Haibin Xiong, Shaoheng Dai, Peng Lan +4cs.LG cs.DB
Accurate prediction of undrained shear strength (su) is crucial for geotechnical design, but is often hampered by substantial uncertainty in traditional empirical methods. This study uses the CLAY/10/7490 global database to develop probabilistic indirect models to predict su based on Atterberg limits and piezocone cone penetration (CPTU) measurements. Firstly, the dataset has a high missing data rate and variability. We test three imputation methods - multivariate normal (MN), multiple imputation by chained equations (MICE), and miss forest (MF) - to fill the missing values. To validate their effectiveness, a Probabilistic Extreme Gradient Boosting (PXGB) model is developed, and the imputation methods are evaluated by comparing the PXGB's performance when trained on the imputed datasets against that on the original incomplete data. Secondly, the indirect model is built by integrating a multi-head attention (MHA) mechanism into an artificial neural network (ANN) to enhance information extraction from limited data, which leads to the MHA-based probabilistic neural networks (MHA-PNN) model. The models' performance, alongside a conventional MN-based prediction model, was evaluated using root mean square error (RMSE), coefficient of determination (R2), mean absolute percentage error (MAPE), conditional interval width (wCI), and coverage rate (CR). Results demonstrate that the proposed MN-enhanced MHA-PNN model substantially outperforms other models in both prediction accuracy and uncertainty quantification. These findings highlight the potential of this integrated strategy for building robust probabilistic indirect models in geotechnical applications, particularly when confronted with sparse and incomplete datasets.
This study presents a comprehensive field validation of a multi-resolution Convolutional Long Short-Term Memory (ConvLSTM) framework for predicting retaining wall deformation during staged excavation. The framework is trained on Gaussian noise-augmented numerical simulations and integrates ConvLSTM models operating at different temporal resolutions through a stacking ensemble strategy. The proposed framework is validated using field monitoring data from 34 inclinometers across 11 excavation sites in South Korea. Site-wise prediction performance is systematically evaluated using multiple evaluation metrics, with analyses of the influence of temporal deformation irregularity and spatiotemporal prediction characteristics on model performance. The results demonstrate that the framework predicts retaining wall deformation associated with up to 5.0 m of additional excavation with an average mean absolute error of 1.4 mm and a coefficient of determination of 0.93 across the excavation sites. These results indicate that the framework, although trained exclusively on numerically simulated and augmented database, can be effectively applied to diverse field excavation conditions and achieve a reliable level of prediction accuracy in practical retaining wall deformation prediction.
This study develops a two-domain physics-informed neural network framework for contaminant transport through a GCL/SL composite liner system, in which the thin GCL layer is treated using a steady-state advection-dispersion-biodegradation formulation and the underlying soil liner is modeled as a transient transport domain. Two formulations are evaluated against analytical and finite-element reference solutions under different leachate-head conditions: a standard PINN with soft constraint enforcement (Std-PINN) and a hard-constrained PINN (H-PINN), in which selected boundary and initial conditions are embedded directly into the trial solutions. The Std-PINN captures the overall breakthrough behavior but shows larger errors during the early transport stage, particularly under higher leachate heads where advective transport becomes more pronounced. The H-PINN reduces the optimization burden associated with penalty-based constraint enforcement and provides more accurate and stable concentration predictions, lowering the MAE from approximately 0.058-0.067 for the Std-PINN to about 0.011-0.023 for the H-PINN, while reducing the MRE from approximately 9.10%-19.16% to about 2.08%-3.14%. Parametric analyses confirm that the H-PINN with the tanh activation function and an optimized network structure provides the best predictive accuracy. The H-PINN is further extended to inverse modeling for identifying the SL degradation half-life from limited concentration observations, showing reliable convergence toward prescribed values and acceptable robustness under low-to-moderate observation noise.