Nikola Milosevic, Asaki Kataoka, Nicolas Hinrichs +2cs.AI
We present an alternative characterization of the occupancy measure of reinforcement learning, obtained by embedding the planning criterion into the dynamics through a resetting planning process. Its stationary measure, which we term visitation measure, is the object on which the information geometry of decision making is most naturally expressed. The achievable visitation measures form a dually flat statistical manifold whose two affine charts are the visitation probabilities and the log-policies, dual under the conditional entropy. This structure makes planning-as-inference generalize from linear rewards to nonlinear functionals of the visitation, each iterate solved by one natural-gradient step, and gives the temporal-difference error the interpretation of a marginal-utility estimate. We develop the geometry and its consequences for reinforcement learning and theoretical neuroscience.
Fariborz Setoudehtazang, Geoffrey J. McLachlanstat.ML cs.LG
Informative label missingness can change the usual efficiency ordering between completely and partially labelled classifiers because the pattern of missing labels may itself carry information about the classification model. We develop a general likelihood-based theory for this phenomenon in parametric multiclass classification. An efficient-information decomposition separates information lost through unavailable class memberships from information contributed by the missing-label mechanism. We then derive a quadratic expansion of plug-in excess risk over the active pairwise faces of the multiclass Bayes boundary, showing that classification efficiency depends on how information gains and losses align with directions that perturb the decision boundary. This yields a classification-weighted generalized-eigenvalue criterion under which informative partial classification may have smaller asymptotic classification risk without globally dominating complete classification in Fisher information. Near missing completely at random, with the marginal missing-label proportion fixed, redistribution of missing labels changes lost class-label information at first order, whereas efficient information from the missingness pattern appears only at second order. Three-class quadratic discriminant calculations, finite-sample experiments, and a semi-synthetic multiclass application illustrate the resulting regime-dependent behaviour.
We study a class of product-reference diffusion algorithms for sampling from a discrete distribution. We show that their sampling performance can be characterized using a path-based measure of data geometry that we call the interaction growth complexity (IGC). We show that a bivariate IGC kernel gives an exact representation of both the KL discretization error and a simple one-step upper bound. The simpler univariate IGC density can be used to study the effect of stepsize choices on the iteration complexity required to obtain $ε$-accurate samples in KL divergence. Samplers that traverse the path with equi-spaced steps in log-squared-reliability-odds have performance that depends on the aggregate IGC mass, whereas refined choices of stepsizes have a lower complexity depending on a square-root functional. In the fine-grid limit, both of these characterizations become sharp. We also allow general product reference distributions and show that the reference law can substantially reshape the IGC profile and the resulting sampling complexity; in particular, references far from both the uniform and the data marginals can yield dimension-dependent improvements. Finally, the aggregate IGC mass admits bounds in terms of total correlation and dual total correlation, thereby connecting the pathwise geometry to classical measures of multivariate dependence.
We study landscapes for complex-parameterized networks. Our approach is motivated with an information-theoretic manifold perspective of the parameter and via classical optimization guarantees although of complex geometric variety such as through Dolbeault asymptotics. The descent path admits a Kähler information metric under a cross-entropy via the Wirtinger Hessian on the log-likelihood potential. We restrict attention to a descent update rule with natural gradient descent via a differentiated loss scaled by the inverse metric, so the descent path remains in the holomorphic tangent bundle. We emphasize Calabi-Yau information manifolds which profane theoretical guarantees via an ill-curvature-conditioned landscape. Under a Calabi-Yau metric, specifically in a non-compact setting with a global potential so defined geometrically rather than invoking the topological requirements of the Calabi conjecture, a wedged nowhere-vanishing holomorphic form is the top exterior product of the Kähler form up to constants, yielding a constant determinant condition. Under a fixed determinant, a metric almost low rank up to an eigenvalue tolerance implies a blow-up effect. Moreover, it has been discovered that negative curvature subverts the loss landscape, specifically sectional curvature, so we expand on this and draw interconnections to negative-definite Ricci curvature. Our arguments primarily exist in a geometric analytic modality, although we establish roots in deep learning theory such as through asymptotics at initialization and connections through failure modes of neural network guarantees under vanishing and negative Ricci curvature.
Mykola Lukashchuk, Kyrylo Yemets, Alex Ledbetter +1cs.LG cs.AI
We show that the natural-gradient stationary condition of variational inference has an edge-local form on a Forney-style factor graph. We start from the Bethe free energy and constrain a selected edge marginal to an exponential family. At a stationary point, the natural parameter of that edge equals the sum of two projected messages, one from each incident factor. Each projected message is the natural-gradient projection of the exact belief-propagation log-message at the current receiving marginal, or equivalently, the gradient of its expectation in the so-called mean coordinates. We call the resulting scheme natural-gradient message passing (NGMP). The rule is local; each edge may carry its own exponential family, and the message a factor sends depends on the marginal that receives it. Compared with variational message passing, NGMP keeps the part of the exact message that the receiving family can represent instead of averaging the factor under the neighboring beliefs. The two coincide when the uncertainty on the edges entering a non-conjugate factor vanishes, and NGMP is more accurate when that uncertainty persists, for example, along a partially observed latent chain or when parameters are filtered through successive data batches. Experiments on Poisson smoothing, heteroskedastic regression, and hourly ETTh forecasting confirm this and show that the gain appears mainly in uncertainty calibration.
Tsallis statistics generalizes Boltzmann-Gibbs statistical mechanics through a single real parameter $q$ that controls the weight assigned to rare and frequent events. Originally proposed to describe physical systems with long-range correlations, multifractal geometry, and heavy-tailed fluctuations, the framework has become a recurring ingredient in modern artificial intelligence (AI): it underlies sparse attention mechanisms (\textsc{sparsemax} and $α$-\textsc{entmax}), maximum-entropy reinforcement learning with controllable exploration, robust and heavy-tailed probabilistic models, and a family of generalized loss functions and regularizers. This paper offers a structured perspective on where Tsallis statistics meets AI. We first review the mathematical core: $q$-entropy and its variational (maximum-entropy) foundation, the $q$-exponential and $q$-logarithm, the $q$-central limit theorem, $q$-Gaussian distributions, and their dynamical origin in superstatistics, emphasizing the properties that matter for machine learning. We then survey applications across softmax generalization, reinforcement learning, sequential and graph neural models, generative and probabilistic modeling, loss design, and optimization, extracting the recurring design pattern in each case: a tunable interpolation between dense/uniform and sparse/peaked behavior governed by $q$. We further argue that the heavy-tailed weight spectra and gradient-noise statistics empirically observed in deep networks are themselves nonextensive signatures, placing modern learning dynamics within the scope of $q$-statistics. Finally, we discuss methodological pitfalls, the relationship to information geometry and $q$-exponential families, and open directions, arguing that $q$ should be treated as a learnable inductive bias rather than a fixed hyperparameter.
Conventional uniform convergence bounds and empirical risk minimization break down in massive over-parameterized models, such as large language transformers and biological sequence networks. With near-infinite unconstrained internal degrees of freedom, their optimization landscapes develop flat vertical gauge valleys, rendering classical generalization metrics vacuous and inducing severe pathologies, specifically generative hallucination and catastrophic forgetting. We introduce the Statistically Meaningful Geometry (SMG) framework, an information-geometric paradigm lifting deterministic parametric models into infinite-dimensional non-parametric Orlicz statistical manifolds. Modeling the total state space as a differential fiber bundle ($\mathcal{M}, \mathcal{B}, π, \mathcal{V}, \mathcal{H}, ω$), we establish a Two-Fold Inference Paradigm. We formalize an Ehresmann connection 1-form $ω$ as a dynamic geometric filter that strips away vertical gauge noise (Structural Internal Directions, or SID) and isolates learning trajectories along the strictly non-degenerate horizontal distribution (Statistical Variational Directions, or SVD$χ$). We prove that under connection-filtered pre-training, out-of-distribution predictive variance is strictly upper-bounded by the finite diameter of the identifiable quotient base manifold $\mathcal{B}$, establishing a hard geometric containment of generative hallucinations. By projecting downstream updates onto the orthogonal complement of the historical horizontal carriage, we formalize the SMG Sequential Adaptation Flow, proving the total non-asymptotic elimination of catastrophic forgetting. SMG replaces empirical fine-tuning heuristics with coordinate-free topological constraints, bridging advanced differential geometry with structural reliability in AI.
Alexandre L. M. Levadacs.LG cs.AI cs.CV cs.IT stat.ML
The informativeness of a training set is as consequential as its size, yet most sampling strategies remain agnostic to the intrinsic geometry of the data distribution. We introduce CuBAS (Curvature-Based Adaptive Sampling), an information-geometric framework for adaptive data selection in supervised classification, grounded in the q-state Potts Markov random field (MRF) model. The central insight is that a labeled dataset can be viewed as a statistical manifold, on which local curvature, estimated via the ratio of second to first-order observed Fisher information, faithfully encodes the geometric complexity of the data distribution. We construct a k-nearest-neighbor graph over the labeled data and derive a closed-form curvature score at each vertex from the Potts sufficient statistics. This curvature signal partitions the graph into two complementary regimes: low-curvature regions, corresponding to smooth, homogeneous clusters, and high-curvature regions, concentrated around decision boundaries that are disproportionately informative for classification. By selecting nodes from both regimes, CuBAS constructs compact yet maximally informative training subsets. Empirical evaluation across more than 60 benchmark datasets demonstrates consistent and statistically significant improvements over random sampling and uncertainty-based baselines, across a wide range of labeling budgets and classifier architectures. CuBAS is computationally efficient (linear in the number of k-NN graph edges), theoretically grounded in the differential geometry of statistical manifolds, and interpretable in terms of the local shape operator of the data manifold.
Graph-based narrative extraction relies on a coherence function to score transitions between events, but the coherence metrics in current use are defined operationally and lack an information-theoretic foundation. We study the composite metric $C=\sqrt{A\cdot T}$, where $A$ is the angular similarity of document embeddings and $T=1-d_{\mathrm{JS}}$ is a topic proximity from the Jensen-Shannon distance of soft memberships, and give it an information-geometric reading together with an axiomatic characterization of the geometric-mean combinator. On the product manifold $\mathbb{S}^{d-1}\timesΔ^{K-1}$, the negative log-coherence decomposes additively into an angular and a topic cost. Because the Riemannian metric tensor induced by the Jensen-Shannon distance on the simplex is proportional to the Fisher information matrix, the topic component is locally consistent with the Fisher-Rao metric singled out by Chentsov's theorem. Within the compensability spectrum of combinators, the geometric mean is the unique one consistent with four natural axioms (a boundary/veto condition, symmetry, log-additivity, normalization), and the construction motivates a proper product metric $d_\times$. Experiments on four corpora, three embedding families, and three topic models are consistent with the framework: the Fisher identity holds ($R\ge0.99$), the geometric mean tracks $d_\times$ closely ($ρ=0.999$), and a downstream LLM-as-judge check finds it is not dominated by any alternative combinator or single-channel baseline. Sweeping the spectrum, the bottleneck-coherence gap between extracted and random storylines splits into a symmetric component, maximized at the geometric mean across five corpora, and a displacement term; a cross-modal image-narrative case study reproduces the effect. These results justify the composite coherence metric and articulate when the geometric mean is the natural choice.
T. Lucas Makinen, Deaglan J. Bartlett, Niall Jeffrey +1cs.LG astro-ph.IM physics.comp-ph physics.data-an stat.ML
When two or more parameters or labels produce similar data, they are degenerate, or hard to distinguish. Degeneracies render both label prediction and inverse problems difficult, since both machine learning algorithms and probabilistic samplers rely on the distinguishability of data and its gradients with respect to parameters. However, identifying degeneracies in physical models or real-world datasets can be elucidating about the choice of model or the underlying process that produces the data. We present the degeneracy distillery, a method that (1) detects and (2) resolves degenerate parameter combinations (a) automatically and (b) symbolically, from parameter-data (or parameter-simulation) pairs alone, through estimation and flattening of the Fisher information matrix. By exploring the information geometry of the likelihood, we characterize degeneracies as an intrinsic property of the physical model, requiring no realised data observation. We demonstrate our approach on a range of synthetic and real-world problems, discovering symbolic coordinate transformations that identify the combinations of parameters of a model which yield independent effects on the data. The resulting coordinates flatten the Fisher information in expectation globally, in contrast to posterior-based methods that flatten only at a single point, and substantially reduce the simulation budget required for downstream neural posterior estimation. In test cases we require up to $10\times$ fewer simulations for posterior estimation at matched validation calibration whilst simultaneously gaining physical insight on the system.
A finite agent, a machine's digital twin or any bounded reasoner, infers a fixed and noisy world through finite sensors, so its coherent output is a belief: a probability density over states (the Bayes posterior). Such an agent stops short of certainty, and revising a belief carries a cost. We propose a framework for belief costs based on optimal transport, motivated by these facts. We pose two postulates. P0 (the arena): a revision cost is a scalar price on optimal transport, so beliefs live in Wasserstein space. P1 (uniform pricing): one nat of knowledge costs the same metric length everywhere, the eikonal condition. Among conceivable pricing rules we study this one. Under P0 and P1 the cost metric is optimal transport conformally reweighted by Fisher information, $\tilde g_{e,U}=2(e+U)\,g_{W_2}$, and the Fisher family is a characterization: among continuous reliefs, uniform pricing is equivalent to $U=cJ$. Two consequences follow on the conformal class. Certainty sits at infinite cost-distance once the relief dominates the Fisher information, so a well-posed inference has a cost floor diverging at certainty (necessity conjectural beyond power laws). On location-scale leaves the geometry is hyperbolic, and the Stam bound places the Gaussian as the most curved one (at $e=0$). The results are geometric, in nats, and hold up to units: a change of cost unit rescales all distances and preserves every conclusion (boundary, eikonal family, hyperbolicity, Gaussian extremum), a gauge theorem; a global change of state units at $e=0$ is an isometry; the content lies in signs, rankings and ratios. Via Landauer (one nat worth $k_BT$) the cost floor becomes an energy floor: revising toward certainty would demand unbounded energy. Physics anchors the unit and enters no theorem. Removing either postulate leaves the selection open.
Singular learning theory and information geometry have studied the same parameter spaces in mostly separate vocabularies: the former computes Bayesian invariants in resolved coordinates, the latter works in original coordinates under a non-degeneracy assumption that overparameterised models routinely violate. We bridge them through one primitive, the dead direction: a unit vector along which the Fisher metric degenerates, equivalently a tangent to the analytic singular set with a definite KL order, set by how fast the KL divergence vanishes. The two readings name the same vector; our central move shows its KL order is recoverable as the decay rate of the directional Fisher curvature approaching the singularity, in original parameter coordinates and without a Hironaka resolution. A selection rule on smooth fibres translates this rate into Watanabe's single-direction contribution to the real log canonical threshold, and we extend the recovery to multi-component crossings, multiplicity $m$, the singular fluctuation $ν$ (universal in the KL order for 1D directions), prior-RLCT shifts, and tempered posteriors. We then lift this rate to a deep network: a multi-layer K-FAC factorisation writes each Fisher block as a product of activation- and gradient-side rates with a duality between them, instantiated at modern-network primitives (residual streams, layer normalisation, attention). A quotient theorem carries the rate to the gauge quotient $Θ/G$ under gradient flow on a $G$-invariant metric; SGD qualifies, standard Adam does not, and we construct a $G$-equivariant Adam-family preconditioner (DDCAdam) that does. The bridge yields a parameter-coordinate handle on singular geometry, closed-form per-architecture predictions, and a trajectory-rate readout of Watanabe's triple $(λ, m, ν)$ from one checkpoint's forward and backward passes, without posterior sampling.
This study introduces the Kerimov-Alekberli model, a novel information-geometric framework that redefines AI safety by formally linking non-equilibrium thermodynamics to stochastic control for the ethical alignment of autonomous systems. By establishing a formal isomorphism between non-equilibrium thermodynamics and stochastic control, we define systemic anomalies as deviations from a Riemannian manifold. The model utilizes the Kullback-Leibler divergence as the primary metric, governed by a dynamic threshold derived from the Fisher Information Metric. We further ground this framework in the Landauer Principle, proving that adversarial perturbations perform measurable physical work by increasing the system's informational entropy. Validation on the NSL-KDD dataset and unmanned aerial vehicle trajectory simulations demonstrated that our model achieves effective real-time detection via the FPT trigger, with strong performance metrics (e.g., high accuracy and low FPR) on benchmark datasets. This study provides a rigorous physical foundation for AI safety, transitioning from heuristic, rule-based ethical frameworks to a thermodynamics-based stability paradigm by grounding ethical violations in quantifiable physical work and entropic information.