Fine-grained recognition often involves hierarchical label spaces, where a model may be confident about a coarse semantic concept while remaining uncertain among its descendant classes. Such structured ambiguity requires uncertainty representations that capture both fine-grained classes and intermediate concepts. However, existing tools each capture only half of it: flat evidential classifiers quantify total ignorance with a single vacuity on the leaf frame, and hierarchical classifiers propagate point probabilities with no notion of evidence. Hyper-opinions would unify the two, but their general form is exponential in the label count, and existing hyper-evidential networks either require composite labels to be supplied in the training data or read them off an unstructured weight pattern, with no principled notion of which composites deserve mass. We observe that the taxonomy itself is the missing hyperdomain. Its subtrees and leaf singletons form a linear-size focal family, and one local Dirichlet opinion per branching node induces every composite mass in closed form. The resulting model, H$^2$EDL, can be interpreted in two complementary ways using the same set of parameters. From a prediction perspective, it functions as a hierarchical classifier that preserves consistency across different levels of the label tree. From a probabilistic perspective, it defines a valid tree-structured hyper-opinion, where the mass assigned to each node represents the belief that reaches that node but does not provide sufficient confidence to further specialize into its descendants. On FGVC-Aircraft and DERM12345, H$^2$EDL reduces calibration error by approximately half compared with cross-entropy baselines, with the improvement becoming more pronounced at deeper hierarchy levels and under larger training budgets.
Variational autoencoders generate samples from probabilistic latent representations but do not distinguish uncertainty about the latent location from variability around it. We formulate ELVAE, an evidential learning-based VAE in which each latent coordinate is governed by an input-dependent normal-inverse-gamma posterior. This hierarchy yields an explicit latent-location uncertainty that can be used during generation, not merely reported after inference: low-uncertainty anchors support more reliable synthetic samples, while high-uncertainty anchors can be deliberately exploited for stress testing. The objective is an exact evidence lower bound, and we show that direct regularization of the full hierarchy is required, since the marginalized latent law alone cannot identify the uncertainty decomposition. In an MNIST generation pilot with a frozen external classifier, this uncertainty clearly stratified the semantic reliability of generated digits. A zero-displacement control revealed that most of the effect reflects how reliably an anchor can be re-generated, while a smaller but distinct component is attributable to uncertainty-scaled perturbation itself. The effect holds only under within-class uncertainty ranking, and its magnitude varies across seeds. These findings support the learned latent-location uncertainty as a practical control variable for uncertainty-aware generation, separating anchor reliability from perturbation-induced failure.
Multimodal fusion architectures typically assume all modalities are available at inference, yet sensor failures, acquisition variability, and cost constraints routinely produce incomplete observations. Existing work treats modality absence as a prediction-accuracy problem, leaving a more basic question unanswered: whether a model's confidence estimates remain calibrated when an entire input stream is removed. We argue that missing-modality robustness and calibrated uncertainty are a single coupled property, and introduce Modality-Conditioned Conformal Fusion (MCCF), an architecture that addresses both at once. MCCF combines a multimodal bottleneck fusion backbone trained with modality dropout, per-modality evidential heads producing modality-decomposed Dirichlet distributions, and a Dempster-Shafer combination rule that fuses the per-modality evidence into a joint predictive distribution; an absent modality contributes vacuous evidence that is structurally ignored, so the fused uncertainty automatically reflects the reduced information without test-time imputation. A Mondrian conformal calibration module keyed on the modality-presence mask then provides finite-sample group-conditional coverage for every non-empty modality subset. MCCF is, to our knowledge, the first method with formal coverage guarantees under arbitrary modality availability through architectural integration rather than post-hoc recalibration, and the evidential decomposition yields per-modality vacuity scores that localise uncertainty to the absent modality responsible. Across a synthetic problem and three real multimodal benchmarks, MCCF holds its target coverage on every modality-presence subset, substantially narrows the coverage gap between full and partial modalities relative to a marginal split-conformal baseline, and imposes no measurable accuracy cost relative to temperature-scaled and evidential baselines.
Javier Fumanal-Idocin, Javier Andreu-Perezcs.LG cs.AI
Interpretable classification often requires more than accurate predictions for real-life deployment: models should be transparent about the evidence behind their decisions and abstain when they cannot decide reliably. We introduce Fast Evidential Rule Learning (FERL), a method that learns interpretable, accurate fuzzy rule models whose outputs are evidential. Unlike post-hoc calibration, FERL's belief, plausibility, and abstention capabilities arise directly from the fuzzy memberships in a single deterministic pass, with no auxiliary head, held-out set, or repeated inference. Our theoretical analysis further shows that FERL is Lipschitz stable, which means that its evidential outputs vary smoothly with the input. Against state-of-the-art rule learners, FERL is statistically significantly more accurate across a 30 tabular-dataset benchmark ($+2.6\%$ average accuracy over the second best). Its native set predictions attain the best utility-discounted accuracy among credal classifiers ($u_{65}/u_{80}=0.80/0.83$ vs.\ $0.79/0.80$ for the naive credal classifier), at higher set coverage ($0.92$ vs.\ $\le0.82$). FERL also matches dedicated out-of-distribution detectors on tabular near-OOD detection ($77.7$ vs.\ $77.4$ AUROC for the strongest baseline). Under detector-class-disjoint concept-bottleneck evaluation, its it is within $2.3$ AUROC points of the strongest dedicated detector on both CUB and AwA2, while attaining the best AwA2 AUPR-Out ($68.3$) and novel-class rejection ($57.2$), while being able to name which attributes are anomalous.
Existing methods for multimodal sentiment analysis (MSA) under missing modalities usually follow a repair-first paradigm. We revisit this assumption and ask: \emph{should every missing modality be repaired?} A per-sample oracle analysis shows the answer is not always: full-modality input is optimal for only a small fraction of samples, and every modality subset is preferred by some samples. These results suggest that adding or repairing modalities may not always improve prediction, and that the utility of each modality is sample-dependent. Building on this finding, we propose \textbf{S}ufficiency-\textbf{I}nformed \textbf{E}vidential \textbf{V}al\textbf{vE} (\textbf{SIEVE}) that turns ``whether to repair'' into an explicit, learnable decision at the sample level. SIEVE compares a direct prediction branch with a repair branch, derives an empirical sufficiency signal from their per-sample loss gap, and routes each input through an evidential gate that jointly models sufficiency and its epistemic uncertainty. SIEVE is repair-agnostic: it operates as a plug-and-play decision on top of any explicit or implicit repair module, without modifying its internal design. Experiments on CMU-MOSI and IEMOCAP show that SIEVE consistently improves representative repair backbones across evaluated missing rates, and approaches the per-sample dual-branch achievable optimum.
Maher Boughdiri, Mounira Msahli, Albert Bifetcs.CV cs.AI
Deep neural networks (DNNs) have shown outstanding performance in visual recognition tasks within vision sensor networks; however, they are still vulnerable to adversarial manipulations and imperceptible perturbations that can lead to erroneous predictions. To address that, this paper presents AEGIS, a semantic aware and uncertainty guided adversarial detection framework designed for robust image classification in vision sensors pipelines. At its core, a SemantiGAN module functions as a multi class semantic discriminator, identifying and filtering visually inconsistent adversarial inputs before they propagate further in the pipeline. For inputs that pass this stage, a stochastic augmentation process generates test time variations, from which handcrafted instability metrics FlipScore, Prediction Inconsistency, Layerwise Cosine Similarity (early and mid layers), and Entropy are computed. These features are aggregated into a compact five dimensional vector and processed by an Evidential Deep Learning (EDL) classifier, which models output evidence using a Dirichlet distribution to yield both class predictions and calibrated uncertainty estimates. Evaluations on the Tiny ImageNet dataset across six categories clean, FGSM, PGD, patch based, functional, and geometric attacks demonstrate the effectiveness of AEGIS. The proposed framework achieves an AUROC of 92.1\%, an AUPRC of 90.2\%, and an accuracy of 90.7\%, outperforming conventional softmax-based detectors in terms of detection performance, robustness, interpretability, and uncertainty calibration.
In multi-object text-to-image (T2I) diffusion, ensuring semantic consistency between textual prompts and generated visual content is crucial for image synthesis. However, such consistency constraint is often underemphasized in the denoising process of diffusion models. Although token supervised diffusion models can mitigate this issue by learning object-wise consistency between the image content and object segmentation maps, it tends to suffer from the problems of segmentation map bias and semantic overlap conflict, especially when involving multiple objects. In this paper, we propose ELDiff, a new evidential learning-supervised T2I diffusion model, which leverages the advantages of uncertainty metric and conflict detection to enhance the fault tolerance of unreliable segmentation maps and suppress semantic conflicts, strengthening object-wise consistency learning. Specifically, a pixel evidence loss is proposed to restrain overconfidence in unreliable labels through evidential regularization, and a token conflict loss is designed to weaken the contradiction between semantics through optimizing a measured conflict factor. Extensive experiments show that our ELDiff outperforms existing training based and train-free based T2I diffusion models on SD v1.4, SD v2.1, SDXL, SD v3.5, and Qwen-Image, without requiring additional inference-time manipulations. Notably, ELDiff can be seamlessly extended to the existing training pipeline of T2I diffusion models. Code can be found at https://github.com/QingtaoPan/ELDiff.