Aerial image-goal navigation requires an unmanned aerial vehicle (UAV) to reach a target location specified by a goal image. Existing world-model-based methods rank candidate trajectories using predicted futures, but typically rely on only one or a few point predictions, which is inadequate for large-scale outdoor environments with substantial future-state uncertainty. To address this limitation, we propose the Uncertainty-Aware Navigation World Model (UA-NWM), an efficient latent world model for aerial image-goal navigation, which formulates trajectory scoring as conditional out-of-distribution detection. UA-NWM represents plausible futures with an uncertainty subspace and decomposes the prediction--goal discrepancy into uncertainty-explainable and unexplainable components. Only the unexplainable residual is used for scoring, enabling robust selection without multiple future samples. Extensive experiments demonstrate that UA-NWM consistently outperforms existing navigation world models while maintaining low inference latency. Real-world UAV experiments further validate its practical applicability. Project page: https://duryi.github.io/UA-NWM-Project-Page
Hongtao Liang, Xinyu Shao, Chenxu Wang +5cs.RO cs.CV
A central challenge in image-goal UAV navigation under Global Navigation Satellite System (GNSS) denial is estimating metric distance and heading between current and goal views. Dense pairwise geometry models capture relative scene structure, but without a calibrated metric scale, they cannot directly provide reliable distance estimates for navigation. Although global scale calibration corrects the dominant scale bias, the remaining errors vary systematically with distance. In this paper, Range-Aware Scale Recovery (RASR) is proposed, which complements global scale calibration with range-aware residual correction. RASR encodes pairwise geometry extracted by a frozen Matching And Stereo 3D Reconstruction (MASt3R) backbone as a compact descriptor and separates the scale-recovery core from task-specific command calibration. On the official online evaluation of the UAVs in Multimedia 2026 PairUAV challenge, RASR achieved a total error of 0.003189, achieving a lower total error than global scale calibration alone. The results demonstrate that range-aware residual correction improves metric distance estimation beyond global scale calibration. Code and materials are available at https://github.com/lht-research/rasr-pairuav.