benchmark for this setting and evaluates recent scene and artistic text recognizers under a common protocol. We propose a confidence-aware ensemble that combines SVTRv2, PARSeq, and MAERec after fine-tuning on the official training split. The ensemble selects predictions using the minimum confidence over disagreement positions, emphasizing characters that separate competing hypotheses. For long words, where a single character error can invalidate the whole prediction, we add a targeted refinement stage based on Needleman-Wunsch alignment and lexicon-guided correction. On the WordArt-V1.5 Test B split, the proposed system reaches 89.90% Word Recognition Accuracy, improving the best individual fine-tuned model by 1.77 percentage points. The long-word refinement produces a modest global gain, but improves the targeted long-word subset by 2.72 percentage points. Finally, an error analysis of all remaining mistakes shows that 48.8% are associated with labeling issues, visual ambiguity, or illegible samples, highlighting the value of diagnostic reporting for future ATR benchmarks and models. Our source code is available at https://github.com/lucas-azdias/Artistic-Text-Recognition/.

Subtraction-Based Tumor Segmentation and Lesion-Centered pCR Prediction for the MAMA-MIA Challenge

We describe the submission of team FME to the MAMA-MIA Challenge, which evaluated primary tumor segmentation and prediction of pathological complete response (pCR) from pretreatment dynamic contrast-enhanced breast MRI on an external multi-country cohort. For segmentation, we trained a five-fold residual-encoder nnU-Net ensemble using only the first post-contrast minus pre-contrast image, combined with mirroring test-time augmentation and largest-connected-component filtering. For pCR prediction, we ensembled 25 pretrained 3D video classifiers trained on lesion-centred crops from the pre-contrast and first two post-contrast volumes. FME ranked second in both tasks. The segmentation method achieved a combined performance-fairness score of 0.882, with Dice 0.713 and normalized Hausdorff distance 0.099. The pCR method achieved a combined score of 0.664, balanced accuracy of 0.541, and equalized-odds disparity of 0.212. The results indicate that subtraction-based input and ensembling support robust tumor segmentation under cross-site domain shift, whereas pCR prediction from baseline DCE-MRI alone remains limited. For the submission repository, see https://github.com/FraunhoferMEVIS/MAMA-MIA-Challenge-FME

A Deep Learning-Based Stacking Ensemble Framework for Turbofan Engine Remaining Useful Life Prediction

This study proposes a two-level stacking ensemble framework for Remaining Useful Life (RUL) prediction of turbofan engines, evaluated on the NASA C-MAPSS benchmark using the FD001 and FD003 subsets. The framework integrates four heterogeneous deep learning base learners: Long Short-Term Memory (LSTM), Convolutional Neural Network (CNN), CNN-LSTM, and CNN-GRU, whose out-of-fold predictions are combined by an XGBoost meta-learner to capture complex degradation patterns while mitigating individual model biases. Comprehensive experiments demonstrate that the stacking ensemble achieves superior predictive performance, with Root Mean Square Error (RMSE) of 9.989 and 8.613, Mean Absolute Error (MAE) of 7.081 and 5.195, and R-squared values of 0.899 and 0.906 for FD001 and FD003, respectively. Compared to the best-reported baseline (TCAT: RMSE 11.12 and 11.02), the proposed method achieves RMSE reductions of 10.2 percent and 21.8 percent for FD001 and FD003, respectively. Feature correlation analysis, residual diagnostics, and training convergence curves validate the model's robustness. These findings underscore the efficacy of stacking ensemble methods for prognostics and health management in safety-critical aerospace applications.

AirAlign: Geometry-Aware Relative Pose Alignment for UAV Last-Meter Navigation

Unmanned aerial vehicle (UAV) navigation in modern low-altitude environments requires more accurate pose alignment in the final approach stage for target information acquisition or manipulation, making "last-meter" navigation increasingly important. However, severe viewpoint and appearance variations make this task challenging. To tackle this problem, we propose AirAlign, a framework for RGB-only image-pair relative pose alignment for UAVs. AirAlign uses a pretrained visual geometry reconstruction model as the backbone to extract geometry-aware features from source-target image pairs. In addition, to better utilize the limited training data, we split the training set into multiple scene-disjoint folds for unseen cross-validation and model selection. During inference, the predictions of the selected models are averaged to form the ensemble output of the overall framework. Experiments on the PairUAV challenge at the ACMMM 2026 Workshop on UAVs in Multimedia demonstrate the effectiveness and robustness of our method, while comprehensive ablation studies validate the contribution of each component.

ChequeMark: An Ensemble Machine Learning Framework for After-Hours Business Deposit Fraud Detection

Cheque fraud is a material risk in after-hours business deposit operations because funds may be released within one business day, while cheque clearing takes several days. This timing gap creates a fraud exposure window for financial institutions. Prior mitigation relies on static, deposit-level checks and therefore miss historical client behavior and evolving patterns. To address this gap, we propose a multi-view ensemble ML framework that combines: Extreme Gradient Boosting (XGBoost) for known fraud patterns, Isolation Forest for label-free anomaly detection, and Graph Sample and Aggregate (GraphSAGE) for relational patterns associated with transaction activities. We then combine the three outputs into a single client-level risk score. Under stable conditions, performance is comparable to XGBoost; under a targeted distribution shift, our framework performs best (F1: 83.77%, FPR: 0.69%) versus XGBoost (F1: 82.77%, FPR: 0.72%). These results indicate improved robustness to distribution shift while preserving interpretability through plain-language explanations grounded in behavioural, anomaly, and relational evidence.

Hoeffding adaptive splitting trees for data stream classification with concept drift and ensemble learning

Ensembles of decision trees are well-established methods for data stream classification. In ensemble learning, Hoeffding Trees are widely adopted as base learners, performing periodic split attempts according to the Hoeffding bound. Recent studies, however, indicate that this standard splitting mechanism lacks adaptability, while adaptive trees that trigger splits in response to performance degradation have achieved superior results. In this paper, we identify limitations in the use of adaptive-splitting decision trees as ensemble base learners, showing that change detectors often fail to promote sufficient diversity within ensembles. To address this issue, we propose two novel decision tree models, termed Hoeffding Adaptive Splitting Trees. These models combine the periodic splitting strategy of Hoeffding Trees, which fosters ensemble diversity, with adaptive splitting mechanisms that employ change detection algorithms to identify performance decay and determine split points. Experimental results demonstrate that Hoeffding Adaptive Splitting Trees enhance ensemble performance and achieve state-of-the-art results across a comprehensive evaluation, including benchmark comparisons, computational cost analysis, and concept drift adaptation.

DRAFE: Domain-Robust Asymmetric Fusion of Heterogeneous Detection Transformers for Cross-City Fine-Grained Traffic Object Detection

Deep learning-based object detectors are fundamental to intelligent transportation systems, enabling traffic monitoring, vehicle analytics, and infrastructure management. However, achieving both fine-grained vehicle recognition and robust cross-city domain generalization remains challenging. We present the Domain-Robust Asymmetric Fusion Ensemble (DRAFE), which combines independently trained LW-DETR and RF-DETR detectors for cross-city fine-grained traffic object detection. DRAFE employs a two-stage training strategy that first pretrains complementary detectors on diverse public traffic datasets using pseudo-label expansion and human-in-the-loop annotation refinement, producing a curated corpus of 6,049 images and 203,619 annotations, before challenge-compliant fine-tuning on the Project Hafnia Track 6 dataset. At inference, DRAFE applies anchor-conditioned class-consistent matching, reliability-weighted coordinate fusion, agreement-aware confidence recalibration, and complementary hypothesis recovery. On AI City Challenge 2026 Track 6, DRAFE achieves 0.4022 mAP, ranks sixth among 25 participating teams, and improves by 0.0553 mAP over a preliminary ensemble evaluated under identical benchmark conditions.

Decoding the Past: An Uncertainty-Aware Deep Learning Framework for Sex Attribution in Prehistoric Hand Stencils

Determining the biological sex of the individuals who created Upper Paleolithic hand stencils remains a challenging problem due to the absence of ground truth, population differences between contemporary and prehistoric groups, and the uncertainty introduced by image degradation. Traditional morphometric methods suffer from high structural overlap across sexes, poor cross-population generalizability, and subjective feature engineering. This study presents an uncertainty-aware deep learning framework for sex attribution in prehistoric hand stencils that explicitly models, propagates, and aggregates uncertainty throughout the analytical pipeline. The methodology combines dual image processing, dual contour extraction, structured silhouette augmentation, model architectural diversity, and ensemble-based decision aggregation. The pipeline generates twelve plausible silhouette realizations per stencil to capture boundary uncertainties, which are processed by two ensembles of ten deep neural networks each (EfficientNet-B3 and MobileViT-S) trained on 14,036 contemporary hand samples. Furthermore, a triangulated validation scheme integrates ensemble predictions with unsupervised 2D latent-space manifold mapping (UMAP + k-NN) and explainable AI spatial attributions (LayerCAM) to ensure anatomical consistency. On contemporary data, ensemble models achieve strong classification performance, with accuracies exceeding 88% in older age groups. When applied to prehistoric stencils, the framework produces both sex predictions and confidence measures of internal agreement, enabling the distinction between morphologically stable and ambiguous cases. Convergence across ensemble predictions, latent-space structure, and interpretability analyses shows that uncertainty can become a measurable component of archaeological inference, enabling robust and reproducible decoding of ancient rock art.

MLLM-Routed Heterogeneous Ensembles for Robust Cross-Dataset Image Classification

Modern image classification models excel when trained on single task-specific datasets but often struggle to generalize across domains and difficulty levels. We propose ARMDIL, an Adaptive Router for Multi-Domain Image classification with LLMs. ARMDIL is an ensemble that uses a multimodal large language model (MLLM) agent to dynamically route each image to the most suitable vision backbone. Our diverse ensemble employs convolutional neural networks (ResNets), self-supervised representation learners (SSL), and vision-language models (VLMs), each trained on a unified label space constructed from multiple image datasets with differing distributions and characteristics. Empirical evaluations illuminate the distinct capabilities and vulnerabilities of each architecture across disparate visual domains. Crucially, we show that ARMDIL effectively navigates these trade-offs, performing competitively with specialized training-based routers. Furthermore, it drastically improves adaptability by allowing new information to be integrated via simple prompt modifications, while enhancing interpretability through natural language reasoning traces. These advances in cross-dataset image classification pave the way for more reliable general-purpose vision systems such as AI assistants and autonomous robots.

Personalized Scorer Modeling: A Learning-Based Framework for Deriving Robust Sleep Stage Labels from Multiple Experts

Sleep stage classification is important for the diagnosis and management of sleep disorders, yet most automatic staging studies evaluate models against a single reference hypnogram despite known inter-scorer variability. This study investigates whether multi-scored datasets can be used to construct more reliable reference labels from the collective behavior of multiple experts. We use the publicly available DOD-H and DOD-O datasets. EEG (C3-M2) and chin EMG signals were segmented into 30-s epochs, and 30 features were extracted from each modality, yielding 60 features for EEG+EMG. We propose a learning-based hypnogram (LBH) that models the stage-specific behavior of each scorer using confusion matrices derived from machine-learning models. After column normalization, these matrices estimate the probability of each true sleep stage given each scorer's label; probabilities are aggregated across scorers to assign the final label for each epoch. LBH was evaluated with random forest, support vector machine, and multilayer perceptron classifiers under EEG-only and EEG+EMG settings, and compared with the dataset hypnogram (DH) and best-scorer hypnogram (BSH). LBH consistently improved overall performance. The best results were obtained with random forest and EEG+EMG, reaching 86.07% accuracy, 85.46% precision, and 85.29% F1-score on DOD-H, and 86.04% accuracy, 85.21% precision, and 84.70% F1-score on DOD-O. These findings suggest that personalized scorer modeling can improve reference hypnogram construction without discarding information from individual experts.

A Vision Transformer for ECG-Based Detection of Left Ventricular Systolic Dysfunction Across Multiple Clinical Sites

Reduced left ventricular ejection fraction (LVEF) is frequently asymptomatic and often detected only after advanced heart failure develops. Electrocardiograms are recorded routinely yet underused for this condition, because reduced LVEF has no single diagnostic waveform. We trained an ensemble of vision transformers from scratch to detect reduced LVEF ($\leq$40%) from 12-lead ECGs, analyzing each heartbeat individually, using 10,142 patients across seven sites in three US health systems. In a held-out external cohort of 4,092 patients from three geographically independent US clinical sites at a real-world reduced-LVEF prevalence of 8.72%, the model achieved an AUROC of 0.88 (95% CI 0.86-0.89), sensitivity 81.2%, specificity 81.0%, and negative predictive value 97.8%. Sensitivity remained high across sex, race, ethnicity, and comorbidity subgroups, while specificity was lower in older patients and those with atrial fibrillation or cardiomyopathy. Beat-level attention maps provided interpretability into the model's predictions, showing consistent focus on the QRS complex rather than the P wave. These findings support the potential of routine ECGs as a scalable first-pass triage step to identify patients who should undergo echocardiography for reduced ejection fraction across diverse patient populations.

LabelFusion-TS: Fusing Large Language Models, Transformer Encoders, and Financial Time Series for Monetary-Policy Stance Classification

Financial text is produced and interpreted within a market environment, yet financial text classifiers almost always receive text alone. We study whether financial time series are useful as an additional input on the task of classifying sentences from Federal Reserve communication as hawkish, dovish, or neutral. Our system, \lfts{}, extends the \lf{} architecture with this modality: a small voting network combines three independently trained components, a fine-tuned RoBERTa encoder, a prompted large language model (LLM), and a fused ensemble of time-series transformers over the market series of the months preceding publication. Because only about a thousand annotated sentences are available for training, the RoBERTa encoder is first pre-trained on sentences annotated automatically by the LLM and only then fine-tuned on the human labels. Trained on Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) communication up to 2015 and evaluated on 2015--2022, the fused system achieves 70.2\% weighted F1 -- against 64.1\% for the zero-shot LLM -- and overtakes it with as few as 240 human-labelled sentences. We take this as initial evidence for market time series as an input modality in financial text classification.

Gaussian Meta-Space Augmentation for Stacking Ensembles in Multimodal IPMN Risk Stratification

Pancreatic cancer is among the most lethal malignancies; risk stratification of intraductal papillary mucinous neoplasms (IPMNs) offers a crucial opportunity for early intervention but typically requires invasive tissue biopsy. Dominant vision-based approaches, including radiomics and deep learning, provide promising but initially separate discrimination opportunities. Similarly, multisequence MRI (T1W/T2W) and anatomically decomposed (head, body and tail) analysis of the pancreas provide additional and potentially complementary signals. Effective fusion of this information is crucial in ordinal IPMN dysplasia risk prediction and can be accomplished via a meticulously regularized and calibrated ensemble stacking combiner. We present cUPMI, a class-conditional Gaussian augmentation of a combiner's log-probability meta-features, and test it on various prediction paradigms. In our multi-center analysis, we find cUPMI adds limited value to properly regularized L2-logistic binary classification stacks, but consistently regularizes higher-capacity tree combiners in the binary and radiomics-only setting (RF +0.015 and XGBoost +0.024 binary AUC, positive in all seeds). Its cleanest ordinal benefit appears for XGBoost on an 8-stream radiomics task (3-class no < low < high, +0.022 QWK in all seeds). Separately, fold-locked fusion of radiomics and 2.5D CNN streams yields the strongest overall model, an RF stack reaching QWK 0.595 (95% CI [0.54, 0.64]) and binary AUC 0.839, surpassing radiomics, 2.5D ResNet, and 3D DenseNet-121 baselines.

CLEAR: Class-wise Expert Aggregation with Structured Sampling for Long-Tailed Classification

Long-tailed classification poses a reliability challenge because models trained on imbalanced data are unevenly reliable across frequent and underrepresented classes. While existing methods address imbalance through re-balancing, adjustment, representation learning, or multi-expert modeling, they rarely estimate which expert should be trusted for each class. This paper proposes CLEAR (Class-wise reLiability-aware Expert Aggregation for long-tailed Recognition), a modular ensemble framework for long-tailed classification. CLEAR generates diverse experts through threshold-based structured sampling while preserving the full label space, then estimates a class-wise trust score for each expert using a smoothed class-wise precision formulation. During inference, expert predictions are combined through class-wise generalized product-of-experts aggregation, allowing different experts to be emphasized for different classes. Experiments on CIFAR-100-LT, ImageNet-LT, and Places-LT across multiple backbones show that CLEAR achieves competitive overall accuracy and particularly strong few-shot performance. These results support class-wise expert reliability as a useful design principle for long-tailed ensemble learning.

Uncertainty-Aware and Explainable Ensemble Deep Learning Framework for Multi-Class Skin Lesion Classification

Skin cancer diagnosis from dermoscopic images remains challenging due to high intra-class variability, inter-class similarity, class imbalance, and the limited interpretability of deep learning models. This paper proposes an uncertainty-aware and explainable deep learning framework for multi-class skin lesion classification. The framework combines a vision transformer model (MaxViT-Tiny) with CNN-based models (ConvNeXt-Tiny and EfficientNetV2-B0) through deep ensemble learning. Monte Carlo (MC) Dropout estimates predictive uncertainty and identifies unreliable predictions, while Grad-CAM++, an explainable AI (XAI) technique, provides visual explanations by highlighting lesion regions that influence model decisions. Evaluated on the HAM10000 dataset, the framework achieves 96% accuracy and 99% ROC-AUC under uncertainty-aware filtering (entropy < 1.0, confidence >= 0.7), with macro-average precision, recall, and F1-score of 94%, 95%, and 95%, respectively, and 96% weighted-average scores across all three metrics. The results demonstrate accurate, interpretable, and uncertainty-aware skin lesion classification for trustworthy computer-aided diagnosis.

REATS: LLM Reasoning-based Ensemble Learning for Adaptive Time Series Forecasting

Due to the diversity of real-world time series, no single forecasting model consistently dominates across all samples. Ensemble learning addresses this by combining complementary model strengths, yet existing methods rely on fixed rules or black-box models based solely on numerical inputs, failing to leverage LLM reasoning for interpretable weighting decisions. We propose REATS, which leverages LLM reasoning capabilities as an intelligent ensemble router that jointly processes textual temporal pattern descriptions and numerical features to produce interpretable, sample-adaptive ensemble weights through chain-of-thought reasoning. To enable effective LLM-based ensembling, we study its key design choices and propose: (i) a structured input pipeline that transforms raw time series into hybrid textual--numerical representations with fixed token cost, enabling rule-based chain-of-thought construction without API dependency, augmented with retrieved similar-sample priors; (ii) a diverse multi-row weight supervision scheme coupled with a token-efficient percentage-table format that reduces numerical complexity and mitigates LLM hallucinations; and (iii) a two-stage fine-tuning framework combining SFT with GRPO, where a reciprocal reward mapping transforms the continuous unbounded MSE gap into bounded signals with amplified near-oracle sensitivity, addressing the uniform sensitivity and outlier-dominated advantage compression inherent in naive reward designs for regression-based GRPO. Experiments on eight benchmarks demonstrate that REATS outperforms competitive ensemble baselines while providing natural language explanations and demonstrating strong transfer learning and out-of-domain generalization to unseen candidate models.

RAVEN: Frozen Random Graph Reservoirs with Physics-Informed Interaction Fingerprints for Protein-Ligand Binding Affinity Prediction

Quantitative estimation of protein-ligand binding affinity from three-dimensional complex structures is a fundamental task in structure-based computational chemistry and molecular modeling. Reliable prediction remains challenging because available structure-affinity data are limited, experimentally heterogeneous, conformation-dependent, and sensitive to dataset partitioning. RAVEN (Randomized Atomistic Views with Ensemble Neural Reservoirs) utilizes a multihead reservoir of independently initialized and fully frozen atomistic graph encoders to generate diverse structural projections without end-to-end optimization of the graph representation. These projections are integrated with a deterministic physicochemical interaction fingerprint and processed by heterogeneous supervised readers, including neural and tree-based regressors, whose outputs are combined through validation-based nonnegative fusion. The random reservoir expands structural feature coverage across independent encoder realizations, whereas the explicit physicochemical descriptors and heterogeneous readers contribute complementary information and distinct inductive biases. Evaluation on a similarity-isolated PDBbind 2020R1 split reconstructed using GEMS similarity resources, together with the protected CASF-2016 subset, demonstrated strong predictive performance. The results indicate that frozen multi-view graph representations, explicit physicochemical statistics, and heterogeneous model fusion provide a robust and flexible framework for protein-ligand binding-affinity prediction.

A Domain-Structured Ensemble Framework for Perioperative Outcome Prediction Using Electronic Health Record Data

Perioperative risk prediction models are often limited by narrow surgical populations, incomplete intraoperative data, poor calibration, and limited interpretability. We present a domain-structured ensemble framework for perioperative outcome prediction using routinely collected electronic health record (EHR) data. Predictors are organized into patient-related, surgery-related, and anesthetics-related domains. Domain-specific gradient boosting models generate independent risk estimates that are integrated through a logistic regression meta-learner. We demonstrate the framework using postoperative delirium (POD) in a case-control sample of 5,386 surgical encounters (2,693 cases, 2,693 controls) from a statewide health information exchange. POD required both delirium-related ICD codes and a positive Confusion Assessment Method screening within seven postoperative days; patients with preexisting dementia were excluded. The stacked meta-learner achieved AUROC 0.899 (95% CI: 0.891-0.906), precision-recall AUC 0.881, and Brier score 0.126, compared with AUROC 0.849 for the best single-stage model. Domain ablation showed improved discrimination and calibration over a surgery-only model (AUROC 0.879, Brier 0.140). Temporal validation on held-out post-2017 data yielded AUROC 0.915. Calibration was excellent, with intercept -0.006 (95% CI: -0.083 to 0.070) and slope 1.035 (95% CI: 0.982 to 1.088). Decision curve analysis, corrected for case-control sampling, showed positive net benefit across clinically plausible thresholds. The modular framework supports alternative outcomes, extension of predictor domains, and dynamic risk updating, providing a scalable foundation for interpretable, calibration-aware perioperative clinical decision support.

Uncertainty-Aware Ensemble Deep Randomized Neural Networks for Classification

The current state-of-the-art (SOTA) deep randomized neural networks, such as deep Random Vector Functional Link (dRVFL) and ensemble deep RVFL (edRVFL), treat all training samples uniformly, which limits their robustness and effectiveness when applied to real-world datasets containing noise and outliers. Furthermore, the propagation of contaminated features across hidden layers negatively influences the decision-making capability of these models. To overcome these limitations, we propose intuitionistic fuzzy dRVFL (IF-dRVFL) and intuitionistic fuzzy edRVFL (IF-edRVFL) frameworks that enhance model robustness. The proposed models unify intuitionistic fuzzy theory to exploit sample neighborhood information in the kernel space by jointly considering membership and non-membership degrees for each sample. Membership degrees are computed based on the distance of samples from their respective class centroids, while non-membership degrees quantify sample heterogeneity within local neighborhoods. These measures are employed to assign adaptive weights to training samples, enabling effective discrimination among clean, noisy, and outlier data points. Extensive experiments conducted on UCI and KEEL benchmark datasets, with and without the presence of Gaussian noise, demonstrate the superiority of the proposed IF-dRVFL and IF-edRVFL models over existing SOTA fuzzy and non-fuzzy approaches. The source code is available at https://github.com/mtanveer1/IF-edRVFL.

Federated Ensemble Forecasting Under Supply-Chain Market Volatility

Supply chain forecasting systems increasingly operate under market shocks, non-identically distributed regional demand, and limited willingness to centralize commercial data. This work proposes Federated Ensemble Forecasting with Negative-Correlation Learning (FEF NCL), a distributed method that trains specialized forecasting experts across client nodes while discouraging redundant model errors. The framework combines temporal feature encoders, client level drift scoring, reliability-weighted aggregation, and an explain ability layer that exposes the market and supplier variables most responsible for each forecast. A single synthetic dataset is used to evaluate the design. It contains 124,800 weekly SKU region observations from ten regional client nodes, 60 product families, 40 suppliers, five commodity groups, and a 2021-2024 volatility profile with explicit price-shock regimes. Because the dataset is synthetic, the reported results should be interpreted as controlled evidence of internal consistency rather than real-world validation. Across the synthetic test split, FEF NCL reduces weighted mean absolute percentage error from 13.9% for the best federated baseline to 12.4%, improves delay-risk macro-F1 from 0.755 to 0.801, and lowers the high volatility quintile error by 2.1 percentage points relative to SCAFFOLD. The analysis suggests that negative-correlation specialization is useful when clients face different supplier, freight, and commodity conditions, although deployment would require stronger privacy analysis, live drift monitoring, and operational calibration. Index Terms federated learning, ensemble learning, negative correlation learning, supply chain forecasting, market volatility, data drift, demand planning, risk governance

Frequency-Decorrelated Temporal Ensembles for EEG--fNIRS Imagined-Handwriting Decoding

Imagined handwriting offers a temporally rich paradigm for non-invasive neural decoding, yet reliable recognition across unseen participants remains difficult because scalp EEG is noisy and internally generated stroke sequences vary across individuals. The Multimodal Brain-Computer Interface Grand Challenge provides synchronized EEG and fNIRS for four-class subject-independent handwriting-trajectory classification. We propose FRED, a task-adapted system that models imagined handwriting as a multi-second motor sequence and trains a compact multi-scale temporal network on three complementary EEG frequency views. With three seeds per view, cross-band members produce substantially less-correlated errors than same-band replicas, yielding a clean nine-member ensemble accuracy of 0.8076/0.7242/0.7492 on the public/private/overall test partitions without test-set adaptation or output constraints. The submitted pipeline further incorporates transductive pseudo-label training, three EEG-Conformer members, posterior aggregation, and a paradigm-aware decoder. Because every 12-trial randomization block contains three instances of each class, the final predictions are obtained by Hungarian assignment under the known block quota. On one fixed posterior pool, independent, session-constrained, and block-constrained decoding achieve 0.7600, 0.7758, and 0.7952 overall accuracy, respectively. The complete system reaches 0.8498/0.7718/0.7952, ranking fourth on the private split. A modality audit finds fNIRS-only decoding at chance (0.2511 overall), while adding fNIRS to EEG changes accuracy by only +0.0025. These results identify frequency-diverse temporal EEG modeling and protocol-matched structured inference as the principal sources of performance in this sparse-montage EEG--fNIRS setting. The source code is available at https://github.com/XiuFan719/EEG-fNIRS-fuse-method-for-MM-challenge.

An AI-Based Decision-Support Pipeline for Day-Ahead Photovoltaic Forecasting

Reliable photovoltaic (PV) forecasts are needed for low-carbon energy systems, but newly deployed sites often have short, imperfect records. This makes standard day-ahead forecasting difficult: persistence and physical baselines can be sensitive to calibration and timestamp alignment, while single machine-learning models may capture only one structure in the data and overstate skill under non-temporal validation. We study this problem at a United Kingdom charging-station site, where PV forecast errors affect charging availability, storage scheduling, and downstream control. Using measured inverter output and publicly available meteorological inputs, we develop a deployment-oriented environmental-AI pipeline for day-ahead hourly PV forecasting. The pipeline corrects timestamp conventions, constructs leakage-safe solar-geometry and clearness-index features, adds short-term atmospheric context, and combines complementary predictors through validation-learned stacking. Against smart persistence, a clear-sky baseline that adjusts recent PV output using expected clear-sky irradiance, the best ensemble reduces daylight normalised RMSE by about 32% under random day-blocked evaluation and 9% under the stricter rolling-origin protocol. It also reduces daylight RMSE relative to the strongest individual machine-learning baseline by 6.6% and 6.4%, respectively. The results show that physics-aware stacking can support PV forecasts from limited site data, but its value depends on model class, evaluation protocol, and deployment context.

Can Urban Blight Be Accessed with Vision-language Models: A Case Study in Detroit

Addressing urban blight has seen increased focus in the past 15 years. Assessing urban blight is essential for guiding urban planning, targeting rehabilitation, and safeguarding public health, yet traditional residential blight surveys are difficult to maintain at scale due to the labor-intensive cost and long-term cycle. This study introduced a scalable framework for estimating residential blight using open-source large vision-language models on multiple views. Structured prompts guided models to evaluate housing attributes, including roof integrity, wall damage, and broken or boarded openings, producing both binary assessments and probabilistic estimates of disrepair. To evaluate the performance of these visual assessments, we compared professional human annotations of these features across several models, including an ensemble stacking approach based on XGBoost and a weighted scoring system. Results showed that (i) multiple street views can contribute to the improvement of accuracy, (ii) large vision-language models have different strengths of inference, (iii) the ensemble learner outperforms individual base models, enhancing robustness across all residential conditions and blight assessment. The practical application of the method allows low-cost tracking and management of housing stock conditions, providing a regularly updatable complement to traditional blight surveys.

XEns-CKD: An Explainable Ensemble-Based Approach for Chronic Kidney Disease Stage Detection

Chronic kidney disease (CKD) is a silent disease. Its progression may not significantly hamper a person's daily routine. Human kidney function can be classified as normal or as one of the five stages of CKD. Early detection of the CKD stage can help patients understand the functional status of their kidneys and follow medical advice to slow CKD progression. In this paper, we propose XEns-CKD, a novel ensemble vision transformer-based scheme for CKD stage classification using ultrasound images. Three ViTs were trained on a private ultrasound image dataset using different training parameters. The performance of each ViT was evaluated using macro sensitivity, macro specificity, macro precision, macro F1-score, macro Youden index, the Matthews correlation coefficient (MCC), and macro balanced accuracy. The ensemble model achieved an overall classification accuracy of 86.36%. This work also emphasizes identifying and interpreting kidney regions affected by CKD progression. Explainable artificial intelligence techniques, including LIME, LRP, Attention-Min, and Attention-Max, were used to improve model transparency and clinical trust. An attention map combining the Attention-Min and Attention-Max results effectively identified and interpreted kidney regions affected during CKD progression from one stage to another. The attention map also highlighted the effects of CKD progression in these regions. Compared with existing methods, the proposed method classified the five CKD stages and normal kidney status with a 4% improvement in accuracy.

On the Performance of Malware Detection Classifiers Using Hardware Performance Counters

Malware detection using Hardware Performance Counters (HPC) has emerged as a promising solution to improve the security of computing systems as a complement to antivirus software. Hardware-based malware detectors (HMD) use Machine Learning (ML) classifiers to detect malicious application patterns. The inputs to ML classifiers are low-level performance features known as HPCs, hardware-related activity data collected from a processor at run time to profile the low-level microarchitectural behavior of an application. This paper proposes malware detection using HPCs and machine learning classifiers and highlights the effectiveness of malware detection at run-time. We use ensemble learning techniques to improve the performance of the hardware-based malware detectors, which reduces the number of necessary micro-architectural events. This improves the processor's efficiency by eliminating the need to run an application several times since a processor can measure only 2 to 8 events at a cycle. We use 18 machine-learning models along with two ensemble learning methods to evaluate the malware detection performance, creating a total of 144 different configurations. The experimental results show that the ensemble learning-based malware detection with 2 HPCs using the ensemble technique outperforms standard classifiers with 8 HPCs by up to 10%. It also matches the performance of standard ML-based detectors that use 16 HPCs while requiring only 4 HPCs, thereby enabling effective run-time malware detection.

CALM-AH: An ABAW11-Calibrated Multimodal Ensemble with Reliability-Gated Multi-Expert Consensus for Video-Level Ambivalence and Hesitancy Recognition

Ambivalence and hesitancy (A/H) are subtle behavioural states that may be expressed through language, voice, facial activity, and other non-verbal cues. The ABAW11 A/H Video Recognition Challenge asks systems to assign a binary A/H label to each naturalistic interview video. Performance is measured using Macro-F1 so that recognition of both A/H and No-A/H samples receives equal importance. We present CALM-AH, a multimodal ensemble that combines textual, acoustic, visual, and derived behavioural-statistical features. We construct 15 non-empty combinations of these feature branches. For each combination, we select the best of three classifier families using validation binary cross-entropy and optimise its decision threshold for validation Macro-F1. The resulting binary decisions are combined using fixed hard-voting weights transferred from BROTHER. We further introduce Reliability-Gated Multi-Expert Consensus(RG-MEC), an anchor-preserving decision-level ensemble that combines an initial prediction with three complementary correction experts: CALM-AH, AffectGPT, and a GPT-based semantic verifier. The initial system provides the default prediction. Its label is overridden only when all three correction experts unanimously support the same alternative class; otherwise, the anchor prediction is retained. This unanimity-gated design limits the influence of isolated expert errors while permitting bidirectional correction when task-specific, multimodal-affective, and semantic-pragmatic evidence are fully consistent. On the participant-disjoint ABAW11 dataset, CALM-AH achieves a Macro-F1 of 0.7525, and the complete RG-MEC system achieves 0.7771.

Unifying Adversarially Robust Model Experts in Vision-Language Models

Vision-language models (VLMs), such as CLIP, are vulnerable to adversarial attacks, posing a serious problem for real-life applications and deployment. Adversarial fine-tuning emerges as a prominent defense method; however, different fine-tuning strategies often produce specialized models with distinct robustness characteristics. Each fine-tuned model in turn thrives in some evaluation settings but falters on others, limiting their defensive capabilities. We refer to these specialized fine-tuned models as robust model experts and propose a collaborative adversarial fine-tuning framework: CARE - Collaborative Adversarial Robustness fine-tuning using Embedding alignment. CARE maintains multiple experts during training, enables knowledge exchange through embedding-space harmonization, and consolidates the learned knowledge into a single unified robust model. Experts benefit from one another while preserving their individual specializations, enabling the final model to inherit complementary robustness properties. In this paper, we demonstrate CARE on two different adversarial fine-tuning strategies with complementary robustness behaviors. Extensive experiments on classic image classification and downstream vision-language tasks display the effectiveness of our approach, with CARE being able to outperform individually learned model experts. The results suggest that collaborative learning across model experts is a promising direction for improving adversarial robustness.

Expanding Data-Agnostic Pivotal Instances Selection Models with Proximity Trees and Ensemble Learning

As decision-making processes grow more complex, machine learning tools have become essential for tackling business and societal challenges. However, many existing methods rely on decision-making procedures that are difficult to interpret. Since humans naturally make decisions by comparing new cases with a few representative examples, we aim to design an approach that selects such pivots to construct an interpretable predictive model. Inspired by decision trees, we propose a hierarchical, interpretable-by-design pivot selection model based on the similarity between pivots and input instances. Our method functions both as a pivot selection technique and a standalone predictive model. Extending beyond single pivots, we incorporate pairs of pivots that are used by proximity and oblique trees, as well as ensembles, which enhance the versatility and effectiveness of our proposal. Additionally, our approach is data modality-agnostic, leveraging pre-trained networks for data transformation. Experiments across diverse datasets, including tabular data, text, images, and time series, demonstrate the effectiveness of our approach, outperforming alternative instance selection strategies and achieving competitive results against state-of-the-art interpretable models while maintaining a minimal number of pivots.