Multi-Level Bayesian Calibration of a Multi-Component Dynamic System Model

This paper proposes a multi-level Bayesian calibration approach that fuses information from heterogeneous sources and accounts for uncertainties in modeling and measurements for time-dependent multi-component systems. The developed methodology has two elements: quantifying the uncertainty at component and system levels, by fusing all available information, and corrected model prediction. A multi-level Bayesian calibration approach is developed to estimate component-level and system-level parameters using measurement data that are obtained at different time instances for different system components. Such heterogeneous data are consumed in a sequential manner, and an iterative strategy is developed to calibrate the parameters at the two levels. This calibration strategy is implemented for two scenarios: offline and online. The offline calibration uses data that is collected over all the time-steps, whereas online calibration is performed in real-time as new measurements are obtained at each time-step. Analysis models and observation data for the thermo-mechanical behavior of gas turbine engine rotor blades are used to analyze the effectiveness of the proposed approach.

Generative Design of a Gas Turbine Combustor Using Invertible Neural Networks

The need to burn 100% H2 in high efficient gas turbines featuring low NOx combustion in premix mode require the complete redesign of the combustion system to ensure stable operation without any flashback. Since all engine frames featuring a power range from 4 MW up to 600 MW are affected, a huge design effort is expected. To reduce this effort, especially to transfer knowledge between the different engine classes, generative design methods using latest AI technology will provide promising potential. In this work, this challenge is approached utilizing the current advances in generative artificial intelligence. We train an Invertible Neural Network (INN) on an expandable database of geometrically parameterized combustor designs with simulated performance labels. Utilizing the INN in its inverse direction, multiple design proposals are generated which fulfill specified performance labels.