Ngoc Luyen Le, Marie-Hélène Abel, Bertrand Laforgecs.IR cs.AI
Learning analytics models can identify students at risk of poor performance, but they do not directly indicate which interventions are feasible, actionable, and compatible with educational constraints. This paper introduces SC2R, a semantics-constrained counterfactual recourse framework for educational decision support. SC2R combines a calibrated predictive model, integer-programming-based recourse generation over discrete action variables, a lightweight RDF vocabulary for intervention-plan representation, and SHACL validation for enforcing timing, budget, immutability, and availability constraints. The framework is evaluated offline on the OULAD dataset using snapshots constructed relative to each assessment at two decision horizons. Results show that the predictive component provides strong performance, that compact intervention plans can be generated at scale, and that semantic validation reveals infeasible plans that lighter optimization-only settings would otherwise accept. Rather than claiming causal improvement in student outcomes, this work shows that counterfactual recourse becomes more operationally meaningful in education when recommendations are not only model-valid, but also semantically feasible and machine-checkable.
Qingchuan Lyu, Yingxin Li, Albert Yangcs.LG cs.CY stat.AP
Learning analytics often treats unsupervised clusters of intelligent tutoring system (ITS) logs as learner types that should predict learning. We test that assumption on EdNet-KT3. Clustering study-strategy features (resource use, revision, video, problem practice) for 5{,}000 active learners yields a silhouette-selected parent cut ($k=5$) with 4 contrast poles (reading-focused, video-heavy, revision-heavy, and problem-first) plus a large near-mean residual ($\sim$64.9\%). Reclustering that residual adds four finer styles, giving a bootstrap-stable hierarchy of 8 named strategies. We split each learner's timeline by respond count so clusters use only the early half and outcomes only the late half. Early clusters predict later engagement (continuing to practice and finishing late sessions, especially persistence, $η^{2}\approx 0.106$; completion $η^{2}\approx 0.021$) but not later unassisted accuracy (correctness on late first-attempts without help; $p_{\mathrm{adj}}\approx 0.093$). Volume rises with some styles, yet volume-only clustering barely matches strategy labels (ARI$=0.064$). A knowledge-tracing model (SAKT) on the seven TOEIC exam sections predicts next correctness only modestly better than a baseline that knows only how hard each section usually is (AUC lift $+0.051$; CI $[+0.045,+0.058]$), and that mastery signal is nearly independent of behavior styles (ARI$=0.007$). Behavioral clustering here describes study styles and engagement, not knowledge gains.
Rajan Kadel, Bellal Hossain, Samar Shailendra +1cs.HC cs.AI
Generative Artificial Intelligence (GenAI) can produce high-quality essays, code, and design artefacts, challenging the validity of conventional assessments that rely on single-point submissions and product-only grading. This paper proposes a design framework called "Dynamic Evidence Collection Ecosystem" that shifts assessment toward continuous, authentic, multi-source evidence of student learning over time. The framework collects process evidence through iterative artefacts, design logs, activity rounds, self-reflection, and peer collaboration, supported by an AI-enabled layer for learning analytics, formative feedback, and transparency. The approach is grounded in recent assessment-redesign scholarship in AI-rich contexts and aligned with contemporary views of authenticity in assessment. This paper builds on the hypothesis that academic integrity is strengthened when it is treated as an assessment design rather than as an AI detection problem. The tools have limitations and risks of use that carry academic penalties. This paper presents an implementation scenario to support institutional adoption.
Existing predictive models in learning analytics often treat student academic history as a simple sequence, overlooking the concurrent nature of courses taken within a semester. This simplification can lead to inaccurate performance predictions, particularly for students with heavy or challenging course loads. This paper introduces a TRansformer for Academic Course-grade Estimation (TRACE) that addresses this limitation by jointly predicting both the set of courses a student will take and their corresponding grades for an upcoming semester. Our approach encodes courses on a per-semester basis to capture the effects of course concurrency and utilizes a novel loss function combining course-set prediction with grade prediction. We demonstrate that predicting courses taken in addition to the grades in those courses leads to significant improvements in prediction quality. Trained on ten years of institutional data, our joint prediction model reduces mean absolute error by nearly 50% compared to an identical architecture that predicts grades alone. The model also outperforms traditional LSTM-based sequential models, as well as graph neural network-based approaches, and offers natural ways to incorporate student attribute data. This work demonstrates the utility of modern neural architectures for creating interpretable models that can be adapted to new institutions via retraining and recalibration, as well as the importance of key techniques, such as predicting courses taken during training. We discuss how this model could be incorporated into early detection systems at institutions of higher education.
Medical history taking is a dialogue-based clinical reasoning task in which learners must gather, organise, and integrate patient information while the consultation unfolds. Generative AI-powered virtual patients (GenAI VPs) make repeated history taking practice scalable and preserve full turn by turn dialogue. However, these logs are educationally difficult to use directly. Complete transcripts are too detailed for routine teacher review, whereas final scores obscure whether learners followed up patient cues, checked uncertainty, or used summaries to guide later questioning. This study examined whether coded GenAI VP dialogues can provide teacher-interpretable process evidence of clinical reasoning. We analysed 1{,}030 GenAI VP dialogues from 210 second-year medical learners across five weeks chest-pain cases. Each consultation was teacher-scored using a rubric assessing the full history taking dialogue, and consultations were classified within each week as high- or low-rated using the weekly median score. To explain how rated performance was reflected in the dialogue process, we applied three analytic layers to the same coded dialogue data: behavioural prevalence, local co-occurrence using Epistemic Network Analysis, and sequential transition using Transition Network Analysis. High-rated consultations involved more history taking activity, but differences were not simply about volume. High rated consultations more often connected information gathering and symptom exploration with communication, checking, organisation, and synthesis. Summarising and organising moves more often led to verification or mechanism-oriented follow-up. These findings show how layered analysis of GenAI VP dialogue logs can reveal process patterns associated with high rated history taking and support process-focused feedback in medical education.
Digital learning platforms generate rich behavioural traces (digital markers) that offer the potential to identify struggling students early. This paper investigates whether a combination of traditional and digital markers can predict failure in a first-year CS1 course (Computer Systems and Architecture) with sufficient recall to enable timely intervention. Using data from four cohorts (2017-2021, N=284) at a large public university in sub-Saharan Africa, we conducted a mixed-methods stakeholder elicitation to identify ten candidate factors. These were operationalised into a comprehensive feature set spanning demographics, self-reported surveys, Moodle interaction logs, and continuous assessment scores. A systematic ablation study using logistic regression with 5-fold cross-validation and SMOTE+ENN resampling revealed that the most predictive feature subset was Base + Demo + LMS: weighted academic momentum (M = 0.1Q1 + 0.15Q2 + 0.2Q3 + 0.55T1), basic demographics (gender, sponsorship, COVID-19 cohort), and a binary indicator of any LMS activity. On a held-out test set, logistic regression achieved 74.7% accuracy, 0.742 macro F1, and an AUC of 0.800. At the default threshold of 0.5, the model identified 87% of failing students (recall = 0.87) with a 41% false positive rate. SHAP analysis confirmed that weighted academic momentum is the strongest predictor, followed by its interaction with LMS engagement. These results demonstrate that simple digital markers can power a practical early-warning system by the fifth week of the semester. Our main contributions are: (1) a multi-source dataset and a stakeholder-guided methodology; (2) an ablation study quantifying feature group contributions; and (3) an interpretable, high-recall model ready for deployment.
Kristina Schaaff, Quintus Stierstorfer, Valerie Heckelcs.AI cs.HC
In this study, we present a large-scale descriptive analysis of the use of an AI-based learning assistant (Syntea) in higher education. Based on objective log data from 77,543 students enrolled in distance studies, we examine usage patterns across gender, age group, study cluster, degree, and study mode. To date, existing research on educational chatbots has largely relied on comparatively small samples and self-reported survey data, while large-scale evidence on actual usage behavior remains limited. Our findings show that Syntea is already embedded in the study routines of many learners, but that usage differs across demographic and structural contexts. By identifying these patterns, our study provides an empirical basis for the further development of AI-based learning support and contributes a large-scale analysis of educational chatbot usage in higher education.
Generative AI tools provide novice programmers with instant, personalized support, but also raise concerns about whether AI use supports or bypasses students' regulation of problem-solving. Existing work has largely focused on correctness, usability, or overall usage frequency, with less attention to how student--AI help-seeking unfolds. This study addresses this gap by analyzing AI-assisted help-seeking trajectories in university-level programming. Using an SRL-informed analytical framework that links prompt-level help-seeking codes to conceptual, implementation, debugging, and reflective forms of support, we analyzed 1,290 task-specific student prompts linked to 17,190 code submissions from 71 students in introductory Python programming courses. Specifically, we examined how help-seeking interactions were structured across turns and attempts, and how trajectory patterns related to task scores and the number of code submissions. Results indicate that many students primarily used AI for reactive troubleshooting rather than for planned, self-regulated problem-solving. Although trajectory patterns were not associated with significant differences in task scores, they differed substantially in the number of code submissions required. These findings suggest that the educational significance of AI support lies not only in whether students use AI, but in how their help-seeking trajectories develop during programming problem-solving.
Danielle R. Thomas, Marie Cynthia Abijuru Kamikazi, Clara Brandt +2cs.CY cs.AI
There exist numerous tutor training platforms. However, few provide AI-driven training and evaluation for human tutors based on real-life performance. We present an AI-driven system that assesses both open responses during training and authentic real-life tutoring. Unlike platforms that only assess learning through online training or simulations, our system utilizes Generative AI (Gemini-2.5-pro) to analyze transcriptions of authentic tutoring, measuring the transfer of tutor skills to real-life application. Human tutors instructing students remotely in math (N=86) completed six scenario-based lessons, averaging a significant 7.4% learning gain. Using mixed-effects models across 405 session-to-lesson pairs, we found that training performance significantly predicted real-life transcript scores with an effect size of 0.25 SD. Model comparison (AIC/BIC) indicated averaging open response and multiple choice performance during training predicted real-life tutor performance best, although open responses were comparatively more predictive. Exploratory analysis showed that after training, tutors were significantly more likely to encounter pedagogical opportunities to apply their skills (61.1% to 68.9%) and demonstrated higher execution quality within those opportunities (65.5% to 68.1%). Interrupted time series analysis suggested that these tutor improvements were part of a gradual trend over time rather than an immediate intervention effect of training. We illustrate an AI-driven method to link tutor training with real-life assessment. In doing so, we contribute open datasets, AI prompts, and scoring rubrics to support transparency and reproducibility.
Yawen Ma, Sahoko Ishida, Kate Cain +1cs.LG stat.AP
Digital learning environments record learners' responses to individual items, making it possible to study the development of specific skills rather than overall scores. Drawing conclusions about learning from these data requires a model that links responses to latent skills and tracks how mastery changes over time. When the skills measured by each item are unknown, the analyst must decide whether to estimate this structure, the Q-matrix, jointly with the learning process, or to establish it first and study learning afterwards. We show that this decision can change substantive conclusions about how learners develop. Using dynamic cognitive diagnostic models, we analyse data from two reading games measuring vocabulary and comprehension from Grade 2 to Grade 3, with item-text embeddings providing prior information for the unknown Q-matrix. A joint analysis and a bias-corrected stepwise analysis agree that most learners move toward mastering both skills, but disagree about how many remain only partially proficient at Grade 3, changing how reading progress would be reported. A simulation study identifies when the two analyses diverge and shows that joint analysis is more reliable when the item-skill structure is uncertain and the item pool changes between grades. We provide R code for both analyses.
Introductory programming (CS1) courses often struggle to support students' understanding of program execution. While visualizations can make execution processes explicit, their effectiveness depends on design and context, and empirical evidence for AI-generated visualizations remains limited. We propose Generated Animated Traces (GATs), AI-generated, analogy-based, narrated animations that coordinate source code, execution state, and conceptual analogies. We conduct a study at two institutions in CS1 courses (Python, N=961; Java N=151) comparing GATs to textual explanations. We measure immediate learning performance and experience, end-of-course engagement and exam performance. Results show that GATs can yield selective benefits for immediate learning, but benefits are context-dependent and short-term. We observe that GATs' influence on performance is moderated by learner engagement profiles. This finding underscores the importance of personalized approaches.
Effective peer feedback is essential for developing critical reflection in higher education, yet its impact is often limited by the inconsistent quality of student-generated comments. This paper presents the implementation and deployment of AICoFe (AI-based Collaborative Feedback), a system designed to bridge this gap through a human-centered AI approach. We describe a modular architecture that orchestrates a multi-LLM pipeline, utilizing GPT-4.1-mini, Gemini 2.5 Flash, and Llama 3.1, to synthesize quantitative rubric data and qualitative observations into coherent, actionable feedback. Key to the system is a "teacher-in-the-loop" mediation workflow, where educators use specialized Learning Analytics dashboards to curate and refine AI-generated drafts before delivery. Furthermore, we detail the underlying data infrastructure, which employs a hybrid SQL and MongoDB strategy to ensure traceability and manage semi-structured feedback versions.
Alvaro Becerra, Diego Gomez, Ruth Coboscs.HC cs.AI cs.SE
Providing timely and actionable feedback on oral presentation slides is challenging in higher education, particularly in large classes where teachers cannot realistically deliver detailed formative feedback before students present. This paper introduces AISSA (AI-based Student Slides Analysis tool), a web-based system that combines large language models (LLMs) and Learning Analytics dashboards to support scalable, rubric-based feedback on presentation slides. AISSA allows students to upload their slide decks prior to an oral presentation and automatically receive quantitative scores and qualitative feedback based on teacher-defined evaluation rubrics. The system analyzes both slide-level features and slide content, generates structured feedback through an LLM (ChatGPT 5.2), and presents the results through interactive dashboards for students and teachers. We tested AISSA on a pilot deployment with 46 undergraduate students in a real academic setting. The results indicate that AISSA is technically reliable, economically feasible, and perceived by students as useful for iterative slide improvement. These findings suggest that combining LLM-based analysis with Learning Analytics dashboards is a promising approach for supporting formative feedback on presentation slides at scale.