Forecasting Trajectory-Level Safety Risks in Black-Box Multi-Turn Interactions

As large language models (LLMs) evolve from standalone assistants into autonomous agents, ensuring their safety requires shifting beyond pointwise risk assessment to understand how risks emerge and unfold over long-horizon trajectories. In multi-turn interactions, malicious intent can be decomposed across seemingly harmless turns and gradually reconstructed through interaction trajectories, eventually resulting in safety failures. Existing safeguards remain largely reactive, detecting manifested violations while lacking the ability to predict latent risk evolution and enable preemptive prevention. To address this limitation, we propose Recast, a safety risk forecasting framework that advances LLM safeguarding beyond turn-level violation detection to trajectory-level risk prediction. Recast first retrieves risk-relevant evidence from both short-term dialogue progression and long-term historical context via a dual-scale trajectory view. It then models compositional risk evolution by capturing the current risk configuration and its temporal dynamics. Finally, a causal temporal encoder learns latent risk evolution patterns and predicts the distribution of future risk emergence turns. Extensive experiments across 7 risk categories show that Recast predicts 88.3% of future safety failures with an average lead time of 2.41 turns, while maintaining a false alarm rate of 12.3%, showcasing the effectiveness of trajectory-level forecasting in identifying emerging risks before safety violations occur.

Benchmarking Autonomous Agents against Temporal, Spatial, and Semantic Evasions

As autonomous agents (e.g., OpenClaw) increasingly operate with deep system-level privileges to execute complex tasks, they introduce severe, unmitigated security risks. Current vulnerability analyses overwhelmingly focus on single-turn, stateless behaviors, overlooking the expanded attack surface inherent in stateful, multi-turn interactions and dynamic tool invocations. In this paper, we propose a novel, multi-dimensional evasion framework targeting LLM-based agent systems. We introduce three stealthy attack vectors: (1) Temporal evasion, which fragments malicious payloads across sequential interaction turns; (2) Spatial evasion, which conceals payloads within complex external artifacts that evade standard LLM parsing mechanisms; and (3) Semantic evasion, which obscures malicious intents beneath benign contextual noise. To systematically quantify these threats, we construct A3S-Bench, a comprehensive benchmark comprising 2,254 real-world agent execution trajectories. Evaluating a standard agent framework separately integrated with 10 mainstream LLM backbones against 20 practical threat scenarios, we demonstrate that our evasion framework elevates the average risk trigger rate from a 28.3\% baseline to 52.6\%. These findings reveal systemic, architecture-level vulnerabilities in current autonomous agent systems that existing defenses fail to address, highlighting an urgent need for defense mechanisms tailored to the unique threats.