Predicting spatial gene expression from hematoxylin and eosin (H\&E)-stained images offers a cost-effective alternative to spatial transcriptomics (ST). However, existing methods treat H\&E images as generic visual inputs and ignore their intrinsic biological hierarchy, where spatially organized cell types collectively form functional tissue microenvironments that govern local gene expression programs. To bridge this gap, we formulate H\&E-to-ST prediction as a cross-modal semantic translation task and propose Path2ST, a hierarchically grounded autoregressive framework featuring three key components: (i) a Hierarchical Cell-Tissue Conditioning mechanism that fuses explicit and implicit cellular features with tissue-level semantic representations to construct hierarchical conditioning signals; (ii) a Scale-Adaptive Autoregressive Generation process over a hierarchical semantic vocabulary, enabling coarse-to-fine, biologically consistent expression synthesis; and (iii) SpectraLoss, a full-spectrum objective that jointly enforces ordinal fidelity, models transcriptional bursts, and aligns semantic structures with cell types. Extensive experiments on three datasets demonstrate state-of-the-art performance, validating that Path2ST generates highly accurate and spatially coherent transcriptomic profiles. The related code is released at https://github.com/RuochenLiu23/Path2ST.
Spatial transcriptomics can resolve gene expression at single-cell resolution, but it is costly, limited to targeted panels of a few hundred to a few thousand genes, and applicable to only a small number of samples. H&E imaging, by contrast, is cheap and collected routinely at scale. This makes predicting single-cell expression directly from morphology a practical way to bring molecular analysis to large tissue archives. We therefore present VOICE, a multimodal foundation model that predicts single-cell gene expression from H&E images using paired Xenium data. VOICE first aligns cell centered H&E morphology from a pathology foundation model with single-cell expression embeddings from a transcriptome foundation model, trained using contrastive learning over 23 million cells. Next it predicts expression through two branches. One branch directly regresses expression from morphology. The other branch retrieves measured expression from similar reference cells, recovering genes that do not have morphological signal. Because genes vary in morphological predictability, VOICE fuses the two branches with a per-gene weight. After training, VOICE generalizes to heldout patients, slides, and partially overlapping gene panels from Xenium, and it consistently outperforms prior single-cell expression prediction methods on seven metrics.
Predicting spatial gene expression from histopathology images enables large-scale transcriptomic profiling without the cost of direct measurement. Existing methods decode the target gene set as a flat, unstructured vector, ignoring the inter-gene dependencies arising from shared biological pathways and regulatory programs. Without explicit structural guidance, models must infer these dependencies entirely from limited paired data, constraining prediction quality. We propose MSGR (Multi-Scale Gene Refiner), which bridges this gap by incorporating the Gene Ontology (GO), a curated functional hierarchy of genes, as an explicit structural prior. MSGR organizes target genes into a four-level GO tree. Its GO-guided decoder then progressively refines predictions from coarse functional domains to fine individual genes via residual corrections under scale-weighted supervision. Operating solely on the gene side, the GO-guided decoder serves as a seamless plug-in replacement that consistently improves existing architectures without requiring any image-side modifications. Extensive experiments on nine datasets from the HEST-1k benchmark provide empirical evidence for two central claims: GO-structured decoding consistently outperforms flat decoding, even against a state-of-the-art generative baseline, and the gain is attributable to biological ontology structure rather than hierarchical decomposition per se, as confirmed by a +0.027 margin over a structurally equivalent random hierarchy.
Pathology foundation models are reported to encode molecular programmes in tissue morphology, but the evidence is usually a cohort-wide ranked gene list rather than a prediction for a held-out patient. We rebuild such an analysis with the patient as the unit of evidence and ask which pipeline component carries signal. Across 11 frozen backbones, four pre-specified gene programmes and 285 TCGA-BRCA patients with paired slides and RNA-seq (44 cells; GroupKFold by patient, all preprocessing fitted inside the fold), ridge regression on mean-pooled embeddings predicts held-out programme scores at Spearman rho = 0.25-0.56, UNI2 strongest on all four (immune 0.556). A matched permutation null gives raw p ~ 1e-4 at 10,000 permutations for every cell; Holm-adjusted p = 0.0044. The signal is real but not uniformly morphological. Against competing models on the same patients and folds, embeddings beat tissue composition for ER/luminal, proliferation and immune (+0.280, +0.284, +0.479; p <= 0.003) but not basal, where compartment fractions alone reach 0.469 against the embedding's 0.493 (p = 0.77). Fifty-four interpretable cell-count features come within 0.043-0.085 on every programme. The geometric machinery contributes nothing measurable, and we identify why: the geodesic graph selects neighbours by Euclidean nearest-neighbour search and only reweights edges already chosen, so the topology is Euclidean by construction (Riemannian minus Euclidean = +0.0010, 95% CI [-0.0007, +0.0029]). Applied consistently the geometry is worse (-0.0117). Ridge regression beats the graph-and-metric decoder by +0.097 (CI [+0.069, +0.127]). The driver-count metric common in this literature is near-uninformative here: 91.8% of random six-gene panels recover >=5/6 drivers.
Predicting spatial gene expression from routine hematoxylin and eosin (H&E) images provides a practical complement to experimental spatial transcriptomics. Existing approaches focus on local or multi-scale visual features and often treat pretrained gene representations as fixed priors, although the interpretation of local morphology and the relevance of gene priors depend on tissue context. We propose HistoGPA, a context-conditioned gene-prior attention framework that uses a shared slide-level representation in two parallel pathways: one modulates local morphological features, whereas the other conditions pretrained gene embeddings and retrieves gene-prior information through cross-attention. This design enables each spatial location to retrieve context-adapted gene-prior information using its local morphology, position, and slide context. Across ten cancer types in HEST-1k, HistoGPA achieves the highest macro-averaged gene-wise Pearson correlation coefficient among the compared methods under the same evaluation protocol for both the top-50 and top-1,500 highly variable gene sets. Additional analyses show that HistoGPA better recovers the spatial expression patterns of cancer-associated genes and yields greater agreement between clusters derived independently from predicted and ground-truth expression profiles. Together, these findings motivate a context-dependent view of histology-to-expression prediction, in which local morphological representations and gene priors are jointly adapted to the broader tissue context.
Kritanu Chattopadhyay, Soumya Chatterjee, Ondrej Krejcar +1cs.LG q-bio.GN
Spatial transcriptomics assays remain costly and technically demanding, restricting transcriptome-wide profiling to specialist settings and preventing routine clinical deployment. Predicting spatially resolved gene expression from H&E histology could close this gap, yet current methods largely ignore the underlying tissue architecture and rarely quantify how their predictions can be trusted. We introduce HierarchicalDAEW, a dual-graph architecture that addresses both gaps. On the spot graph, a Domain-Aware Edge-Weighted convolutional operator learns separate projections for inter-domain, intra-domain, and boundary edges derived from Leiden clustering, allowing the model to treat tissue heterogeneity as an explicit structural signal rather than an implicit one. A second gene-level graph then fuses protein-protein interaction priors from STRING-DB with tissue-specific co-expression through learned attention gating, propagating predictions from a landmark gene set to a broader gene panel. Reliability is handled through evidential uncertainty estimation, which produces far better calibrated confidence intervals than Monte Carlo dropout under identical conditions. Across six human Visium sections spanning breast, colorectal, prostate, and cerebellar tissue, and against thirteen published baselines, HierarchicalDAEW achieves the strongest correlation with ground-truth expression, with gains that hold up under multi-seed reproducibility checks and negative controls that rule out positional shortcuts. Ablations further confirm that both the domain-aware edge typing and the hierarchical depth are necessary to this improvement, and calibrated uncertainty estimates identify low-confidence predictions for pathologist review before clinical action.
Spatial transcriptomics enables profiling of spatial gene expression but is limited by high cost and low throughput, motivating prediction from H&E histopathology images. Existing context-aware methods mainly supervise absolute expression, while relative expression relationships between spots are rarely used explicitly. We propose COAST, a context-aware differential learning framework for spatial gene expression prediction. COAST conditions the local and global context features with type-specific modulation and aggregates the target and context spot tokens using a Transformer encoder to capture both fine-grained local patterns and slide-level structure. It is trained with a joint objective that combines absolute expression regression with signed differential regression between the target and context spots. Experiments on multiple spatial transcriptomics datasets show consistent improvements in correlation- and distribution-based metrics, demonstrating the effectiveness of context-aware differential learning for histology-based spatial gene expression prediction.
Joohyeok Kim, Taejin Jeong, Jinyeong Kim +1cs.CV cs.AI
The high cost of spatial transcriptomics (ST) has driven extensive studies into predicting gene expression directly from H&E histology images. However, this prediction task faces an inherent limitation, as tissue morphology alone provides insufficient information to fully resolve underlying gene expression. To address this limitation, a recent study leverages partial gene expression to guide the prediction process alongside histology images. Building on this paradigm, we approach the prediction task as a spatial imputation problem, employing a Masked Autoencoder (MAE) to utilize a small fraction of gene expression as genetic anchors for inferring whole-slide gene expression profiles. Specifically, we propose a bio-saliency score and a learning-to-rank strategy to adaptively identify the most informative spots within the tissue. Based on these identified spots, our framework selects contiguous regions as genetic anchors to ensure suitability for real-world ST profiling hardware. To effectively leverage these anchors, we design a cross-modal joint encoder that integrates visual and genetic modalities. By aligning the selected anchors with their corresponding visual features via contrastive learning, the encoder generates robust joint representations to accurately predict gene expression across the whole slide. Notably, our framework consistently surpasses existing methods in both histology-only prediction and spatial imputation, achieving superior accuracy even without genetic anchors and further excelling with as little as 10% transcriptomic coverage. Our code is available at https://github.com/Kyyle2114/CAMMST.
Histology-based single-cell spatial transcriptomics (ST) estimation aims to predict gene expression for individual cells from histopathological images and cell locations, reducing the need for costly single-cell ST measurements. Unlike existing histology-to-ST methods that mainly predict spot-level profiles for local regions containing multiple cells, this task requires modeling cell-to-cell expression variability, which is strongly structured by cell type. We propose Genomics-Guided Cell-Type-Specific Mixture-of-Experts (GC-MoE), which estimates cell-type probabilities with a routing network and softly combines cell-type-specific experts for gene expression prediction. To further encode cell-type-dependent gene programs, we introduce the Cell-Type-Specific Co-Expression-Aware Predictor (CAP), together with a lightweight Cell-to-Cell Interaction Attention (C2CA) module for neighboring-cell context. Experiments and ablations on public single-cell ST datasets show consistent improvements over existing single-cell and adapted spot-level baselines.
Spatial transcriptomics offers spatially resolved gene expression profiling within tissue sections, but its cost and limited throughput hinder large-scale deployment. To extend this capability to routine practice, recent computational methods aim to infer spatial gene expression directly from ubiquitous hematoxylin and eosin-stained histology slides. However, most existing models assume Cartesian or geometry-agnostic locality, despite the hexagonal sampling of widely used spot-array platforms, and point-wise regression objectives often yield over-smoothed gene expression profiles, obscuring gene-specific spatial heterogeneity. To address these, we propose HEXST, a geometry-aligned Transformer for spatial gene expression prediction from histology. HEXST operates directly on hexagonal spot coordinates to enable efficient local-to-global contextual modeling via tailored shifted-window attention mechanism and hexagonal rotary positional encoding. To enhance gene-wise spatial contrast, HEXST complements point-wise regression with a contrast-sensitive differential objective and transcriptomic priors from a pretrained single-cell foundation model during training. Across seven spatial transcriptomics datasets, HEXST consistently outperforms state-of-the-art models, providing accurate and robust spatial gene expression predictions while preserving gene-wise contrast and spatial heterogeneity.