A convolutional framework for detecting event-driven dynamics in energy price series

This paper develops a general convolutional neural network (CNN) framework for detecting heterogeneous event-driven dynamics in univariate time series windows. We show that the induced CNN class exactly represents classifiers based on range, maximum drawup, maximum drawdown and slope change, and uniformly approximates realised volatility and autoregressive explosiveness on compact domains. We further establish error bounds for representative rules in finite samples and an oracle inequality for learning across them. Simulations show that the proposed model can match or outperform classifiers based on individual statistics as the training sample grows. In an application to six daily energy price series, a hierarchical CNN distinguishes event windows and event families. Applied without retraining to observations withheld after 20 February 2026, the fitted model identifies predominantly geopolitical dynamics in several oil and refined product series around the outbreak of the 2026 Iran war, while distinguishing a contemporaneous natural gas spike associated with weather.

Benchmarking Deep Learning Models for Dense Event Classification of Offshore Wind Infrastructure in Sentinel-1 Time Series

Monitoring of offshore wind energy infrastructure life cycles, especially during the deployment phase, is an important contribution for stakeholders to make informed decisions in a phase of increasing deployment activities. ESA's Sentinel-1 Synthetic Aperture Radar (SAR) mission produces large data archives that enable the global monitoring of offshore wind infrastructure. Turning these high-volume archives into information requires algorithms that automatically extract single event labels from dense time series at a global scale. In this study, we present a structured comparison of ten deep learning model-training variants for the dense classification of Sentinel-1 based offshore wind infrastructure time series, aiming to advance rule-based event classification of this task. We trained LSTM, Transformer, and fully connected model variants with monotemporal, unidirectional, and bidirectional context awareness, each with and without self-supervised pretraining. Among these, the supervised BiLSTM performs best, raising the target AUC score from 0.7853 for the rule-based baseline to 0.8509, and the perfect match rate from 0.3508 to 0.5063. Combining the BiLSTM predictions with the existing baseline labels in a label-transition-minimising ensemble further improves agreement with the test data. Using these improved labels, we isolate the deployment phase of individual turbines at a global scale and conduct a regional and subregional analysis covering 2016-01-01 to 2025-03-31, reporting median deployment durations of 84 d (China), 242 d (EU), and 258 d (UK). Deployment-related drivers, including legal regulations such as subsidies, and environmental conditions, emerge clearly from the analysed results across multiple spatial scales.

Entity-Aware Sequence Transduction for Player-Centric Ball Action Spotting

Player-centric ball action spotting requires temporally precise event detection together with actor attribution in crowded, partially observed multi-agent sports videos. Existing Denoising Sequence Transduction (DST) baselines treat the player-role dimension as part of a flattened frame-level representation, which weakens the inductive bias for modeling player-specific temporal evolution and inter-player interactions. To address this limitation, we propose Multi-Entity Denoising Sequence Transduction (ME-DST). ME-DST keeps the role-slot dimension throughout encoding. It uses temporal attention to model the history of each role slot, and spatial attention to exchange information across role slots at each frame. This factorized design gives the model a direct structure for separating within-player evolution from inter-player context. We also add learnable role embeddings, tracking-derived tactical features, and fused visual predictions from X3D-L and Swin3D-S. Experiments on the FOOTPASS dataset show that ME-DST reaches a Micro F1 of 0.778. This improves the strongest official TAAD+DST baseline by 10.3 percentage points. Controlled ablations show that preserving the entity axis and encoding role identity are central to this gain. These results suggest that explicit entity modeling is an effective inductive bias for player-centric sports event understanding.

CDEP Agent: Connecting Meteorologically Detected Temporal Compound Events to Real-World Documentary Evidence

Compound drought-to-extreme-precipitation (CDEP) events are recognized in climate science as a growing driver of extreme impact, but whether this recognition carries over into real-world early warning and post-event documentation is unknown, so a meteorologically real CDEP event may pass with neither advance warning nor any later record. Here we present CDEP Agent, an auditable LLM-agent framework that tests this mismatch directly by linking CDEP candidates detected from meteorological reanalysis to real-world hazard and impact evidence across sources with different spatial scales, temporal resolutions, and reporting conventions. Using California as a case study, we identify 408 candidate CDEP events from ERA5 observations during 2021-2025 and evaluate each against the U.S. Drought Monitor, NOAA Storm Events, and public webpages along five dimensions: antecedent drought, extreme rainfall, local impact, hazard-impact attribution, and explicit drought-to-rainfall linkage. Only 34.3% of candidates are corroborated on both hazard components, and just 1.5% are ever explicitly linked to their antecedent drought, indicating that most meteorologically detected CDEP events go undocumented and their compound nature almost never enters the record at all. Our framework gives climate scientists a way to test physical event definitions against what actually gets documented, and gives social scientists, economists, and disaster-response agencies a provenance-linked evidence base for compound events that current warning and reporting systems largely fail to capture.

BasketEvent: Understanding Who Did What and When in Basketball Videos

Comprehensive basketball video understanding requires resolving not only what event occurs, but also who is responsible and when the key evidence appears. However, exist- ing methods typically treat spatial perception and semantic recognition as isolated tasks, failing to ground events to individual players or pinpoint their temporal boundaries within complex collective dynamics. To bridge this gap, we introduce BasketEvent, a player- centric basketball event understanding dataset curated from real NBA broadcasts. In BasketEvent, event labels are grounded to the responsible players, and a manually an- notated subset of 1,000 samples with precise event intervals is provided to evaluate tem- poral evidence localization. Based on this data, we propose PlayNet, a player-centric reasoning framework that maps basketball videos to player-level event predictions with temporal evidence. Concretely, PlayNet tracks key entities, associates player identities, and reasons about events by modeling player-player, player-ball, and global court inter- actions, while aggregating sparse temporal evidence via gated pooling. Extensive experi- ments demonstrate that PlayNet significantly outperforms representative video-level and crop-based baselines, proving the superiority of player-centric modeling for fine-grained sports video understanding. Our data, code, and models will be made publicly available.

A Self-Supervised Approach for Minimal-Annotation Hydroacoustic Data Exploration

Passive hydroacoustic monitoring often generates large volumes of continuous recordings that are only partially exploited due to the cost of manual annotation. Supervised detection methods perform well but require large labeled datasets, seldom available for rare signals or understudied environments. This work proposes a self-supervised exploration pipeline to address this limitation in low-frequency settings. A Masked AutoEncoder (MAE) is pre-trained on a reconstruction pretext task, then used to extract patch-level representations from spectrograms. Within each spectrogram, adjacent informative patches are aggregated into event-level embeddings, enabling the disentanglement of overlapping events. These embeddings are then clustered at the dataset scale using the dimension reduction algorithm UMAP and the clustering algorithm HDBSCAN to identify hydroacoustic patterns. The pipeline was applied to a multi-year hydroacoustic dataset collected near Mayotte Island, Indian Ocean, containing marine mammal vocalizations, seismo-volcanic signals, and anthropogenic noise. The 317 clusters were manually mapped to 15 hydroacoustic classes or noise in less than one hour. The method was evaluated in two ways. Quantitatively, when used as a classifier, it achieved performance comparable to two existing detectors. Qualitatively, it recovered known seasonal patterns of marine mammal acoustic activity. It also identified patterns of previously unstudied signals, thereby demonstrating its practical value.

Evaluating Large Language Models for Antisemitic Incident Classification

Addressing hate and violence in society requires timely detection of hateful events from public reporting, but automated identification of hateful events remains underexplored. We introduce the task of hateful event detection and investigate the ability of AI systems, specifically large language models (LLMs), to discover and classify reports of antisemitic events with fine-grained labels. We evaluate OpenAI's GPT-4o and Meta's Llama-3.2-3B-Instruct on multiple expert-annotated datasets containing antisemitic event descriptions from news articles, civil society reports, and official records. We show that LLMs, particularly GPT-4o, have potential for this task, but substantial improvement is needed. Providing clear term definitions and in-context examples in prompts can improve performance: definitions are most helpful for rhetoric-oriented events (e.g. classical antisemitic tropes), while examples help label action-oriented events (e.g. physical assault). A case study of college newspapers demonstrates that LLMs can help surface relevant real-world events, supporting early monitoring and intervention. Overall, our findings highlight both opportunities and critical gaps in AI's ability to recognize complex harms and underscore the need for collaborative efforts among AI developers, policymakers, and civil society to design models, implement robust evaluation, and develop policy frameworks for defining and combating hate efficiently and effectively.

Event Detection in Videos: A Framework for the Development of New Methods

Event detection tasks in videos, the most important aspect of video surveillance, aim to detect events either at the pixel-level, frame-level, or clip-level. Plenty of methods intended for event detection in different environments, for various applications, and within different acquisition techniques were introduced. Naturally, the attempts were made as well to classify these algorithms in terms of detection of performance or in terms of real-time abilities. Nevertheless, the lack of a large-scale dataset as well as rigorous performance evaluation methods have biased such comparisons as well as the development of the methods. Given the diversity of existing approaches, we believe it is essential for researchers to position their work within such a rich landscape. Thus, we propose a rigorous framework for developing new methods in event detection for videos. Specifically, this framework is based on three main pillars: datasets, performance evaluation, and scenarios for deploying methods.

Beyond Clean Text: Evaluating Encoder and Decoder Robustness for Bangla Event Detection in Noisy Text

Event detection (ED) systems are typically evaluated on clean, curated text, leaving their robustness to real-world noise largely unexplored, particularly for low-resource languages such as Bangla. We introduce a generalized Bangla news event ontology and a benchmark comprising 9,979 annotated sentences across 40 event subtypes, spanning clean news text, real-world Automatic Speech Recognition (ASR) transcripts, and orthographically corrupted text. We systematically evaluate fine-tuned encoder-only models (BanglaBERT and XLM-R) alongside instruction-tuned decoder-only large language models (Llama 3 and Gemma 3). Our results reveal a clear architectural trade-off: encoder models achieve higher performance on clean text but degrade substantially under noise, whereas decoder-only LLMs are markedly more robust, particularly when event triggers are corrupted. We further show that embedding annotation guidelines during instruction tuning establishes a higher performance baseline on noisy text but yields inconsistent reductions in performance degradation across noisy conditions. Finally, model scaling consistently improves the robustness of decoder-only LLMs, while combined training on clean and noisy data serves as an effective regularization strategy that disproportionately benefits encoder architectures, significantly narrowing the robustness gap.

Two kinds of robustness are not the same: disentangling fault tolerance and low-SNR robustness in multi-domain event detection on real data

Reliable event detection underpins induced-seismicity monitoring for Carbon dioxide Capture and Storage (CCS) and geothermal operations, distributed acoustic sensing (DAS), and industrial condition monitoring. In each setting a detector must stay reliable both when sensors fail and when the signal is buried in noise. These two failure modes are routinely conflated, and architectural complexity is often credited with robustness it may not deserve. We assemble a unified binary event-detection benchmark from three physically distinct real sources -- Hi-net seismic waveforms, Utah FORGE 2024 borehole DAS, and MAFAULDA industrial vibration -- each mapped to a common 8-channel, 256-sample representation, and evaluate a fault-tolerant detector (CEPHALON) trained with per-sample sensor-dropout against standard detectors (a 1D convolutional network, a temporal convolutional network, and a compact Transformer) trained with an identical recipe. On clean data every model is near-perfect (AUC ~ 0.99). Under progressive sensor loss, simple models with sensor-dropout are already robust and CEPHALON holds no advantage. Under additive noise, however, CEPHALON degrades far more gracefully: at -2.5 dB its overall AUC is 0.939 versus 0.532-0.572 for the convolutional baselines. Same-architecture ablations isolate the cause: disabling internal redundancy at inference reduces the low-SNR advantage only modestly, whereas removing sensor-dropout training collapses it (0.899 to 0.603 at -5 dB). The training recipe is therefore the dominant cause and parallel redundancy only secondary. We release a complete, numbered, reproducible pipeline so that every figure can be regenerated.

Topological Data Analysis for High-Dimensional Dynamic Process Monitoring

Real-time process monitoring requires methods that extract actionable information from high-dimensional time-series data. In this work, we present a new approach for process monitoring that combines tools of topological data analysis (TDA) and machine learning. In the proposed approach, we represent multivariate time-series data as manifolds and use topological descriptors to summarize the structure of such data; we then use a neural ordinary differential equation to learn the dynamic evolution of the topological structure of the system. Using real data from an industrial process, we show that this trajectory-based event detection approach is effective at detecting diverse types of events. We contrast this approach against reconstruction-based approaches such as principal component analysis and autoencoders and against a trajectory-based approach that uses Koopman autoencoders.

Event Detection for Parameter-to-KPI Dependency Learning for AI-RAN

Next-generation wireless networks are expected to rely on multiple concurrent AI-driven control functions that optimize different network objectives simultaneously, particularly in AI-integrated and open radio access network architectures such as AI Radio Access Network (AI-RAN) and Open Radio Access Network (O-RAN). When these functions interact, they can interfere with one another in ways that are difficult to detect from raw network data alone. A key missing piece for managing such interactions is a reliable, interpretable dependency structure that captures which control parameters are actively influencing which network performance outcomes at any given time. This paper focuses on the event-detection step needed to support such dependency learning by converting noisy continuous telemetry into binary indicators of parameter activity and KPI response. The central difficulty is that not every fluctuation in the data reflects a genuine control interaction, so the method must distinguish real parameter-outcome relationships from background variation. Because real AI-RAN traffic traces with known parameter-KPI ground truth are difficult to obtain, we introduce a synthetic closed-loop traffic generator with planted latent dependencies. We use this controlled telemetry to evaluate a machine-learning-based dependency recovery pipeline that formulates the conversion of continuous traces into binary event indicators as a significance-detection problem. Experimental evaluation shows that the proposed pipeline reliably recovers the latent dependency structure from noisy continuous traces when the signal is sufficiently separated from background variation, while highlighting threshold calibration as the key factor controlling event-detection quality. These results constitute a foundational step toward interpretable dependency learning for adaptive AI-RAN control systems.

A Geometry-Informed Computer Vision Method for Detecting and Examining Overtaking Vehicles From A Bicycle

Instrumented bicycle studies have produced direct field evidence on vehicle passing behavior, but extracting overtaking events from continuous rear-facing video has remained dependent on manual, frame-by-frame annotation. This bottleneck constrains sample sizes and limits naturalistic cycling safety research. We present a geometry-informed computer vision pipeline that automates overtaking event detection from a single bicycle-mounted camera without multi-sensor configurations or explicit camera calibration. The system combines RT-DETR object detection with ByteTrack multi-object tracking through a three-stage geometric validation module enforcing bearing angle trend, apparent size growth, and spatial confirmation criteria derived from perspective projection principles. Validated on 315 manually annotated real-world overtaking events from urban roads in Ann Arbor, Michigan, the pipeline achieved 97.8% recall with zero false positives. The system identified overtaking intentions a mean of 2.44 seconds before vehicle passage, with 84.1% of events exceeding the 1.5-second human reaction time threshold, demonstrating feasibility for active cyclist warning. Lateral passing distance measurements from 96 events revealed 33.3% of passes below the 5-foot (152.4 cm) threshold, consistent with non-compliance rates in prior field and self-reported studies. A preliminary calibration-free lateral distance estimation approach using bounding box geometric features achieved mean absolute errors of 13-14 cm under leave-one-out cross-validation, sufficient to distinguish close passes from standard passes for safety categorization. By automating event isolation from consumer-grade footage, the system removes the primary annotation bottleneck of instrumented bicycle research and provides a scalable foundation for vehicle-bicycle interaction analysis across larger datasets and diverse urban environments.

VISTA: Validation-Guided Integration of Spatial and Temporal Foundation Models with Anatomical Decoding for Rare-Pathology VCE Event Detection -- after competition results

Capsule endoscopy event detection is challenging because clinically relevant findings are sparse, visually heterogeneous, and evaluated at the event level rather than by frame accuracy. We propose VISTA, a metric-aligned multi-backbone framework for the RAREVISION task. VISTA combines EndoFM-LV for temporal context and DINOv3 ViTL/16 for frame-level visual semantics, followed by a Diverse Head Ensemble (DHE), Validation-Guided Weighted Fusion (VGWF), and Anatomy-Aware Temporal Event Decoding (ATED). The original official submission achieved hidden-test temporal mAP@0.5 of 0.3530 and mAP@0.95 of 0.3235. After the competition, extending local threshold refinement with a global coarse search improved performance to 0.3726 mAP@0.5 and 0.3431 mAP@0.95, ranking Team ACVLab second in the post-competition evaluation.

Don't Pause! Every prediction matters in a streaming video

Streaming video models should respond the moment an event unfolds, not after the moment has passed. Yet existing online VideoQA benchmarks remain largely retrospective. They pause the video at fixed timestamps, pose questions about current or past events, and score models only at those moments. This protocol leaves streaming predictions untested. To close this gap, we introduce SPOT-Bench, featuring multi-turn proactive queries that evaluate general streaming perception and assistive capabilities required by an always-on, real-time assistant. SPOT-Bench comes with Timeliness-F1, a consolidated metric that measures streaming predictions by their temporal precision and balanced coverage across the entire video. Our benchmark reveals: (i) offline models detect events reliably but spam predictions unprompted; (ii) post-training for silence reduces spamming but induces unresponsiveness; (iii) half of the streaming video expects no response, which we term dead-time - compute spent here does not affect response latency. These findings motivate AsynKV, a training-free streaming adaptation of offline models, that retains their event perception while improving their streaming behavior. AsynKV features a long-short term memory, utilized efficiently by scaling compute during dead-time. It serves as a strong baseline on SPOT-Bench, outperforming existing streaming models, and achieves state-of-the-art on retrospective benchmarks.