Toward the Optimal Regret-Instability Trade-off in Multi-Armed Bandits

Multi-armed bandit algorithms are evaluated by regret, yet comparable regret can coexist with different allocations across independent runs. We study the trade-off between worst-case regret $\mathcal{R}_{K,T}$ and instability $\mathcal S_{K,T}$, defined as the largest standard deviation of a terminal pull count, for $K$ arms and $T$ rounds. We prove the finite-time lower bound $\mathcal R_{K,T}\mathcal S_{K,T}\ge C T^{3/2}$, where $C$ is independent of $K$ and $T$, under a finite-time regret condition and without the regularity assumptions imposed in the prior asymptotic analysis. We also introduce Stabilized Lower-Envelope UCB (\textup{\textsc{SLE-UCB}}), a new tunable algorithm combining a running lower-envelope index with a decreasing pull-count stabilizer. \textup{\textsc{SLE-UCB}} satisfies $\mathcal R_{K,T}\mathcal S_{K,T}=O(T^{3/2}\log K)$, with an implicit constant independent of $K$ and $T$, matching the lower bound exactly in $T$ and within a logarithmic factor in $K$. To prove the instability bound, we develop a new offline top-prefix representation that removes path dependence from online decisions. Together with single-reward perturbations and the Efron--Stein inequality, this representation controls pull-count variance. Thus, regret and instability depend reciprocally on $K$, while their product has no polynomial dependence on $K$. These results resolve the open question raised in the literature concerning the sharp arm-dependent regret--instability frontier.

Does 1/2-Tsallis-INF Also Work Well for Best-Arm Identification?

Regret minimization (RM) and best-arm identification (BAI) are two fundamental objectives in multi-armed bandits. Among regret-minimizing algorithms, $1/2$-Tsallis-INF is a canonical best-of-both-worlds FTRL algorithm: it achieves logarithmic pseudo-regret in stochastic bandits while retaining minimax-optimal regret in adversarial bandits, without knowing the environment in advance. This raises a natural question: can the same algorithm, without additional exploration, also identify the best arm reliably? We study this question in stochastic bandits by analyzing the failure probability $\operatorname{Err}_t$, defined as the probability that the empirical best arm determined by the cumulative importance-weighted loss estimates of 1/2-Tsallis-INF differs from the true optimal arm. The main difficulty is that, at the logarithmic-regret scale, suboptimal arms are sampled with probability heuristically of order $1/t$. Consequently, importance weighting causes the cumulative estimator to fluctuate on the same linear scale as its mean separation. To overcome this obstacle, guided by a diffusion toy model, we construct a Lyapunov function for the gap process between the estimated cumulative loss of the optimal arm and that of the best competing arm. This leads to polynomial upper bounds on $\operatorname{Err}_t$: for learning rate $η_t=α/\sqrt t$, $\operatorname{Err}_t$ decays at rate $t^{-2+α^2μ_{i_*}/4+ρ}$ for any $ρ>0$, where $μ_{i_*}$ denotes the mean loss of the true optimal arm. We also establish a lower bound $Ω(t^{-2-\varepsilon})$ for any $\varepsilon>0$, showing that the exponent $2$ is essentially tight.

Quantum Multi-Armed Bandits and Linear Bandits: Lower Bounds and Algorithms

We study quantum multi-armed bandits (QMAB) and quantum linear bandits (QLB) in the model of Wan et al. [2023], where the learner queries each arm or action through a quantum reward oracle or its inverse. Prior work gives algorithms over horizon $T$ with regret $O(K\log T)$ for QMAB with $K$ arms and $O(d^2\operatorname{polylog} T)$ for $d$-dimensional QLB. This leaves open whether the $K\log T$ scale is unavoidable and whether the $d^2$ dependence can be improved. We prove the first minimax lower bounds of $Ω(K\log(T/K))$ for QMAB and $Ω(d\log(T/d))$ for finite-action QLB, resolving the question raised by Wan et al. [2023] of whether regret independent of $T$ is achievable. At the heart of our argument is a high-confidence single-arm quantum testing lower bound for distinguishing a fixed reward mean from an interval of alternatives, proved by the polynomial method and a Remez-type inequality for trigonometric polynomials. A bandit-to-testing reduction then lifts it to the QMAB lower bound, while a linear embedding gives the finite-action QLB lower bound. Complementing the lower bounds, we give a design-based elimination algorithm for finite-action QLB. When the action set has size $\operatorname{poly}(d)$, its regret is linear in $d$, improving the prior $d^2$ dependence and matching our lower bound up to polylogarithmic factors. The algorithm couples a low-bias low-variance quantum mean estimator with a small-support $G$-optimal design through a query allocation matched to the design weights. The design-based elimination reduces the dimension dependence from $d^2$ to $d^{3/2}$ when using Quantum Monte Carlo estimates. The low-variance estimator then makes reconstruction error aggregate through variance rather than worst-case absolute error, removing the remaining $\sqrt d$ factor.

Robust Multi-Agent Bandits with Heavy-Tailed Rewards and Information Asymmetry

The multi-armed bandit problem is a central framework in sequential decision-making, extensively studied under sub-Gaussian reward assumptions. However, real-world applications often involve heavy-tailed reward distributions and decentralized, information-asymmetric interactions. We study multi-agent multi-armed bandits with heavy-tailed rewards under three information-asymmetry regimes: unobserved actions with common rewards, observed actions with independent rewards, and unobserved actions with independent rewards. We develop robust decentralized algorithms for each setting and derive regret guarantees that nearly match centralized heavy-tailed rates. Experiments on a Pareto-distributed reward environment validate our theoretical findings and illustrate the trade-offs between synchronization, coordination, and exploration across the three regimes.

LLM-Derived Priors for Thompson Sampling in Cold-Start Comment Recommendation

Multi-armed bandit algorithms, especially Thompson sampling, are widely used in online recommendation. Despite their ability to adapt from online feedback, these methods often suffer from cold-start limitations when newly introduced arms have little or no interaction history. In our setting, the candidate arms are user-generated textual comments, whose semantic content can reveal a title's appeal before sufficient interaction feedback is available. We therefore use large language models (LLMs) to extract semantic signals from comment text and convert them into informative Bayesian priors that warm-start Thompson sampling under sparse early-stage feedback. To account for aggregate segment-level differences in response patterns, we maintain and update posteriors separately for each gender-age segment. In a real-world online A/B/C test, we compare a uniform prior with two LLM-based designs: a Gender Prior for demographic-affinity cues and a Content Prior for title-specific identity cues. The results show that LLM-based priors are most beneficial in sparse-feedback regimes -- with the largest gains emerging once a small amount of interaction evidence has accumulated -- and that prior design leads to distinct funnel-level effects. We further analyze prior-reward alignment and demographic heterogeneity, finding that click-oriented alignment is strongest for the Gender Prior and that treatment effects vary substantially across demographic segments. These findings suggest that LLM-derived priors can serve as a practical warm-start mechanism for text-rich bandit recommendation, while also revealing deployment trade-offs.

Dominant Arm Identification with Mixing and Recycling Observed Samples

We study the problem of identifying the dominant arm in multi-armed bandits, where the objective is to find the action with the highest probability of exceeding the realized rewards of all other actions. Conventional mean-based and pairwise comparison-based algorithms often fail to identify the arm with the highest realized reward. To address this challenge, we introduce a novel dominant arm criterion and an efficient estimator with theoretical guarantees. Our approach relies on two key technical innovations: (i) a dominance score criterion that an arm beats the locally dominant over the partitioned reward space and (ii) a joint mixing and recycling mechanism coupled with a doubly robust estimator that guarantees simultaneous convergence of the empirical distribution functions for all arms. These key innovations pave a way to efficient computation of global arm dominance. Our proposed elimination algorithm identifies the best dominant arm with nearly optimal rate of sample complexity. Numerical experiments demonstrate that our algorithm consistently achieves exact recovery of the true dominant arm, outperforming existing baselines.

Convergence and Regret of the Policy Gradient for Multi-Armed Bandits in Diffusion Environment

This paper studies the policy gradient update for a multi-arm bandit problem in diffusion environment that is described by a stochastic differential equation (SDE) under the continuous-time reinforcement learning framework by Wang et al. (2020), Jia and Zhou (2022b). With the logit parameterization for the stochastic policy, we show that it converges almost surely to the optimal arm under an arbitrary constant learning rate. Furthermore, we derive the non-asymptotic regret upper bound when the constant learning rate is below a time-invariant threshold; and the regret bound has order $O(\log T)$. We improve the analysis in Lattimore (2026a) for the same SDE by constructing a novel Lyapunov function and demonstrate the transparency of analyzing policy gradient using the tools in SDEs. In addition, the same Lyapunov function is also helpful in analyzing the discrete-time policy gradient algorithm.

The Greedy Advantage in Finite-Horizon Bandits

Organizations increasingly rely on sequential experimentation to improve decision-making. While the multi-armed bandit literature has developed algorithms with strong asymptotic regret guarantees, many practical applications operate over finite and externally imposed horizons. Motivated by the finite-horizon setting, we develop a class of regularized greedy algorithms for multi-armed Bernoulli bandits. We derive the first finite-horizon regret envelopes for regularized greedy bandits, showing that finite-horizon regret decomposes into transient exploration costs and a suboptimal convergence term that decays exponentially with the regularization strength. This characterization yields principled calibration rules for the regularization parameters and, as a limiting case, sharper regret guarantees for the classical greedy policy. Across extensive numerical experiments, calibrated regularized greedy policies consistently match or outperform state-of-the-art algorithms. These results suggest that regularized greedy policies can provide an effective approach for finite-horizon bandit problems.

Short-Term Pain for Long-Term Gain: Adaptive Experiment with Post-Commitment Reward Shift

Decision-makers in learning environments face a dilemma when their short-term optimal actions may not favor their long-term benefits the most. To understand the fundamental tradeoff behind the dilemma, we study adaptive experimentation with post-commitment reward shifts. During an experiment phase, the decision-maker may adaptively test multiple options; during a subsequent commitment phase, the decision-maker must commit to a single option, whose reward may differ from its pre-commitment reward. We propose the Reserved Arm Eliminations for Commitment (RAEC) algorithm, which reserves a predetermined portion of the experiment phase to identify the best post-shift option while using the remaining rounds to minimize short-run regret. We establish regret upper bounds for RAEC across all parameter regimes and matching minimax lower bounds, providing a tight characterization of the cost of balancing short-term performance and long-term commitment. We also study two extensions. With prior structural knowledge linking pre- and post-shift rewards, we show that correctly identifying the ranking-changing component of the shift is more important than estimating its absolute magnitude. For settings with concave commitment rewards and portfolio choice, we develop the Reserved Online Stochastic Convex Optimization for Commitment (ROSCOC) algorithm, which directly converts its reserved exploration history into a commitment portfolio and achieves tight regret bound. Finally, we also conduct numerical experiments which confirm that our proposed algorithms achieve the desired regret predicted by our theory, and also outperform other baseline algorithms.

Algorithmic Approaches to Sequential Decision-Making and Social Epistemology

As humans, we face many decisions that require us to choose between sticking to something and giving up. This thesis uses algorithmic tools to derive insights about such decision-making problems in theoretical models, studying both near-optimal methods and outcomes of social and behavioral influences. Along the way, this thesis sheds light on what we gain and what we lose as we move from a messy and complex real world setting to a very general abstract model by studying various points along this spectrum. In Part I, we study algorithms for sequential decision-making in the improving multi-armed bandits problem. We provide nearly matching upper and lower bounds in the general case. Then, we then ask what is possible if we have access to similar instances to the one we wish to deploy our algorithm on. To that end, we provide guarantees in the data-driven algorithm design framework, showing that a polynomial number of samples is sufficient for learning good algorithms from a class of algorithms. In Part II, we study algorithmic approaches for problems in social epistemology. We start by analyzing what role theoretical models can play in the study of social problems. We then study social and behavioral influences in decision-making requiring investment. First, we provide mathematical formalism in which to study the formation of pessimism traps, a phenomenon identified by philosophers in which agents are influenced by their predecessors to engage in less-ambitious goals. We develop financial interventions to sustainably shift communities out of these traps. The second problem we study is the influence of grit as a behavioral trait in ambitious decision-making. Overall, these works seek to theoretically model phenomena in social epistemology and provide a framework for intervening algorithmically.

Price of Fairness in Bandits: A Tight Minimax Characterization

In bandit problems, standard regret-minimizing algorithms treat exploration as an amortized cost, which can expose early participants to unfair ex-ante losses in settings such as clinical trials. Recent work addresses this by evaluating the sequence of per-round expected rewards through the generalized $p$-mean, interpolating between utilitarian welfare ($p=1$), Nash welfare ($p\to0$), and Rawlsian fairness ($p\to-\infty$). Although tight guarantees are known for $p\ge0$, the strictly fair regime $q=-p>0$ remains unresolved because negative-power means are dominated by the smallest per-round rewards. For $σ$-sub-Gaussian rewards with nonnegative means, the best prior algorithm relied on uniform early exploration and achieved regret $O(k^{(q+1)/2}/\sqrt{T})$, while the only general lower bound was the classical $Ω(σ\sqrt{k/T})$. Thus it was unclear whether the extra dependence on $k$ was intrinsic to strict fairness or an artifact of uniform exploration. We close this gap by identifying the exact polynomial price of strict fairness. Using a needle-in-haystack construction, we prove an algorithm-independent lower bound $Ω(σ\sqrt{k^{\max(1,q)}/T})$; for $q>1$, this shows that the penalty $k^{q/2}$ is information-theoretically unavoidable. We then introduce \textsf{UCB-HARE} (Harmonic Anchored Rank Exploration), which replaces uniform exploration with an inverse-weighted harmonic rank schedule protected by a certified positive-mean anchor. Its regret is $\widetilde{O}(σ\sqrt{k^{\max(1,q)}/T})$, matching the lower bound up to logarithmic factors. Experiments on synthetic instances confirm that \textsf{UCB-HARE} improves over uniform-exploration baselines, with gains increasing as $q$ grows.

Link Adaptation Using Joint-Thompson Sampling

The choice of Modulation and Coding (MCS) type for a particular channel condition is made through link adaptation (LA) algorithms that operate at the MAC layer. These algorithms rely on the ACK/NACK statistics and the channel quality index (CQI) feedback. Several existing works model LA as a multi-armed bandit (MAB) problem across cellular and Wi-Fi links. In the MAB formulation, each available MCS is a Bernoulli arm parameterized by its transmission success probability, and the goal is to design a selection strategy that accrues maximum reward. Several popular MAB algorithms, such as upper confidence bound (UCB) and Thompson Sampling (TS), have been proposed in the literature. Using the fact that MCS success probabilities are ordered, we propose the Joint-Thompson Sampling (Joint-TS) algorithm. Unlike classical TS, which assumes independent Beta distributions for each arm, Joint-TS utilizes a multivariate ordered Beta distribution as the prior to preserve the inherent monotonicity of success probabilities. Our simulation results show that while existing MAB algorithms fail in specific scenarios, Joint-TS delivers competitive throughput with robust, consistent performance in all scenarios.

Learning from Local Walks on Dynamic Graphs with Bandit Feedback

We study stochastic multi-armed bandits on dynamic graphs, where arms correspond to the vertices of a network with time-varying edges. In this setting, the learner is restricted to local movement, selecting only its current node or an immediate neighbor at each round. This constraint decouples best-arm identification from exploitation: even after the optimal arm is identified, the learner may remain unable to reach it through the evolving topology. We identify a process-agnostic structural condition, based on sliding-window mixing, that ensures the graph's intrinsic walk remains stable for both exploration and navigation. Under this regime, we analyze a family of local explore-then-commit algorithms and establish sublinear expected regret. Our framework includes a reward-aware strategy, for which we prove a worst-case safety theorem and a separate performance gain theorem.

Leveraging Similarities in Multi-Armed Bandits

In many online learning and bandit problems, the actions we consider possess inherent similarities--for instance because they share latent traits, tags, or hierarchical structure. We study online learning with a similarity-structured action set, encoded by a rooted tree whose leaves are the actions and whose levels quantify how closely two actions are related. The loss sequence is assumed tree-compatible: losses of similar actions are constrained to be close. We establish an impossibility result showing that usual one-point bandit feedback cannot, in general, leverage range or tree-induced similarity, even under very strong similarity constraints. We then provide a unified set of algorithms which adapt to a wide range of richer feedback models, from semi-bandit feedback down to multi-point bandit protocols, including the minimal two-point feedback setting. We show these algorithms exhibit best-of-both-worlds guarantees and provably exploit action similarities by replacing the number of actions $K$ by a similarity-aware effective number of actions $K_{\mathrm{eff}}$ in the regret bounds. As an application, we show that under two-point feedback, it is possible to achieve $\sqrt{T}$ regret in Lipschitz bandits when $d \leq 2$.

Sequential Hiring of Contingent Workers Through Learning-Based Optimization

In this paper, we study a sequential workforce management problem in a contingent labor setting with uncertainty in both worker production and labor supply. A firm seeks to maximize cumulative profit by maintaining an active team of fixed size while learning worker productivity over time. We emphasize two critical operational frictions in this problem: replacing workers is costly, and workers may not be available immediately for hiring because of, for example, prior job commitments, scheduling constraints, or onboarding procedures. Thus, hiring decisions take effect only after a random delay. We formulate this problem as a stochastic multi-play bandit with costly switching and delayed actions, and develop a learning-based hiring policy, DR-UCB (DelayedReplacement-UCB), that makes replacement and hiring decisions sequentially through learning cycles. In each cycle, the policy uses real-time production data to determine when to initiate workforce changes and which workers to replace and hire. We show that the leading-order regret of the proposed policy matches its lower bound in its dependence on the time horizon. Our numerical experiments show that DR-UCB outperforms benchmark policies.

Bandits for Efficient Experimentation: Adapting to Control Group, Preferences, and Context Drifts

We consider a variant of the linear contextual stochastic multi-armed bandits, where the learner must provide recommendations to a group of users, each having its personalized preference vector, and in the presence of context distributions that are drifting over time. Under practitioner-friendly assumptions, we reduce this setting to linear bandit with stationary mean but heteroskedastic and non-stationary noise. We further study the case when the learner must ensure the mean reward of each decision must exceed that of a baseline strategy $\boldsymbolπ_0$ at each decision step. We introduce Dri-MED, an algorithm inspired from the linear version of the MED strategy, and carefully adapted to handle the non-stationary heteroskedastic noise. We show that the instance-dependent regret scales as $\tilde{\mathcal O}\left(\fracκ{\tildeΔ}d^2(\log(T)\right)$, where $\tildeΔ$ is the constraint-aware sub-optimality gap subject to policy $π_0$, with variance-aware multiplicative term $κ$ that we carefully handle using heteroskedastic regression. We further show Dri-MED enjoys $\tilde{\mathcal{O}}(d)$ expected constraint violations. Our numerical results suggest that Dri-MED significantly outperforms conservative baselines that ignores the drift and preference structure.

Constrained user-item allocation for e-commerce marketing campaigns

When running marketing campaigns, retailers must decide which products to promote and which users to target. These decisions are inherently coupled: effective campaigns match users and items with strong mutual affinity into non-overlapping groups of predefined sizes. However, existing approaches assume predefined campaign structure or decouple item selection from user assignment, and cannot discover campaign groupings directly from joint interaction patterns. We therefore formalize this campaign problem as auto-targeting: jointly selecting users and items to construct multiple disjoint campaigns. To solve this combinatorial problem, we propose three complementary strategies: (i) constrained spectral biclustering to find dense regions in the user-item affinity matrix, (ii) greedy local search with pairwise swaps for combinatorial refinement, and (iii) a multi-armed bandit framework to escape local optima through exploration. We evaluate these methods on a synthetic dataset, the Amazon Reviews benchmarks, and large-scale proprietary commercial data, and compare the results to simulated annealing as a baseline. The results show that biclustering consistently achieves the highest campaign quality, lift, and fairness scores. While biclustering runs efficiently on smaller datasets, its runtime increases substantially on very large ones, where bandit-based methods instead offer a scalable alternative.

Multi-Armed Bandits with Arriving Arms: Sequential Screening, Dynamic Regret, and Sublinear Guarantees

We study a stochastic multi-armed bandit problem in which the set of available arms expands over time. This setting arises in sequential experimentation when new actions or treatments become available during an ongoing study, making regret against a single best arm in hindsight inappropriate. We instead evaluate performance relative to the best arm currently available, leading to a dynamic-regret criterion for arriving-arm environments. To address the resulting challenges of arrival information discrepancy (AID) and a drifting benchmark (DB), we propose UCB for Arriving Arms (UCB-AA), an elimination-based procedure with an aiding preliminary screening step for newly arrived arms before full competition with incumbent arms. We show that UCB-AA attains regret bounds that depend explicitly on the arrival process, achieves sublinear dynamic regret under regularity conditions on gap evolution, and admits an online extension for unknown horizons. Simulation results show that UCB-AA reduces wasted pulls and maintains a smaller active arm set while preserving competitive regret performance.

MINTS: Minimalist Thompson Sampling

The Bayesian paradigm offers principled tools for sequential decision-making under uncertainty, but its reliance on a probabilistic model for all parameters can hinder the incorporation of complex structural constraints. We introduce a minimalist Bayesian framework that places a prior only on the location of the optimum, while eliminating nuisance parameters through profile likelihood. This yields a generalized posterior that naturally accommodates structural constraints. As a direct instantiation, we develop MINimalist Thompson Sampling (MINTS). For multi-armed bandits with mean constraints, we establish near-optimal non-asymptotic regret guarantees and sharp almost-sure asymptotic regret characterizations. In particular, MINTS attains the classical Lai--Robbins constant in the unstructured setting and automatically adapts to unimodal structure, achieving the sharp constant determined only by the immediate neighbors of the optimal arm.

Unified Framework of Distributional Regret in Multi-Armed Bandits and Reinforcement Learning

We study the distribution of regret in stochastic multi-armed bandits and episodic reinforcement learning through a unified framework. We formalize a distributional regret bound as a probabilistic guarantee that holds uniformly over all confidence levels $δ\in (0,1]$, thereby characterizing the regret distribution across the full range of $δ$. We present a simple UCBVI-style algorithm with exploration bonus $\min\{c_{1,k}/N, c_{2,k}/\sqrt{N}\}$, where $N$ denotes the visit count and $(c_{1,k},c_{2,k})$ are user-specified parameters. For arbitrary parameter sequences, we derive general gap-independent and gap-dependent distributional regret bounds, yielding a principled characterization of how the parameters control the trade-off between expected performance, tail risk, and instance-dependent behavior. In particular, our bounds achieve optimal trade-offs between expected and distributional regret in both minimax and instance-dependent regimes. As a special case, for multi-armed bandits with $A$ arms and horizon $T$, we obtain a distributional regret bound of order $\mathcal{O}(\sqrt{AT}\log(1/δ))$, confirming the conjecture of Lattimore & Szepesvári (2020, Section 17.1) for the first time.

On the Optimal Sample Complexity of Offline Multi-Armed Bandits with KL Regularization

Kullback-Leibler (KL) regularization is widely used in offline decision-making and offers several benefits, motivating recent work on the sample complexity of offline learning with respect to KL-regularized performance metrics. Nevertheless, the exact sample complexity of KL-regularized offline learning remains largely from fully characterized. In this paper, we study this question in the setting of multi-armed bandits (MABs). We provide a sharp analysis of KL-PCB (Zhao et al., 2026), showing that it achieves a sample complexity of $\tilde{O}(ηSAC^{π^*}/ε)$ under large regularization $η= \tilde{O}(ε^{-1})$, and a sample complexity of $\tildeΩ(SAC^{π^*}/ε^2)$ under small regularization $η= \tildeΩ(ε^{-1})$, where $η$ is the regularization parameter, $S$ is the number of contexts, $A$ is the number of arms, $C^{π^*}$ policy coverage coefficient at the optimal policy $π^*$, $ε$ is the desired sub-optimality, and $\tilde{O}$ and $\tildeΩ$ hide all poly-logarithmic factors. We further provide a pair of sharper sample complexity lower bounds, which matches the upper bounds over the entire range of regularization strengths. Overall, our results provide a nearly complete characterization of offline multi-armed bandits with KL regularization.

Online learning with Erdős-Rényi side-observation graphs

We consider adversarial multi-armed bandit problems where the learner is allowed to observe losses of a number of arms beside the arm that it actually chose. We study the case where all non-chosen arms reveal their loss with a fixed but unknown probability $r$, independently of each other and the action of the learner. We propose two algorithms that work for different ranges of $r$. We show that after $T$ rounds in a bandit problem with $N$ arms, the expected regret of our first algorithm is $O(\sqrt{(T /r) \log N })$ whenever $r\ge(\log T)/(2N)$, while our second algorithm achieves a regret of $O(\sqrt{(T/r) \log (N+T)})$ for smaller values of $r$. We also give a quick estimation procedure that decides the range of~$r$. All our bounds are within logarithmic factors of the best achievable performance of any algorithm that is even allowed to know~$r$.