Accurate modeling of sea ice concentration (SIC) evolution is essential for polar climate assessment and short?range sea ice prediction. Numerical and data-driven approaches constitute major foundations for SIC modeling, but the former often require complex parameterizations and substantial compu?tation, whereas the latter rarely encode physical dependencies explicitly. This study presents the Physics-Informed Hybrid Ice Model (PIHIM), a differentiable data-driven hybrid ice model for daily SIC evolution that organizes its network structure according to the physical dependencies encoded in the sea ice continuity equation and explicitly accounts for dynamical transport, ther?modynamically driven areal growth and loss, and unresolved local processes. PIHIM preserves the representation capacity of deep learning while providing a process-decomposed formulation of ice displacement, freeze-melt areal change, and local error closure. Two evaluation settings are adopted: reanalysis-forced simulation examines SIC evolution stability under reanalysis forcing, and forecast-forced prediction assesses short-range performance un?der forecast-forced conditions, with reanalysis and observational SIC serving as verification references. Results indicate enhanced ice-edge preservation and error-growth control in reanalysis?forced simulation, while PIHIM retains measurable short-range prediction skill under forecast-forced conditions. Our code will be made publicly available after the paper is accepted.
We propose a method to optimize the correlation among convolutional neural network (CNN) features that are used as inputs to quantum neural network (QNN) to enhance image classification accuracy. Unlike prior approaches that employ orthogonal decomposition as preprocessing, we intentionally introduce correlated features that are more physically compatible with QNN. This design leverages the QNN's inherent ability to exploit quantum entanglement for representing correlated states-an advantage unavailable to classical neural networks. We hypothesize that aligning feature correlations with the entanglement structure of QNN improves binary classification performance. Based on a mathematical derivation of QNN outputs, Monte Carlo simulations indicate that an average correlation between features of 0.5 yields optimal classification accuracy. To validate this finding, we evaluate a quantum-classical hybrid model on three tasks: CIFAR-10 (automobile vs. truck), Fashion-MNIST (shirt vs. coat), and radar micro-Doppler signatures (robotic dogs vs. non-robots). To regulate feature correlations, we introduce a correlation-regularization term on the outputs of the CNN, driving the off-diagonal entries of the feature correlation matrix toward a target constant. Across all datasets, inducing intermediate correlation consistently improved accuracy compared to low, high, or unregulated correlations, while also reducing classification accuracy variance. These results demonstrate that imposing moderate feature correlations-without modifying the quantum circuit-enhances classification accuracy and stability by aligning feature statistics with the QNN's entanglement structure. This study highlights the potential of QNN to surpass the performance of classical classifiers as more qubits become available.
Accurate multipath parameter estimation is critical for modern wireless communication systems, particularly in challenging low-SNR environments. Traditional Maximum Likelihood Estimation algorithms, such as CLEAN, provide high-resolution parameter extraction but suffer from prohibitive computational complexity due to exhaustive grid search. Conversely, purely data-driven deep learning approaches lack physical grounding and struggle to generalize across variable multipath densities and off-grid parameters. To address these limitations, this paper proposes Neural Network-Assisted CLEAN (NN-CLEAN), a hybrid framework that embeds a multi-head residual network directly into the iterative CLEAN extraction loop. By replacing the exhaustive grid search with rapid, parallelizable forward passes while delegating residual subtraction to exact mathematical models, NN-CLEAN isolates physical multipath parameters without accumulating non- physical errors. Extensive Monte Carlo simulations demonstrate that NN-CLEAN achieves estimation accuracy exceeding 96% at 5 dB SNR, matching the traditional Grid-Search CLEAN (GS- CLEAN) baseline, while providing a massive reduction in computational complexity and substantially outperforming subspace methods and standalone one-shot neural networks. Crucially, NN-CLEAN exhibits a near-flat scaling in execution runtime and memory consumption as batch sizes increase. This highly efficient parallelization establishes NN-CLEAN as a robust, real- time solution for channel estimation in MIMO systems.
Yu-Ting Lee, Huan-Hsin Tseng, Samuel Yen-Chi Chenquant-ph cs.AI cs.LG
Multivariate time series forecasting (MTSF) predicts future values of multiple variables from historical data. While quantum neural networks have been increasingly applied to this task, they typically rely on fixed local measurements, which restrict their expressivity. We propose MTSF-ANO, a simple hybrid model for MTSF that integrates variational quantum circuits with adaptive non-local observables (ANO). On the four ETT datasets, MTSF-ANO ranks first or second in MSE in 17 of 20 settings, improving over the strongest baseline by up to 20% on ETTh1, and outperforms or matches its fixed local observable counterpart across all settings. Our ablations show how the quantum circuit design and ANO non-locality affect performance. These results suggest that ANO is a promising direction for quantum time series forecasting.
Maneuvering target tracking in three-dimensional space remains a challenging problem due to complex motion dynamics and model mismatch. To address this, this paper proposes a hybrid model/data-driven algorithm named IMMNet, which integrates the interpretable structure of the interacting multiple model (IMM) algorithm with learnable neural components. Unlike end-to-end black-box methods, the proposed IMMNet algorithm not only can preserve the Bayesian inference mechanism that is essential for real-time radar applications, but also can adaptively learn motion patterns and noise characteristics from data. Extensive experiments demonstrate that the proposed IMMNet algorithm consistently outperforms the existing algorithms across various scenarios, validating it as a robust, interpretable, and practical solution for maneuvering target tracking.
David Aaron Evans, Jay C. Rothenberger, Kara J. Sulia +2cs.LG cs.AI physics.ao-ph
Forecast errors in high-resolution numerical weather prediction (NWP) systems are often linked to unresolved planetary boundary layer (PBL) processes, convection, terrain-induced circulations, and other vertically structured atmospheric phenomena. Previous work demonstrated that Long Short-Term Memory (LSTM) networks can successfully predict forecast errors in the High-Resolution Rapid Refresh (HRRR) model using mesonet observations, but we believe performance degradation is linked to periods of complex vertical atmospheric evolution. To address this limitation, we develop a hybrid LSTM-Vision Transformer (LSTM-ViT) framework that combines temporal sequence learning from surface observations with atmospheric profiles from the New York State Mesonet profiler network. The LSTM-ViT framework is trained to predict HRRR hourly precipitation, 10 m wind speed, and 2 m temperature forecast errors at individual mesonet stations. Across all three predictors, incorporation of profiler-derived atmospheric structure improves forecast error prediction skill relative to the baseline LSTM architecture, with the largest gains occurring at shorter forecast lead times and during periods of enhanced PBL activity. Improvements are particularly pronounced for precipitation forecast error, where the LSTM-ViT framework achieves approximately a twofold increase in predictive skill relative to the baseline LSTM while better capturing convectively driven error evolution and reducing degradation associated with PBL processes. These results demonstrate that combining temporal sequence learning with vertically informed attention mechanisms provides a physically meaningful pathway for improving forecast error prediction in operational NWP systems. Our research offers forecasters enhanced guidance regarding model bias and forecast confidence.
The rapid growth of social media has intensified the spread of rumours. This issue is more challenging in the Algerian context due to the informal and code-switched nature of dialectal content, the scarcity of annotated resources, and the limited effectiveness of standard Arabic NLP tools on dialect text. This paper presents an end-to-end rumour detection hybrid framework for Algerian dialect social media content. We build a domain-specific annotated dataset by combining real social media posts, synthetic data, and the FASSILA corpus, with automatic labeling based on a similarity-based annotation process. A transliteration pipeline is also introduced to generate parallel datasets in Arabic script and Arabizi. We evaluate multiple approaches, including classical machine learning, deep learning, transformers, and hybrid models. Experimental results show that a hybrid approach combining transformer embeddings with a classical classifier achieves the best performance, reaching an F1-score of 0.84. We also find that domain-specific pre-training is more important than model size, with social media-trained models outperforming larger models trained on formal Arabic corpora. These results demonstrate the feasibility of rumour detection in low-resource Algerian dialect settings.
Accurate electricity price forecasting (EPF) is essential for market participants to support operational planning and risk management, yet remains challenging due to strong volatility, nonlinear dynamics, and frequent extreme price spikes. These challenges are particularly pronounced in the Australian National Electricity Market (NEM), where high renewable penetration further increases uncertainty. This paper investigates week-ahead electricity price forecasting and proposes a hybrid KAN+XGBoost framework that integrates Kolmogorov-Arnold Networks (KAN) with tree-based learning. The proposed approach combines the global nonlinear representation capability of KAN with the local robustness of XGBoost to capture both long-term dependencies and short-term price fluctuations. Experiments are conducted on real-world NEM data using an expanding window evaluation strategy. The results demonstrate that the proposed model outperforms benchmark methods, including SARIMAX, Long Short-Term Memory (LSTM), standalone KAN, and XGBoost, reducing MAE by approximately 12% compared to XGBoost and by over 50% compared to a naive baseline. The results suggest that hybrid learning strategies provide an effective and robust solution for electricity price forecasting in highly dynamic electricity markets.