Amanda La Hadi, Muhammad Johan Alibasa, Guanliang Chen +1cs.CY cs.AI
Large language models (LLMs) are increasingly used for estimating item difficulty in educational assessment. However, it remains unclear whether such estimates reflect how learners actually experience difficulty. This study investigates the alignment between LLM-generated difficulty ratings and empirical student performance on basic mathematics tasks. Four widely used LLM-based systems generated difficulty ratings on a 1-100 scale for 32 arithmetic items across multiple runs (N = 640 ratings). These were compared with empirical difficulty derived from responses of 770 Indonesian undergraduates using Classical Test Theory (CTT) and Item Response Theory (2PL). Results show moderate rank correlations (Spearman's rho = 0.52-0.70), indicating that LLMs capture coarse ordering of item difficulty. However, substantial and systematic misalignment emerges in fraction items. Several items consistently rated as easy by LLMs were among the most difficult for students, such as an item with only 34.16% correct for 100 : 1/2. We argue that LLMs approximate curricular difficulty, or what should be easy based on instructional sequencing, rather than cognitive difficulty driven by learner misconceptions. This leads to systematic underestimation of misconception-driven items, a phenomenon we term the Easy Trap. These findings highlight a critical limitation of LLM-based difficulty estimation and suggest that relying on such estimates without empirical grounding may introduce bias in assessment design and adaptive systems.
Open-ended mathematics exams are valuable because they assess reasoning, proof construction, algorithmic thinking, and communication of intermediate steps. They are also difficult to grade at scale because instructors must apply partial-credit rubrics consistently while giving feedback that helps students repair misconceptions. This paper evaluates six contemporary large language model (LLM) configurations, Gemini 3.1 Pro Extended, Gemini 3.5 Flash, ChatGPT 5.5 Pro Extended, ChatGPT 5.5 Thinking, Claude Pro Opus 4.7, and Claude Sonnet 4.6, as grading assistants for an undergraduate discrete mathematics examination. The study compares two grading policies. The BASELINE policy uses a stricter rubric-following prompt that emphasizes explicit evidence and complete justification. The LIBERAL policy was added after preliminary grading showed that the baseline condition sometimes applied harsh point deductions and failed to recognize valid partial reasoning. Agreement with human grading is measured at both the question and exam-total levels using mean absolute error, root mean squared error, normalized root mean squared error, Pearson correlation, and exact agreement. The results show that liberal partial-credit prompting reduces average question-level error for every evaluated model family. ChatGPT 5.5 Thinking (LIBERAL) has the lowest average question-level MAE (1.87) and RMSE (2.53), while Gemini 3.1 Pro Extended (LIBERAL) has the lowest total-score MAE (8.00) and RMSE (10.66). However, the strongest total-score Pearson correlation occurs under Gemini 3.1 Pro Extended (BASELINE) at 0.58, showing that point calibration and rank preservation remain distinct goals. We also report practical usability observations.
As Competency-Based Education (CBE) is gaining traction around the world, the shift from marks-based assessment to qualitative competency mapping is a manual challenge for educators. This paper tackles the bottleneck issue by suggesting a "Human-in-the-Loop" benchmarking framework to assess the effectiveness of multiple LLMs in automating secondary-level mathematics assessment. Based on the Grade 10 Optional Mathematics curriculum in Nepal, we created a multi-dimensional rubric for four topics and four cross-cutting competencies: Comprehension, Knowledge, Operational Fluency, and Behavior and Correlation. The multi-provider ensemble, consisted of open-weight models -- Eagle (Llama 3.1-8B) and Orion (Llama 3.3-70B) -- and proprietary frontier models Nova (Gemini 2.5 Flash) and Lyra (Gemini 3 Pro), was benchmarked against a ground truth defined by two senior mathematics faculty members (kappa_w = 0.8652). The findings show a marked "Architecture-compatibility gap". Although the Gemini-based Mixture-of-Experts (Sparse MoE) models achieved "Fair Agreement" (kappa_w ~ 0.38), the larger Orion (70B) model exhibited "No Agreement" (kappa_w = -0.0261), suggesting that architectural compliance with instruction constraints outweighs the scale of raw parameters in rubric-constrained tasks. We conclude that while LLMs are not yet suitable for autonomous certification, they provide high-value assistive support for preliminary evidence extraction within a "Human-in-the-Loop" framework.