PlumeQuant: Uncertainty-aware consistency assessment of methane plume masks and emission-rate estimates

Imaging spectrometers increasingly distribute source-resolved methane plume products in which the plume mask, integrated mass enhancement (IME), plume length, emission rate, and uncertainty are physically and algorithmically linked. Using 63 EMIT-derived Carbon Mapper plume records from 27 scenes, we show that these published scalar quantities do not uniquely constrain the plume boundary: substantially different yet plausible masks reproduce the same IME, plume length, and emission rate. Genetic-algorithm (GA) ensembles conditioned on the published IME and plume length make this equifinality explicit: the high-confidence core selected by nearly all target-consistent masks covers a median of 13% of the plausible footprint envelope, and ambiguity is largest for weak, low-overlap plumes. The diagnostics come from PlumeQuant, which recomputes IME, plume length, emission rate, and five-term uncertainty from distributed product components under stated conventions and evaluates four mask representations: the distributed reference mask, a transparent Carbon Mapper-informed analogue (CM-like), the GA ensemble, and optional expert edits. The CM-like mask is generated per plume without access to the reference mask or published quantities, with settings fixed once on a scene-disjoint 44-plume development split. It reproduced published IME with +0.72% median difference and emission rate with +0.16% (6.98% mean absolute), reached 0.843 median intersection-over-union against the reference masks, and matched the published uncertainty scale (median ratio 1.01). Holdout mean absolute errors were 7.6% (IME), 9.5% (length), and 6.1% (rate). These are product-level consistency diagnostics, not independent validation. They flag weak, offset, or ambiguous plumes for expert review.

A Fast Methane Detection Pipeline on Board Satellites Based on Mag1c-SAS and LinkNet

Methane is a potent greenhouse gas, and detecting leaks early via hyperspectral satellite imagery can help climate change mitigation efforts. Meanwhile, many existing hyperspectral missions only capture areas manually targeted by operators, thus missing potential events of interest. To overcome slow downlink rates cost-effectively, onboard detection is a viable solution. However, traditional methane detection methods are too computationally demanding for resource-limited onboard hardware. This work accelerates methane detection by focusing on efficient, low-power algorithms. In particular, we test fast target detection ACE and CEM methods that have not been previously used for methane detection and propose Mag1c-SAS -- a significantly faster variant of the current state-of-the-art Mag1c algorithm. To explore their detection potential, we integrate them with a machine learning model based on U-Net and LinkNet. We evaluate our methods on the STARCOP dataset and a novel EMIT-MSeg dataset, which we introduce and open-source alongside a high-quality annotation strategy. The proposed Mag1c-SAS approach proves highly effective by operating ~80x faster than the original Mag1c approach, providing a visually similar, but noisier result. When additionally paired with the lightweight LinkNet approach, it effectively reduces noise, achieving AUPRC score improvements of over 30 pp on EMIT-MSeg compared to the baseline Mag1c approach, and an F1 score on STARCOP ~4 pp higher. We evaluate two novel band selection strategies and confirm the system's onboard viability through hardware profiling, demonstrating marginal power consumption and efficient CPU/RAM utilization. We release the final system in a user-friendly and lightweight PyPI library at: https://pypi.org/project/onboard-methane-detection/, alongside all experimental code, models, and data at: https://github.com/zaitra/methane-filters-benchmark.

FLAME: Physics-Guided Neural Operators for Onboard Satellite Methane Detection in Hyperspectral Imagery

Methane is a major driver of near-term climate change, and rapidly identifying its emission sources is a critical climate intervention. Spaceborne hyperspectral imagery is the primary tool for this task, but the volume of data produced by each sensor makes ground-based detection impractical and necessitates onboard detection. Classical methods incur prohibitive computational cost on onboard hardware, while deep learning models are fast but fall short on detection quality. We propose FLAME, a physics-guided neural operator that builds the physics of methane absorption directly into its architecture. On the methane detection benchmark, FLAME achieves the highest detection accuracy among all evaluated methods, reduces the pixel-level false positive rate by nearly $3\times$ over the strongest neural baseline, uses the fewest parameters among learned baselines, and runs within the latency budget of onboard satellite hardware.