Sahong Park, Suhwan Park, Hoyoung Lee +8cs.AI cs.CL q-fin.GN
Large language models (LLMs) are increasingly used in investment decision-making, yet prior work shows that they exhibit systematic, model-specific investment preferences. We study whether a model's overall investment stance can be calibrated to a specified direction and strength. We introduce an investment-bias dial, an inference-time intervention on a single neuron that continuously adjusts a model-level decision prior---its overall tendency toward buying or selling---without targeting specific firms or investment attributes. Using matched positive and negative evidence, we evaluate five open-weight LLMs and find that the dial produces monotonic changes in investment stance without modifying prompts or model parameters. At the response level, the dial shifts both investment decisions and the evidential emphasis of generated rationales under identical inputs. In an agentic retrieval setting, the dial also changes what information the model searches for, which evidence it selects, and which evidence is reflected in its final analysis. In a long-context evaluation, the dial maintains stable stance control as context length increases, whereas a matched system-prompt instruction progressively attenuates. We further show that changes in the dial propagate to security rankings and downstream portfolio composition in an exploratory backtest. Overall, our results show that an LLM's aggregate investment stance can be calibrated toward a specified target at inference time.
A financial AI agent can repeat a decision while changing the tools, order, or recorded arguments and results used to reach it. Outcome-only evaluation misses this variation, even when it matters for replay and change control. DFAH-Bench operationalizes the Determinism-Faithfulness Assurance Harness (DFAH), where faithfulness means fidelity of observable execution under replay, not answer correctness. The protocol qualifies comparable, sufficiently observed replays and measures decision agreement (DAR) and tool-path agreement (TAR) over the same eligible groups. We analyze 4,157 retrospective episodes from configurations with observed tool use across 719 synthetic compliance and financial DataOps groups, together with an argument-aware prospective extension comprising 570 eligible episodes across 190 groups. In that extension, decisions agree 94.2-95.1% while exact tool-name paths agree 66.9-69.4%, producing 25.8-27.3 percentage-point gaps; argument-and-result trajectory agreement falls to 45.0-51.5%. Even among unanimous-decision groups, paths vary in 66.7-68.9% under task weighting. DFAH-Bench makes the execution behind a stable decision visible for replay, investigation, and change review.
Financial decision-making tasks such as stock recommendation and portfolio allocation typically estimate future return and risk and then select trades or allocations for an investor, and the chosen optimization objective often determines realized performance. However, because market conditions evolve over time, a fixed objective can be suboptimal across regimes, while regime-switching pipelines that rely on latent regime estimates can be noisy or delayed and frequent switching can increase turnover and operational instability. In this paper, we propose DOSS (Dynamic Objective Selection with Safeguards), a learning-based selector that directly chooses the decision-relevant objective function at each time point from interpretable statistical summaries of recent returns, selecting among a small set of candidates (e.g., return-seeking, loss-averse, and risk-adjusted) without introducing intermediate regime variables. DOSS formulates objective selection as a classification problem over objectives and performs sequential updates with a rolling window to make forward-looking selections without temporal leakage, while also outputting a confidence score for each proposal. To mitigate misselection and excessive switching in deployment, DOSS applies confidence-aware gating with a fail-safe that overrides low-confidence proposals to a conservative default and enforces explicit controls tied to switching frequency. We further integrate governance by positioning a Large Language Model (LLM) as an oversight component rather than a generator of new objectives: the LLM is restricted to accept a proposed objective or override it to a predefined safe default, with deterministic rule-based constraints triggering overrides when needed.